10/21/2021

Taiwan - Cool and sensible advice from Alexander Mercouris for Taiwan

 


Taiwan Crisis Intensifies, Taiwan President Tsai Defies China, War Fears Grow

This is a 58 min video from the presenter on the Taiwan crisis and how the USA is playing with fire on a promise that they could not deliver, like writing blank cheque with their mouth and unable to cash. He quoted American military analyst report that the Americans would never ever be able to defend and would not defend Taiwan except stirring shit and giving the Taiwanese separatist movement false hope and confidence, leading them to a path of self destruction.

In the last part of the presentation he gave some very practical and sensible analysis and recommendations to the Taiwanese on what is best for them.

27 comments:

Anonymous said...

FICA Alert ! - John Bolton Suggests Singapore Joins East Asia QUAD

An East Asia Quad, consisting of Taiwan, Japan, South Korea and America, with Singapore later joining

China’s threat to Taiwan is real, not hypothetical, as recent incursions into the island’s air-defense zone demonstrate. To counter Beijing’s renewed belligerence, a successful strategy must go beyond eliminating the “strategic ambiguity” over whether the U.S. will come to the island’s defense. A successful strategy will require clarifying Taiwan’s status, its critical place in Indo-Pacific politics, and its economic importance globally. The U.S. military contribution to Taiwan’s security is crucial, but it requires strong political support here and abroad.

It begins by affirming that Taiwan is a sovereign, self-governing country, not a disputed Chinese province. It meets international law’s criteria of statehood, such as defined territory, stable population and the performance of normal governmental functions such as viable currency and law enforcement. Washington, Tokyo and others would be entirely justified to extend diplomatic recognition, and its attendant legitimacy, to Taipei.

The 1972 Shanghai Communiqué, the foundational statement of current U.S.-China relations, is effectively dead. The communiqué says that “the United States acknowledges that all Chinese on either side of the Taiwan Strait maintain there is but one China and that Taiwan is a part of China,” and “doesn’t challenge that position.” Beijing warped these words to mean “one China run by Beijing,” a formulation the U.S. never accepted.

The reality the U.S. acknowledged in 1972 no longer exists. Taiwan’s National Chengchi University has polled the island’s people about their identity for 30 years. Between 1992 and 2021, those identifying as Taiwanese rose to 63.3% from 17.6%; those identifying as Chinese fell to 2.7% from 25.5%; those identifying as both Taiwanese and Chinese fell to 31.4% from 46.4%. (Some 2.7% didn’t respond, down from 10.5%.) The “silent artillery of time,” as Abraham Lincoln called it, will likely continue these trends. Taiwan’s citizens have made up their own minds: There is no longer “one China” but “one China, one Taiwan,” as Beijing has feared for decades.

Broader recognition of Taiwan’s status as an independent state would be extremely helpful in expanding politico-military alliances to buttress the island’s defenses against China. Yet Washington’s support may be insufficient to deter Beijing from attempting to subjugate Taiwan (or near-offshore islands like Quemoy and Matsu). Formal or informal alliances that include Taipei would show Beijing that the costs of belligerence toward Taiwan are significantly higher than China may expect.

One step would be forming an East Asia Quad, consisting of Taiwan, Japan, South Korea and America, complementing the existing Japan-India-Australia-U.S. Quad. Japan should welcome this development. Its decision makers increasingly understand that a Chinese attack on Taiwan is an attack on Japan. Both are part of “the first island chain” separating the mainland from the broader Pacific, and their mutual security is inextricable.

It would be harder to persuade South Korea to join in such an effort due to historical animosities toward Japan and other factors, but its people are nonetheless aware of the consequences of Taiwan falling to China. The 2022 presidential election is an opportunity to debate whether to stand with its neighbors or risk eventually living under Greater China’s suzerainty. Vietnam, Singapore, Australia and Canada could join this Taiwan-centric grouping in due course.

Anonymous said...

Alexander Mercouris is a master in geopolitical analyses. His commentaries are always on the rIght side, against the Evil Empire and even his own country, UK.

Likeminded people should support him as anti China haters and neocon bloggers are getting the most views.

Anonymous said...

Singaporean restaurant in Nanjing investigated after listing China’s Taiwan as ‘country’

A popular Singaporean restaurant franchise in Nanjing, East China's Jiangsu Province, has suspended operation and a police investigation of its publicity video is underway. The video listed China's Taiwan island as a "country."

A photo recently circulated online shows the restaurant Ya Kun Kaya Toast listed Taiwan island alongside China, South Korea and Japan in its publicity video played in the restaurant.

A customer service of the Golden Eagle shopping mall where the restaurant is located told the Global Times on Wednesday that the restaurant has been closed and operation suspended. Its reopening time is unknown.

According to the local market watchdog, an investigation into the restaurant was launched on Monday for the suspicion of violating advertising laws. The person in charge of the restaurant is also under investigation.

The restaurant, headquartered in Singapore, is famous for its coffee and bread. The chain claims to have more than 40 restaurants in over 10 countries.

Other franchises of the restaurant in Nanjing denied that they had played a similar publicity video at their stores, according to media reports.

- Beijing

Anonymous said...

Cool and sensible advice for Singapore - stays NEUTRAL !

Chua Chin Leng aka redbean said...

John Bolton is well known as the mad white man.

SSO said...

The Return Of Taiwan To Motherland China Is Inevitable

The return of Taiwan to the Motherland, China, is inevitable. It is not snd never will be negotiable. The KMT knows it very well. The DPP knows it too. The USA is very well aware of this but is intent on being belligerent and confrontational.

Tsai Yin-wen, the Japanese in disguise, and her gang of Japanese descendents in her pseudo political party DPP, have a hidden secret agenda to secede Taiwan for the evil Japanese Expansionist Regime in Tokyo.

They think China is sleeping and does not know that they are actually of Japanese origin and are bent on either to secede Taiwan to Japan or to destroy it entirely.

That's the main reason why Xi Jinping is so adamant to reunite Taiwan during his Presidency. No more passing the bucket to the next leader of China. A peaceful reunion is the best for everyone but it seems impossible because of Foreign Interference. Therefore, retaking Taiwan by force, economic or military, or both, has become a necessity than a choice. China therefore has to prepare for war, with the USA and its allies, in order to retake Taiwan. This is also inevitable.

Instigated and hurried on by the Western Powers and Japan, the incorrigible Tsai Yin-wen is playing with fire like the evil Whites and her Japanese Masters. Their evil intent is to destroy Taiwan before China could take it back. That's why she said that Taiwan will fight until the last drop of blood.

Total destruction of Taiwan so that China will have a hard time to rebuild it, even if it falls into China's hands. It is a self scotch earth scheme to deprive China of the fruits of her labour. This is the same as the Japanese concepts of
kamakasi and harakiri.

These Japanese descendents, same as their ancestors, are very aggressive, wicked and evil people living under the cloaks of a gentle and refined culture. They are the worst species of half-humans on Earth. Never trust them one bit. You trust them at your own peril.

China, must therefore be prepared for a quick and decisive victory in the retaking of Taiwan. Limit the number of casualties and physical destructions as much as possible. This can only be done by eliminating Taiwan's present political leadership and its military headquarters at the onset of China's military operations. Raids and assassinations at specific targets and guerrilla tactics must be used extensively prior to the main decisive battle, to cripple and weaken the will of the people and military commanders to resist.

Nevertheless, no matter what, China must be prepared for an all-out war in the Asia-Pacific. Only then can there be peace.

If you want peace, be prepared for war!


SSO - 20-10-2021.

Anonymous said...

John Bolton, the warmongering neocon? Any sensible person should stay away from him least of all taking his advice.

He will get his just retribution when he passes on, just like Colin Powell now. At least Powell regretted his mistake of hoodwinking UN for a mandate to invade Iraq.

Anonymous said...

The Ya Kun Kaya owner has now exposed himself as a Anti-China and pro-Taiwan secessionist and pro-Western person of Chinese descent. He has forsaken his roots and ancestry links. He has forgotten where is wealth came from. He is a traitor!

Anonymous said...

This Ya Kun guy went to set up his branches in China, doing business in China, making money from Chinese people. Yet he dared to openly launch a clandestine operation in his branch shops with subtle Anti-China video for his customers to view. A form of propaganda platform to champion for the secessionist Taiwanese cause.

That is flagrant audacity.

Going against the Dragon inside the home territory of the Dragon. This is inexcusable and unforgivable.

Anonymous said...

Ya Kun now becomes world famous. The US will be very happy. He should go and set up shop in the USA instead of China.

From now on many Malaysian and Singapore Chinese will boycott his Ya Kun Coffee Shops. Hongkong too.

A-Non-Yes-Mouse said...

MOH has extended Covid restrictions for one more month, after reporting highest single-day Covid-19 deaths of 18 killed by the disease.

Infections have now reached almost 4,000 a day. This is terribly high for a 83% vaccinated population of 5.6 million people.

Hospitals and healthcare system are so overwhelmed by the relentless increase in infections and intensive care requirements that the government has resorted to tell those who are down with COVID-19 to stay at home and self-isolate and self-treat.

This is a sign of extreme desperation and panic!

The government should have mobilized the military to set up field hospitals instead of taking shortcuts and the easy and lazy way out.

Anonymous said...

With all the high skill high tech jobs taken by foreigners, do not be surprised they will offer a course in how to toast bread and make kopi to the sacked and replaced PMETs.

Anonymous said...

If Vaccination is the answer, then there should be a decrease in infections and deaths. Not the opposite.

The fact that daily infections and deaths have gone up exponentially means Vaccination is not effective and probably is the main cause of the exponential increases in deaths and sufferings.

Anonymous said...

Singapore will soon become a Pariah country nobody, except the infected, will want visit.

Anonymous said...

Ya Kun, or Ah Koon King, should go and stay in Taiwan and operate from there.

Anonymous said...

Rising Tensions Lead Taiwanese to Think About What to Do in an Attack

For decades, residents of Taiwan have paid far more attention to the threat of natural disasters than to the possibility of a military conflict with nearby China. Recently, however, the specter of a Chinese invasion has begun to take on a more seismic proportion in the minds of many of the island’s 23 million people—some of whom worry they aren’t sufficiently prepared.

Since the start of October, China’s People’s Liberation Army has sent about 150 warplanes, including jet fighters and bombers, near Taiwan—a record-breaking show of force that has prompted Taiwan’s air force to scramble jets in response.

The Chinese government, which regards Taiwan as a part of China and has vowed to take control of the democratically self-ruled island by force if necessary, has said only that the flights were aimed at discouraging Taipei from pursuing formal independence. The absence of a more detailed explanation has left military strategists and ordinary people alike in Taiwan guessing about whether Beijing is blowing hot air or preparing for an actual attack.

Most people in Taiwan have a positive view of Chinese people, but some were growing concerned over the prospect of a Chinese invasion even before this month’s PLA flights, according to another survey conducted in May by the Brookings Institution, a think tank based in Washington, D.C. The poll results, published last week, showed that roughly 58% of respondents worry about a war with China, with 46% saying Chinese leader Xi Jinping is more likely to attack Taiwan than he was five years ago.

Kolas Yotaka (Japanese?), a spokeswoman for Taiwanese President Tsai Ing-wen, said there is an element of psychological warfare to the PLA’s provocations. “We don’t want to play into that. It doesn’t mean we are not prepared,” she said.

In the central city of Taichung, 35-year-old software engineer Marros Lai isn’t waiting for advice from the government. After then-U.S. President Donald Trump increased pressure on Beijing by sending high-level envoys to Taipei last year, Mr. Lai decided to begin stockpiling supplies. His family’s kitchen now has three months’ worth of food in the event a missile strike forces people to shelter at home.

“It’s a much higher probability now,” he said, noting there’s a military base located just a few miles from his home. “Most Taiwanese just don’t want to talk about it because there’s a sadness to it all.”

Many in Taiwan question how meaningful it is to spend time fretting over the threat posed by China given the immense military power imbalance. China said in March that it would increase military spending by 6.8%, to $208 billion for 2021—more than 13 times the size of Taiwan’s military budget.

“There’s no point being worried,” said Lin Wen-rui, a 52-year-old restaurant owner in Taipei and father of two grown children. Dunking a bag of vegetables into boiling water on a recent evening, he said he was more worried about the effects of the pandemic on his business and thinks the Taiwanese government should moderate its talk of freedom to avoid provoking China.

A poll by Taiwan’s state-funded research institute Academia Sinica, conducted in May, found that roughly 55% of local respondents doesn't see the Chinese government as an enemy of Taiwan.

Anonymous said...

Kolas Yotaka, formerly Yeh Guan-lin is an Amis Taiwanese politician and journalist. She is the spokesperson for the presidential office in Taiwan.

Born: Hsinchu, Taiwan
Nationality: Taiwanese
Parents: Yoshinari Yotaka
Party: Democratic Progressive Party

Anonymous said...

Which country stands to benefit most from Taiwan's independence is the one behind all the trouble brewing between China and Taiwan.

It is the USA of course, who else goes around the world creating trouble everywhere. The present standoff between the USA and China is now pushing the USA to capitalise on the Taiwan independence issue. which is the only remaining leverage the USA has after their failure to do so in Hong Kong and Xinjiang.

Taiwan independence will give the USA a free hand to set up their military base in Taiwan, as close to China as they ever wanted. China will not allow that to happen. .

Anonymous said...

Taiwan can take the gamble like the South Vietnamese and Afghanistan's deposed Government.

But the price to pay is high, if the support of the USA does not materialise as expected. It will be disastrous to comprehend. A peaceful compromised solution always ends better than a solution based on a war footing, and is never going to be a good ending for those who always advocate war as the solution.

Anonymous said...

Before American soldiers can set foot on Taiwan, the island would be blown to pieces if the option is for it to be turned into an American military base.

Anonymous said...

The point that Chinese spies have infiltrated Taiwan's every military and strategic installations is a very telling revelation if true. One particular advantage of Chinese spies operating in Taiwan is their ability to merge in well with the people there as they look alike with no distinguishing differences, just like the Vietcong infiltrating South Vietnam during the Vietnam War.

Those Taiwanese that view independence as a peripheral issue will not be perturbed whether Taiwan goes back to be united with the mainland. Those that have been brainwashed by the Whites will always have faults to find and will always oppose unification. Hong Kong people, before the recent protest in 2019, were enjoying even more human freedom than the people in the USA.

And with the USA and it's allies adding fuel to the fire and waiting to reap the rewards, the losers will be the Taiwanese themselves if the Western rhetoric is just hot air and does not follow up with action.

What happened in Hong Kong is an example of protestors being thrown under the bus despite all the empty promise of support by the USA and the West. Yes, some leaders of the protestors may run road to the West, but I think it is good riddance by China of all the bad apples that may cause further chaos if they had remained.

Speedwing said...

Hi Redbean, China will NEVER give up Taiwan. Any Taiwanese who wish for an independent Taiwan will be sadly disappointed. The warmonger United States of America will stir up problem for China by using the traitors from within Taiwan, just like they did in Hong Kong. Taiwan belongs to the mainland and no way will China give it up.

Anonymous said...

In terms of percentages, the number falling very sick or needing ICU care is very small.

Over the last 28 days, 98.7% of local infected cases had mild or no symptoms. Only 1.0% required oxygen supplementation, and 0.1% had been in the ICU.

However, when the number of infections is very large - over 70,000 in the last 28 days - 1% is not a small number.

Nearly 90% of our isolation rooms are filled and more than two-thirds of our ICU beds are occupied. Looking after seriously sick Covid-19 patients is intensive work.

Our healthcare workers have been working round the clock.

It isn't just people who want freedom, who need to be protected. Our healthcare workers also need support and be protected. We should not take them for granted.

The restriction measures are to slow down transmission to protect our healthcare workers and system from being overwhelmed. This is also a consideration.

Anonymous said...

What Xi can do to Taiwan:

1. Freeze all Taiwanese assets and bank accounts in China.

2. Confiscate all Taiwanese investments in China.

3. Close down all Taiwanese companies in China.

4. Block the Taiwan Straits to stop all Taiwan imports and exports activities.

5. Declare airspace over and around Taiwan as Chinese airspace and prevent all Taiwanese commercial, civil and military aircrafts from using it. Any aircraft taking of will either be forced to go down or shot down.

6. Artillery bombardments on the offshore islands of Taiwan.

7. Etc.

Anonymous said...

Anon dpnt be mad lar on your suggestions. This is war already with Chinese killing Chinese

A-Non-Yes-Mouse said...

Covid-19 Singapore: Death Tolls Now Hit Double Digits - What A Wonderful Achievement!

The Minister of Health Ong Ye Kung and Multi-Ministry Task Force must be praising themselves for achieving such a wonderful (full of wonders) performance that everybody in Singapore (probably including the Prime Minister and the President) are wondering and wondering what the HELL is going on!!!???

Living with Covid-19 has become a nightmare to many old folks with underlying medical conditions. Some of them paid with their lives. They were killed by the COVID-19 via the courtesy of the very outstanding Millionaire Ministers staying in ivory towers, up in Cloud 99. The families of those "murdered" oldies must be thanking and also congratulating the Health Minister and the Multi-Ministry Task Force for doing such a wonderfool well-thought job.

Moreover, the daily casualties are now nearing 4,000 confirmed infections daily. Praise must also be given to the King of Kings (of Hades?).

The Stabilization Phase has become the Escalation Phase instead. How is it called the Stabilization Phase is terribly baffling, when cases of infections and deaths keep increasing?

Lies, more lies and statistics seem to be the modus operandi to some highly intelligent people. To them black can be white, and white can be black too. It is so simple. Just manipulate the data and convert them in percentages and then make comparison between apples and oranges, and then tell the world those are the "hard evidence" that Living with COVID-19 is working very well.

If that is not enough, create something called the Vaccinated Travel Lane (VTL) and extend the scheme to many highly infected high-risk countries and import more infected people in, so that new COVID-19 Variants can easily spread to the community and proliferate until the daily infections hit 10,000 cases? And deaths hit 100 per day? Another brilliant idea, brilliant experiment with the lives of others!

Clap! Clap! Clap!
What a wonderful achievement!


LIPS

Chua Chin Leng aka redbean said...

Put this up tomorrow.