US Holds Major Key to Unlock Korean Peace
The 2019 DPRK-USA Vietnam Summit will see US President Donald Trump meeting
DPRK Supreme Leader Kim Jong-un in Hanoi, Vietnam, from 27-28 February 2019. This is their 2nd meeting.
In their 1st
Singapore Summit last year on 12 June 2018, US President Trump
committed to provide security
guarantees to the DPRK, and DPRK Chairman Kim Jong-Un reaffirmed his
firm and unwavering commitment to
complete denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula.
Immediately after the 1st Singapore Summit, the DPRK
dismantled their nuclear test and satellite launch site at Sohae
and shut down a long range missile factory near Pyongyang. DPRK in fact has not conducted any nuclear
weapon test or fired any inter-continental ballistic missile (ICBM) since 28
July 2017. DPRK also concluded peace agreements
with South Korea committing
to perpetual peace and no war.
US President Trump in fact declared that Pyongyang was "no
longer a Nuclear Threat" after the 1st Singapore Summit,
and cancelled joint
military exercises between the US and South Korean Air Forces in the Korean
peninsula.
The DPRK also released 3 US citizens arrested and imprisoned for alleged
spying, and returned the remains of 55 US soldiers killed in the Korean War. DPRK also ceased its domestic anti-US
propaganda.
However, the US has yet to provide a framework or any details of its DPRK security guarantees agreed in the Joint Statement of the 1st Singapore Summit.
The US holds the major
key to unlock sustainable peace in the Korea Peninsula US. Without categorical security
guarantees, it is unreasonable and unrealistic to expect a complete DPRK
unilateral denuclearization whose process she has already begun.
History supports the DPRK’s ambivalence and hesitancy
as she lacks confidence and trust in the US Congress’ support of President
Trump’s Korean peace initiatives.
Current domestic politics in the US increasingly make it difficult for
President Trump to fulfill his security assurances to the DPRK. A
broken and corrupt US political system has damaged much of American
capability to govern effectively. An otherwise highly professional intelligence
community network has been rendered dysfunctional by corrupt
and highly politicized senior intelligence leaders to cast deep
credibility on its own findings.
The DPRK and the world also remembered vividly US duplicity and role in
the 2014 Ukraine Deception and
Double-Cross.
In December 1994, the United States, United Kingdom and Russia signed
the Budapest Memorandum, providing
security assurances against threats to Ukraine's territorial integrity in
return for Kiev's giving up nuclear weapons.
No less than US Presidents Clinton, Bush and Obama
also reiterated absolute US guarantee of these assurances over the following 20
years.
In 2014, the US
stood with the world alongside the feckless United Nations in abject
impotence and inept incompetence to watch Russia invade and annex Crimea, a
province of Ukraine. The
United
States' failure to honor the Budapest Memorandum clearly emboldened
Russia as she proceeded to instigate and support military
aggression in the Ukrainian Donbas region.
Over the past 5 years, over a million Ukrainians have been displaced
with more than 10,000 killed and thousands wounded.
The
undermining of the Budapest Memorandum is especially significant because this
treaty solemnised and formalised Ukraine’s decision to give up its nuclear
arsenal in exchange for territorial guarantees from major powers.
This is EXACTLY the essence and core intent of the Singapore Statement of the 1st US-DPRK Summit.
Indeed,
would Russia have attacked and annexed Crimea if Ukraine had retained a few of
its nuclear weapons when she agreed to denuclearise under the Budapest
Declaration? Highly unlikely!
On the eve of the 2nd
DPRK-USA Vietnam Summit, it is paramount for the US to
restore credibility to its integrity as a powerful nation trusted with global
responsibilities. If the US remained sincere and willing to be the DPRK’s only
conditional guarantor of her security, US President Trump and the US Congress
must be willing to underwrite with concrete actions the sustainable peaceful
stability of the Korean Peninsula.
Unlike the Budapest Memorandum, the US must commit to unambiguous,
unequivocal and categorical international treaty such security assurances to
the DPRK’s satisfaction so as to persuade the latter to stop developing her
nuclear deterrent and to depend on US protection. Achieving success at the eventual goal of DPRK’s
denuclearization depends entirely on the US.
In the aftermath of US’ failure to honour the Budapest Memo, Brad Blakeman,
former adviser to US President George W. Bush and the former president of the
national security group Freedom’s Watch asked: “The US has no credibility. Why
would anyone enter into an agreement with us now?”
The DPRK and the world will now be watching the US, particularly in whether
President Trump and Secretary Pompeo, with the US Congress, would restore
credibility and trust in American promises of security assurances for the
DPRK. And these promises must go beyond
mere words of diplomatic declaration and statement.
Related
Readings:


