8/04/2024

What game is Meloni playing?

 I am quite uneasy about Italian Prime Minister, Giorgia Meloni's trip to China and what transpired, but something tells me it is not in China's interest to reset relations. There were reports of some deals made.

Many are warning about dealing with a 'fox'. She has to keep her loyalty to the EU first and foremost and anything out of step is not in her interest. China must remember that at all times. She had betrayed China once before, by cutting off the BRI, and may do it again when the pressure is exerted by the USA. Moreover, her term is not permanent and whoever takes over may just overturn the apple cart.

Germany, under Angela Merkel, had good relations with Russia all along. She was the mover behind the Nord Stream 2 pipeline being built, not Putin really. And throughout the construction period, the USA had been pressuring her to back out. She persisted and stood her ground, even under intense pressure. When Olaf Scholz took over, everything changed under his lame leadership, losing his marbles under threat by the USA. Many believe he was even complicit in the bombing of the pipelines. Now Germany is in tatters and the USA is in celebration mood with the EU having to source for USA energy at exorbitant prices.

The sanctioning of Russia and the destruction of the Nord Stream pipelines did more than causing Germany to de-industrialize due to lack of cheap energy. Even their attempts to resort to nuclear energy is dependent largely on nuclear fuel materials, which also needs Russian supplies.

Whether Russia wins in Ukraine or not, Germany and the EU are not going to enjoy cheap Russian energy once again. That is not going to happen. Putin knows and remembers the betrayal. He is pivoting to the East with China a big enough market together with India to absorb the loss of the EU market. I think the USA and the EU did not foresee shooting their own feet without looking further than their noses.

Anonymous

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Never trust a fox or a vixen to be exact.

In Chinese mythology, a vixen is always portrayed as trying to lure unsuspecting victims to danger and destruction. China must not try to reprise the story of 'Journey to the West'.