2/08/2020

Wuhan virus epidemic timeline - when was the first infection?

Everyone knows that 31 Dec 19 was the day China reported the detection of this new unknown virus in Wuhan that affected 41 victims. But when was the first patient got infected, the day this virus started to infect human beans in Wuhan or in the province of Hubei? I will use some assumptions to try to back track and determine when this whole thing got started in Wuhan, Hubei, China.

1. First assumption, incubation period of 5 to 14 days.
2. It would take at least another 14 days for enough people to fall sick, with some dying before someone raise the red flag.
3. It would take at least 7 days for the lab to identify a new virus.
4. It would take 10 to 14 days for more people to be infected and more people dying before the top decision makers were informed.
5. It would take 3 to 7 days before a decision is made at the highest level to inform WHO that a new epidemic is in the making.
6. From the rate in which the disease is spreading, and from many parts of Hubei and China, it is likely that the disease was quite widespread, when confirmed that it is a new strain and very infectious and also deadly, when the report was made to WHO.

From the above assumptions, from the day the virus first struck to the day it was reported to WHO it could be from 43 days to 56 days. Working backwards from 31 Dec 19, the virus could have struck from as early as the first week of  November 2019 or mid November 2019. The first infection could be around early November 2019, with 5 to 14 days of incubation and the first outbreak when people started to fall sick at end of November or early December, and seeing the doctors. And it would take about a month for testing, observation, meetings and finally reporting to the top leaders of the govt.

Since the outbreak of this epidemic, there have been many conspiracy theories floating around with some even alleging that the virus was Made In China and escaped from a Chinese lab in Wuhan, but mostly pointing the finger at China as the guilty party. China is to be blamed for this outbreak and the new virus. With China being the one and only guilty party, no one else is to be blamed. Everyone is innocent, including the real culprits that planted the virus in Wuhan.

Below are some information of an international military game held in Wuhan from 18-27 Oct 2019. Notice that more than 300 American soldiers/athletes were in Wuhan during this period and probably could stay on for another week of R & R in the city, visiting all the famous tourist spots, including the famous wildlife market.


WUHAN, Oct. 15 (Xinhua) -- A group of 17 athletes from the U.S. Armed Forces has arrived at the airport in the central Chinese city of Wuhan for the up-coming 2019 Military World Games here on Monday midnight. About 300 athletes from the United States are expected to arrive in the next 2 days.

Mark Juliano, a U.S. archery and taekwondo player, said he believed his compatriots would do very well in events like running sports, triathlon, archery and taekwondo....

"You developed world-class venues and I can't wait to experience the Games," he said, adding that he also planned to visit several local scenic spots, including the Yellow Crane Tower and a buddhist temple....

The Military World Games is a multi-sport event that has taken place every four years since 1995. The 7th Games runs from the 18th to 27th of October in Wuhan.

Notice the coincidence of the presence of American soldiers in Wuhan and the start of this deadly and infectious disease after they left? And of course none of the American soldiers were infected or fell ill because of it.  The American soldiers were innocent angels participating in a military sporting event and left after having a good time in Wuhan, without leaving anything behind or knowing what had happened after they left the city.

31 comments:

Virgo 49 said...

Mr RB. Dotard Trump already FIRED the key witnesses that testified against him.

The Americunts would never in their life confessed to their evil deeds and crimes.

Any one against them would be put down without mercy.

And nobody even dares to raise a whimper on their Evil Deeds.

This is the Dark World or Age we are living in now.

Unless, unless some whistle blowers or some idiotic fools unwittingly will leak out their misdeeds.

Anonymous said...

America is the Satan as evidenced by its demonic actions!

Anonymous said...

Careful, don't say America is Satan. There are many unthinking believers and worshippers here and they will be very angry with you.

Anonymous said...


Hi good morning everyone.

No point look back lah.

Sg like very very very very very very very very $iong leh.

Many many many many many many many many Q up loong loong loong loong loong loong loong loong last night at supermarkets to $tock up.

Also a few $INGAPOREAN$ kena the virus don't know don't know don't know how they got it. This is to many many many many many many many many people very very very very very very very very $iong!

How many more many more many more will kena the virus?

$iong! Very $iong! Very Very $iong!

Anonymous said...

Do you think we got the virus when LHL became Prime Minister?

Ⓜatilah $ingapura⚠️ said...

EH, Why are you deleting my posts?

Ⓜatilah $ingapura⚠️ said...

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Anonymous said...


Hi 914am

Viruses will come and go.

What is the most important is what we do.

The question is that must we wait for situations to turn very very very very very very very very bad before we take ACTIONS BestEST for the safety and health of the masses. Not economic growth!

IS Sg like that now?

Sad!

Ⓜatilah $ingapura⚠️ said...

@938

>> Viruses will come and go.<<

So do humans lah. Humans have the capacity to think that in biological terms, they are "special".

If they're so fucking special, how come an organism with a short sequence of genes in RNA can kill these "special" humans in large numbers? 🀣⚰️☠️

Virgo 49 said...

Why they want to self quarantined when there is no need to?

Stock up and holed themselves in their pigeons holes when they can move around with freedom and have all the Roulette and Jackpots machines to choose what's they like to play.

Also, there as the Brave and Loyal Ones where you be treated like Lords.

Even upgraded you to Suites in their Grandest Hotels.

Why so daft unless you have no choice but been forced to.

They do not have the claustropia synonyms or symptoms as yet.

Pity those Ken's quarantined forcibly in cabins like staterooms with no Windows.

They have not taste this before.
That's why they stock up and prepare to be in this state.
.

Virgo 49 said...

These places empty less chance of getting Mr Wuhan.

Daft Sinkies.

Gonna pack and go there to enjoy what's life is.

Cheers

Ⓜatilah $ingapura⚠️ said...

Wah Virgo, you very kaypoh on how people do with their lives.

In Singapore you die your business. These good people are taking care of business.

In Oz for over 40 years already. I always keep at least 2 weeks supply of food, water, batteries plus I have a small Honda genny, solid fuel stove, guns and ammo. Here we get earthquakes, floods, bushfires, hurricanes...all the worst shit nature likes to do occasionally.

People are preparing for the worst. They're being CAREFUL. So fuck you lahπŸ–•πŸ–•

Virgo 49 said...

Gibberish by an Insane Man

Pitiful

Virgo 49 said...

They are not been careful.

They are KIASUI.

Evil people always afraid of Death as they feared to go to Hell too early.

Thought they might want to have more time to redeem their evil deeds.

For me no fear of Death. I knew myself better.

Those who do NOT fear Death are living in their sane ways and won't be neurotic as many here already suffering from mental illness.

For they are too afraid of their sins and evil deeds

Virgo 49 said...

Forget to add KIASI

Ⓜatilah $ingapura⚠️ said...

@ 1004, Big Talk

>> For me no fear of Death. <<

Why would you? Your LOSER life isn't worth living anyway. πŸ˜‚ Better do us a favour and DIE NOW⚰️πŸ‘πŸ»πŸ’€πŸ†

>>Those who do NOT fear Death are living in their sane ways and won't be neurotic as many here already suffering from mental illness. <<

Wah piang, use words like "neurotic" and "mental illness" some more. 🀑

Hey cheebye face, people are not just kiasu-kiasi for themselves lah.

They also fear and look after the people they care about, like their kids and families, and friends.

I know it is hard for a lonesome, angry piece of shit like you to understand but NORMAL people have other people in their lives. Our relationships ultimately define us and the quality of our lives.

It is clearly obvious to me that you are a LOSER because people don't like you and you probably have no good friends.

Die motherfucker...since you are so "brave" when it comes to death, and don't have anyone who cares for you. πŸ’€☠️⚰️

Ⓜatilah $ingapura⚠️ said...

Ten Cent cock up. CCP bang balls

https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/3871594


I'm calling ~500,000 infected, at least 30,000 dead

https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/3872448

HK has less infected than Singapore, but now the govt has taken The Game to a new level. So if I was living in Singapore (thankfully I got out immediately after CNY) I would expect Code Red to be enforced in only a matter of time

WSG is going to get his cheap REITs...and I might do so too! (although I've liquidated a heap and gone to US short term treasuries and gold---safety first lah...Aussie dollar going to die around US 60 cents or lower..I think)

imho said...

flu virus killed how many per year?
car accidents killed how many per year?
cancer killed how many per year?
how come no fear for the above?
take it easy. life goes on.
just do not go crowded places.
its a human to human bodies transmission.

Pan Dora said...

Singapore now as at least 32 confirmed cases of the dreaded and smarter-than-human virus called very noble, Nobel-price, novel coronation coordinated Corona Virus by Expurted Experts in the field of virology.

Virgo 49 said...

You the type who cares for the people you loved?

My Foot!

LOCUSTs, scavenger conman who took advantage of fellow beans.

Dont make my toes laugh!

I had a more loving considerate family than you.

Lonesome?

You must be kiddling.

Anonymous said...

Hi 9:35am.

Do not waste yr time.

U want to show that U r clever as in knowing many languages.
Serving Sirloin Steak to herbivorous ?

Stupid.

Virgo 49 said...

Incouth man

Real banana

Disgrace to his descendents.

That's what's Chiap Cheng behaved

Need lots of attention due to their inferior complexes.

Just like Dotard Trump

Virgo 49 said...

Uncouth. Uncouth NOT incouth.

Incouth, too good manners description of him.

Chow Ang Mohs styles opening good mornings etc with the words
FUCK YOU and thinks they are cool

Ⓜatilah $ingapura⚠️ said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Ⓜatilah $ingapura⚠️ said...

Wah, "don't fuck care" attitude at its finest πŸ‘πŸ» Champion Guanxi lah πŸ†πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³πŸ»
https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/3871213

Ⓜatilah $ingapura⚠️ said...

What have we here? Oh, those fine upstanding citizens of the Chinese mainland. So sophisticated. so humanitarian πŸ€£πŸ˜‚ pui, pui pui...

Spread The Love...China-style!

Anonymous said...

@Matilah,

///EH, Why are you deleting my posts?///

RB's version of POFMA 🀣

Anonymous said...

A bit far fetched but then given what US commerce secretary Wilbur Ross' comments about the virus in China that this is a good time for jobs to return to America, it is plausible that this unfortunate epidemic in China could have all the US dirty hand prints in it.

Anonymous said...

Firstly, we cannot totally blame these Militants Americuns coming to China for the sporting games to spread the virus, secondly where r the evidence & thirdly let the China Chinese Authorities pinpoint the actual cause and source of the nCoV virus. Don't doubt the China Chinese PRC CCP authorities capabilities of finding the cause or source and eventually eradicating the virus, China Chinese nation has been invaded many times for the past century or beyond, they have done it and survived it through and through, after this incident they will become stronger as ever and will proclaimed " We r the United Strongest & Mightier Nation called CHINA Chinese Race! "
Today is the 15th day of Lunar New Year. Let's pray for this nCoV virus to subside and be eradicated the soonest. And Heng Ong Huat Ah!

Anonymous said...

https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=2981804711884247&id=100001642412280

Dragonslayer said...

You are close to the truth. In every propaganda, there is a seed of truth. FIBA 2019 is most likely outbreak Genesis. Follow the athletes, follow the infection