6/29/2023

Two snakes in love or in battle?

Many are saying that the USA is using, coaxing and dangling incentives in front of India big time, to cultivate India as a counterweight to Russia and China, and maybe sabotaging BRICS and SCO as well. And India will be discarded by the USA as collateral damage, after all this is over with Russia and China. What the USA did to the EU is exactly what the USA will do to India.
The USA is now so good to India, like conjoin twins, not even dictating issues about the fate of the Muslims in India, embracing each other like snakes on heat. USA's love of Muslims can be switched on and off when it matters to its interest.

Over time, India will be sacrificed like the EU. If Modi is being bought over, and India breaks with Russia over military hardware deals and energy, and follows the USA's dictate like the EU, India will go back to the bullock cart age. India cannot survive on expensive energy. That alone will be a big problem for India to overcome, knowing that India is pivoting to a manufacturing economy in a big way, luring investments to India to provide the jobs, and be less dependent on agriculture. Energy is going to be a big deal in such a move. And only Russia can provide cheap energy to India, and no one else is willing to do that.

The most reassuring part, nevertheless, is discreetly knowing that Modi is just playing both sides, and will unlikely part ways with the Russians in both military and energy requirements. It is too costly and unwise to antagonise the Russians, and will completely isolate India in Asia, just like the Japanese today. Not being in the BRI, India would just be watching surrounding countries improving their economy, and trading with ease with each other using the BRI connections.

India is trying very hard to emulate China by becoming the 'Factory of the World' and one important ingredient for that to happen is cheap energy. Investors have to consider that carefully before plumping big money into building factories in India. If they see India's energy supplies from Russia unreliable in the long term, would they want to invest in India? Of course some will do that, that is why they say 'fools rush in where wise men (angels) fear to tread'.

What took China about three to four decades to reach its 'Factory of the World' status is already phenomenal. For India, taking three to four decades to reach its goal like China is a very very difficult task, knowing that the system in India is not conducive to developments smoothly and speedily.

Anonymous

8 comments:

Anonymous said...

De-Indianization . . .

Xiaomi India is slashing its headcount to less than 1,000 amid an organisational rejig, a slump in market share, and intense scrutiny by government agencies, several past and present employees told Indian media. Xiaomi India, which employed 1,400-1,500 at the start of 2023, laid off around 30 in the past week or so, and more are likely to be given the pink slip in the coming months, employees said.

They said the business restructuring has vested most of the decision making in the hands of the Chinese parent, and that the company has been steadily reducing headcount since the start of the year.

Anonymous said...

India is said to be 'gifting' a warship to Vietnam. India is now taking an active role in the South China Sea dispute, which it has no business to be involved. What that 'gifted' warship is for is not necessary to be explained. Just like what those nuclear powered submarines for Australia is for is self-explanatory.

India is doing this at the behest of Biden without a doubt. The 'gifting' is rather timely and co-incidentally right after Modi's mission to Washingon to receive the emperor's edict.

An old bathtub, which instead of being scrapped, is worth a try as a 'gift' for bribing. The USA knows that China and Vietnam only have economic interest in common, and that Vietnam is not a trustworthy country in the eyes of the Chinese and vice versa. Creating friction to cut off the economic link is one way to prevent Vietnam and the Chinese closing ranks. The USA is already putting economic pressure on Vietnam by pulling out investment funds which is doing harm to the Vietnamese economy. Will Vietnam now sacrifice its economic links with China or be a proxy like the Germans and others in Ukraine?

Anonymous said...

Have we ever seen a snake dance? A bearded snake and a barely conscious one?

Anonymous said...

India is insulting the Vietnamese, thinking that the scrap metal would be useful for poor third world Vietnam. And Vietnam would be very impressed.

Anonymous said...

Vietnam has enough of scapped metals with all the millions of tons of bombs dropped by the USA during the war.

Anonymous said...

India is adopting the Singapore model for its Military-Industrial relationship with the US

Singapore is not a formal military ally of the US, but it provides access, basing and overflight rights to the US. It has cooperated with US counter-terrorism and counter-piracy efforts. It is a major buyer of US equipment and military products and it conducts a number of training exercises with the US. Singapore also sends a significant number of its troops to the US for training every year.

Incidentally, India, too, hosts Singapore Air Force and Army units in its military facilities for training purposes.

The US Navy maintains a logistical command unit in Singapore and conducts rotational deployments of warships and P-8 maritime surveillance aircraft. Importantly, it has the Acquisition and Cross-Servicing Agreement (ACSA) with the US, which is of the type the Americans have signed with NATO allies and coalition partners, which allows the US to exchange supplies like food, fuel, transportation, ammunition and equipment.

Just as the US-Singapore relationship has its distinct geopolitical features, so, too, does the emerging one between India and the US.

Anonymous said...

Singapore's cooperation with the US used to be very beneficial until the Americans started to behave like gangsters and made China and many countries their enemies. In so doing, Singapore has no choice, despite its claim of not taking sides, to be on the side of the Americans.

China has thus developed its own strategic plans to bypass Singapore, and when it is fully implemented, Singapore could be hung high and dry.

Anonymous said...

India has always had disillusion of grandeur.

Just let them play both sides & be happy being Mearica whipping boy. Indians loves being white man pet. They are after all crown jewels of British Empire.

Their inflated ego, pride will be their downfall. But at least they still be white man pet.