12/29/2022

Taiwan - Should it go the Ukraine way?

On December 25, the PLA Eastern Theater Command has held cross-service joint alert patrol and fire strike drills around the Taiwan island. According to statistics from the Taiwan military, in the 24 hours from 6:00 am on December 25 to 6:00 am on December 26, a total of 71 PLA military aircraft and seven PLA warships were operating around the Taiwan Straits, of which 47 aircraft flew over the "middle line" of the Taiwan Straits and entered the "airspace" to the southwest of the Taiwan island.  RT

The more the separatist DPP try to break away from China, the more the Americans would encourage them to do so, the stronger China will response. The more aggressive the separatists push for independence, the earlier China would decide on a forceful reunification. China cannot and would not allow Taiwan to break away from the mainland. No Chinese leader would allow that, and especially now when militarily China is able to reunite by force, and able to ward off any intervention by the Americans or the Japanese. The rice is as good as cooked. There is no turning back the clock. The reunification with the motherland is a matter of now or tomorrow.

With the developments in Ukraine, the Taiwanese are getting a preview of what would happen to them when China decides to do a forceful reunification. The Taiwanese can count on the number of Taiwanese and capital fleeing the island. The Taiwanese can count on how many cities would be destroyed. The Taiwanese can count on how many Taiwanese would die. The Taiwanese can count on how many days they would last before the PLA takes over the island. People from both sides of the Straits would be winners.

The Taiwanese cannot count on the Americans coming to their aid with aircraft carriers task force. China would make sure they would be sunk. Similarly, the Taiwanese cannot count on the Japanese to come to their aid. They would also be sunk. Forget about air bridge to supply food and weapons. No aircraft could come near or enter the airspace over Taiwan.

These are the stark realities facing Taiwan. The alternative is not bondage or oppression. The alternative is a big welcome party, to celebrate the reunification of China and participate in the growth and prosperity of China.

What would the Taiwanese choose? Should the Taiwanese be encouraged to fight to the last Taiwanese like the Ukrainians? Are the Taiwanese willing to bear the loss of lives and properties and a good life? Or would the Taiwanese choose to fight a war that they cannot win but guaranteed for destruction?

Peaceful reunification is not colonisation or conquest and subjugation, to lose everything, but everything to gain.  Reunification is like reuniting with brothers and sisters and to continue on a glorious journey to become the proud people of a super power, China. Families would be united, friends and comrades would rejoice together as one people. The economy and businesses in Taiwan would boom. The Taiwanese people can only become richer and life can only be better. China can only be more generous in its policies towards Taiwan.

Would the Taiwanese choose to live gloriously as part of the great Chinese Civilisation, or to end in tragedy, like the Ukrainians?

26 comments:

Anonymous said...

Mark Esper, the former US Secretary of Defense, in July called on the DPP authorities to extend the four-month mandatory military training to at least one year during his Taiwan trip.

Taiwan's DPP leader Tsai Ing-wen obeyed. On Tuesday, she announced to extend mandatory military service from its current four months to one year starting from 2024.

Anonymous said...

Ukraine, thinking they have the backup of the USA and Nato, tried to test the resolve of the Russians and found out the hard way.

Taiwan, thinking they have their backs covered by the USA and Japan, are trying to test the resolve of China, and will find out the hard way.

The DPP will lose the next election if they continue to conscripting more and more younger Taiwanese into the army to fight China. The just concluded election bore this out very clearly and was one of the reasons for the backlash. Taiwan cannot hope to find normality if they continue to antagonise China by conducting provocative acts to anger China. China just have to cut off their lifeline by imposing import of Taiwanese agricultural produce and there will be a revolt from their farmers. An embargo of the Taiwan Straits is not a far fetched idea.

Anonymous said...

It is right for a country to defend its independence when the alternative is being taken over by a nasty and oppressive power.

The reunification with China is not about fighting an aggressive power but rejoining the motherland to enjoy better benefits and to become once again the people of China and to enjoy a bigger country and a bigger economic pie.

When China was poor and weak, it was shameful and painful to be a Chinese. Today, China is rich and powerful. Becoming a Chinese is a proud and glorious thing. To be a citizen of the most powerful country in the world, in the making.

Why would the Taiwanese want to continue a fake existence as an abnormal state with very little room to grow?

Why would the Taiwanese want to die fighting to be a lesser state?

Anonymous said...

The four months training to 12 months training is a joke. What difference can it make?

Anonymous said...

The USA trained the Afghan military personnel for close to 20 years and what was the outcome? And all that boast came to nought. The ran in fear of the Taliban farmers with small arms and, goodness, against an enemy with no training at all. What a joke!

It is not the quality of the troops, but the motive they are fighting for.

patriot said...


The Taiwan Military and the Older Generations shall soon depose the DPP and put it to sleep for good.
Taiwan is a province of China
and shall always be.



Anonymous said...

China has laid out a buffet spread and inviting the Taiwanese to a feast.

The DPP is leading the Taiwanese to eat hamburgers.

Oh, the Americans just took back their chips company. And Taiwan has no more chips to live on.

Anonymous said...

Zelensky is the US puppet in Ukraine. Tsai is the US puppet in Taiwan.

Anonymous said...

Actually many Taiwanese wanted to reunite with China asap. Unfortunately the media was controlled by the DPP. The one that controls the media controls the narrative.

It only takes a small group in the military to stage a bloodless coup on the DPP and it would be over. No need to throw good money to buy antique useless weapons from the Americans.

And they must do it fast before the Treasury is emptied, before the Americans carted the TSMC lock, stock and barrel to Arizona desert.

Virgo49 said...

https://www.youtube.com/live/sFQkSBvNX0U?feature=share

Xi to Taiwan Warnings!

Anonymous said...

Zelensky would get rich fighting to the last Ukrainian.

Tsai Ing Wen would get rich fighting to the last Taiwanese.

Good for the Ukrainians and the Taiwanese. Good cannon fodder.

Anonymous said...

Zelensky and Tsai Ing Wen would be given an American honour medal each for getting their citizens to fight and die for America.

Not sure if the dead Ukrainians and Taiwanese would be getting anything. No burial in Washington Memorial for the War Dead for sure. Not in Arlington for sure.

The Americans may be laughing at the stupid Taiwanese for dying because the Americans conned them into it.

Anonymous said...

正正当当的中国人不做,偏要做美国狗。
一等的中国人不做,要做三等美国人。

Anonymous said...

Tsai is aiming to be on the cover of Newsweek - Women of the Year 2023. Zelenskyy just got that honour.

Who among the two will get the Nobel Pees Price?

Anonymous said...

She is waiting to be invited to speak to the American Congress as her reward.

Anonymous said...

Taiwan workers working for TSMC and sent to Arizona have now found out that they are being treated like dirt. USA workers were found to be paid much higher than them, and to add insult to injury, Taiwanese workers are being forced to work the odd shifts, which the USA workers shunned. Some are wishing they had not been chosen to work in the USA and are cursing their bad luck.

TSMC is toast. And with it Taiwan is also toast. What the USA wants is all of the expertise of TSMC to boost their semi-conductor knowledge that they are stealing from TSMC. They, of course, will not admit that they are stealing technology, but they are twisting the arms of TSMC to disclose to them all the sensitive technical secrets by the use of legislation. The same is being done to Samsung.

Taiwan had nothing else of substance to fall back on in manufacturing. They can go back to agriculture, which they are also quite good at. But, they still need the Chinese mainland market. Without that, they are sunk.

Anonymous said...

Is there still time for Zhang Zhongmou to change his mind and work with China, work with SMIC and challenge the American hegemony on chips? Or he has surrendered everything to the Americans, too late already?

When TSMC is uprooted, many supporting industries would go belly up unless they are needed and also uprooted to the US. There will be a vaccuum of sort in Taiwan, factories and land would be emptied. Many Taiwanese would be jobless.

The economy would be affected and the GDP would fall.

Temporary it looks like the Americans are the main winner. However, when the decoupling takes full effect, all the American based chip makers would only be selling to the American and European markets. The Chinese market would be closed to them. China would speed up in becoming self sufficient in chip making.

The American chip making industry would face a glut of chips with no one to sell to. China is the biggest consumer of chips, but would be no more.

In this chip war, it would be a clean divide and no more cross trading. All the American chip based manufacturers would have to downsize, cut jobs, cut capacities. What is the point of producing chips with no buyers, like Australian iron ore, wines, seafood, lobsters, without China absorbing the bulk of them, they could only sell retail.

Pity the chip manufacturers, the workers, and the farmers and fishermen in Australia. This is penny wise pound foolish. Like the stupid Europeans, heavily dependent on the Russians for cheap oil and gas and food and want to play punk with their main source of cheap supplies. Now feeling the pain.

The Americans would feel the pain very soon. TSMC would not need the capacity and the jobs. After a year or two, TSMC would have to retrench the workers and engineers they are recruiting now.

Someone said the American and European leaders are smart. Really? Fighting with the hands that feed them?

Virgo49 said...

This Scenario of China's Special Military Operation on Taiwan.
Launched when the Cowboys are in deep sleep.

Recently got see or not.

North Korea launched their Drones and can penetrated the South without them even realising.

Hand guns South Koreans and the Americunts forces.All hot airs only.

Also few months back the PRCs and Russia joint Air Force Drills over and near the Japs Islands.

Russia still had disputes with the Japs on the Sanklin or what's Sakein Islands.

This will be a joint Military Operation comprises of Russia, North Korea and China.

First thing first. China will jam all the Telecom Airwaves and
Military Radars of Taiwan, SKorea and Japan.

Then in unisons they with the North Korea and Russia will launch their Offensive.

North Korea Kim will have their drones into the South to distract the American Forces and also the SKoreans thinking that they are been invaded.

Russia will fly their jets near the Japs Islands.

China then will have their Airborne troops airdrop all over the Taiwan Island.

Aiyo, another Red Dot just like Sinking Land unlike Urukiane lah.

The Tsai Ing Woman and the Taiwanese be caught with her panty and pants down

No need bombs bombs lah.

The Taiwanese Old Timers Soldiers will also staged a Coup and have all their Traitors put in chains.

Same time the South Korean Generals with Kim's men will surround the damn Americunts and have them as POWs.

This be the best opportunity to depose of them as their vassal.

Reunified South and North at the same time.

The Japs will be in six and seven when they saw the Russian Jets and would surrender their disputed Islands to Russia with their hands up.

It be over less than a few hours and they will have that North Korean Lady News Ajuma Reader with her booming voice to have a broadcast with LOVE to that Bidamn who woke up with all his pyjamas wet with urine in front and chocolate on his arsehole.

Wandering around shaking and rocking hands with empty airs.

That's be the Outcome of China's Special Military Operation.

Cheers



Speedwing said...

Hi Redbean, speed here. China will be very reluctant to cause death and destructions in Taiwan. The island is part of China and the inhabitants are Chinese. Why would President Xi kill Chinese? Taiwan is part of China. Why would President Xi destroy his own country? I can only assume that the reunification of Taiwan would be bloodless and peaceful.

Chua Chin Leng aka redbean said...

Agree. Many Taiwanese are looking forward to reunite with the motherland. The reunification would be executed together with pro unification forces in Taiwan. If not through election, it would be a bloodless coup. The politicians are just politicians.

Political power comes from the barrel of the gun. The Taiwanese military commanders would act when the time comes. They are the real power in Taiwan.

Very likely both sides are talking quietly.

Virgo49 said...

https://youtu.be/D1oV2JQVnj4

Listen to Jeffrey Sachs talks of the UAssA Evil plans to have conflict with China overnTaiwan.

Very Enligtening.

Anonymous said...

China’s Aircraft Carrier Liaoning Edged Close to Guam for First Time

The Liaoning aircraft carrier group of the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) Navy was recently spotted for the first time sailing close to Guam, a key US military node in the second island chain, during its ongoing exercises in the West Pacific, showing that the Chinese carrier is ready to defend the country against potential US attacks launched from there, including military interference attempts over the Taiwan question.

The Chinese activity is likely a large-scale movement with an eye on the US military, Kyodo News quoted the Japanese Defense Ministry as saying. Guam is home to US air force and bases that host strategic bombers and nuclear-powered submarines, and is considered an important node in the second island chain that is designed to contain China, observers said.

China will never attack US military bases in Guam as long as the US military does not attack China or interfere in the Taiwan question, but having such capabilities is a deterrent against potential US provocations.

In addition to the Liaoning, which demonstrated its capability in reaching Guam with its latest voyage, the PLA's DF-26 intermediate range ballistic missile and H-6K bomber with air-launched standoff missiles can also reach the island.

On Sunday, when the Liaoning aircraft carrier group was near Guam, the PLA Eastern Theater Command organized "record-breaking" cross-service joint combat alert patrols and joint fire strike exercises in maritime and aerial areas around the island of Taiwan in a resolute response to the recent escalation in the US-Taiwan collusion, after US President Joe Biden signed the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2023 on December 23, marking the first time the US government will finance weapons for the island of Taiwan.

Since the PLA has been focusing on training as a system, it cannot be ruled out that the Liaoning aircraft carrier group's far sea exercise was interrelated with the drills around the island of Taiwan.

- Global Times

Virgo49 said...

Hi Anon 11.17

One report that now PRC pilot also Kamkazie like Russian Ones flow just 3 metres near an Americunts Jet and the UAssA claimed to be upset by this incident and our pilot had to fly away with urine and shits on his pants.

So much for their TOP GUNs aka Hand Guns.

Anonymous said...

Should ROC get Patriot Missiles?

'The inestimable Andrei Martyanov has already came up with the essential breakdown of all Patriot essentials. Let’s focus on a few intriguing details.

A single Patriot battery will exercise less than zero impact on the Ukrainian battlefield. This battery would in thesis cover the most strategic Ukrainian installations: a very limited area, as in a small military base. That has nothing to do with protecting Kiev.

What’s way more significant, conceptually, is that this Patriot deployment, in connection with other air defense systems such as NASAMS, IRIS-T and the possible transfer of the SAMP-T, proves once again that Ukraine is under a de facto NATO multi-level air defense system. The Patriot is completely integrated with NATINADS, NATO’s air defense system.'

'Patriot delivery may have to do with serious problems with the American/NATO systems already on the Ukraine ground.

The HAWK is woefully incapable of intercepting modern cruise missiles. The IRIS-T is quite raw – and needs non-stop supervision by repair teams from Germany. The NASAMS is also anti-missile impaired. In sum: “inadequate” does not even begin to describe them all.

The current modified version of Patriot launchers costs roughly $10 million. A single missile costs a whopping $4 million. Russia already spends de facto pocket money on drones – and will spend even more. Firing a $4 million missile at a drone worth at best $50,000 does not even qualify as a joke.

Link to article:
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/escobar-let-patriot-games-begin

Anonymous said...

The unification of China and Taiwan, and the two Koreans, would pave the way for peace and prosperity in East Asian and evict the trouble making Americans from the region.

They then only have Japan as the only colony in East Asia.

Always Ready said...

Ukraine save Russia from the German in World war. Don't scared. Russia will helps China if Taiwan (ROC) attack. SAF will stand by and dont join even if we are friends with Taiwan and China. Lets them fight it out.