8/22/2022

Wars in East Asia would be a non starter, not in Taiwan

 The Americans and the Japanese would want to have a war in East Asia in the like of Ukraine to trap China in a long military struggle that would drain its economic resources and stop it from growing stronger to overtake the Americans. Unfortunately the geography of Taiwan and East Asia does not allow a repeat of what is happening in Ukraine, Europe.

Taiwan is an isolated island far far away from any land/country except China. The closest is Japan and the Philippines but still several hundred miles away. There is no direct land borders with Taiwan like Ukraine. In case of a war on Taiwan, Japan or the Americans would be defeated by the logistics and supply chain to keep the war going. China is already in control of the seas up to 2,000 km from its shores.

And there is no land target for the Japanese or Americans to strike except China mainland. This is taboo as striking China mainland would mean China missiles raining onto all the Japanese main islands and cities and also America homeland. You hit me, I hit you. Would the Japanese and Americans dare to invite such a scenario, an attack on their homelands?

What kind of war would it be without a theatre of war or war zone on land? Where are the targets? The islands in South China Sea? If the Americans strike at them, Guam and Hawaii would be automatic targets for the PLA.  If not, the battles would be fought out in the sea or airspace over the seas. China would have numerical advantages with a superior navy in numbers and new warships, new technologies, supported by all the missiles and war planes from the mainland and the island fortresses in the South China Sea.

We will see how the Americans and Japanese could start a war in the seas around China without attacking the Chinese mainland. The American propaganda machine is still trying to trivialise the visit of Pelosi as an innocent grandma visiting an island and that China's reaction was badly received. Unfortunately, the realities on the ground is that the whole world, including Asean, have seen this outrageous and irresponsible visit by Pelosi as an aggressive affront by the Americans to want to start a war in the region, a war that no wants it. Behind closed doors they are furious at the reckless behaviour of the Americans, behaving as if they were still the evil Empire and wanting to mess around with the region, creating another Ukraine. No, the world is aghast at the aggressive and warmongering Americans.

China would not want to start a war with Taiwan. China has demonstrated that it could reunite Taiwan by a blockade to wear down Taiwan without any big loss of Chinese lives on both sides of the straits. The most the Taiwanese could do would be to send their aircraft or warships to try to break out. The only limited casualties would by the pilots and seamen, not involving the civilians on the island. China would avoid, at all cost, to harm the Chinese in Taiwan. Bloodshed must be avoided if reunification is to be successful and welcomed.

If there is an escalation, it would be a naval and air battle with the Americans or Japanese fought in the eastern sea and airspace. Shooting down and killing Americans and Japanese would be more palatable and even desired by the Chinese people on both sides of the straits.

Would the hostile and belligerent Americans and Japanese dare to raise the temperature to the point of a hot war with China? China would fight them but would not make Taiwan another Ukraine that the Americans and Japanese wanted to. In a way the battle lines have been drawn and waiting for the Americans and Japanese to walk in for a showdown.



24 comments:

A-Non-Yes-Mouse said...

The Japanese are thinking that with the Evil USA as their backing, they can strike China without consequences. If they thought thus, then they must be super brave or super stupid.

Any first move by the Japanese to strike the Chinese military, the consequences will be very grave. China has been waiting for just this moment to strike back at the Japanese. And the continuous annual visits by Japan's successive Prime Ministers to the Yasukuni Shrine have made matters worst. There is no love lost. There will be a torrent of bombs raining down the whole of Japan, including all the warships of the Evil USA.

So, Japan, please do your needful, so that China can avenge the deaths of their fellow country-men and country-women, and the countless children who have been tortured, manipulated and insulted.

Waiting, and still waiting for you, the Nippon Japs!

Anonymous said...

We have lost Singapore to the West as they now wanna legalize sex between men.

Sex between men is definitely not a Singaporean culture.

If LKY is still around, this would never have been approved, and he would've shielded Singapore from the West's influence. But that's tough to fend with the presence of 2.3 million foreigners and several pro-gay Western MNCs in Singapore.

Anonymous said...

Very bad decision

Anonymous said...

I am more worried about the safety of minors when they prey on them. If it is no longer an offence, there is no recourse for the young victims.

Anonymous said...

Worried about NSFs falling prey to sex predators, kena abused by gay superiors . .

Anonymous said...

We don't feel safe for our sons anymore . . .

Anonymous said...

Forcing sex on a person of the same sex without his consent is no longer a crime?

Not rape? Is this what it means by repealing 377A?

Sodomy is normal and acceptable with or without consent?

Anonymous said...

Be prepared for more monkeypox infection.

Be prepared for legalising marihuana. The West say it is ok, so must be ok.

The West says go for boosters and more boosters with their world best experimental vaccines, so must follow, cannot be wrong. No thinking required.

Anonymous said...

If LKY was still around? I wonder and just keep wondering if there is any difference.

Remember the Casinos? He was still around and against it, even over his dead body. But....

A-Non-Yes-Mouse said...

Repelling 377A is a bad deal. Why must the authority give in to a bunch of sexual fiends and sex perverts. These people, especially those who have no qualms in engaging anyone, are bound to prey upon the younger boys and girls.

Listen to what they have said. They keep repeating that there should be more dialogues - dialogues about what? To talk one-way - the deviant way - to influence the young and young adults?

Same sex is okay? Why must the majority bend backwards to be screwed by the deviants?

Anonymous said...

Getting rid of 377A would be step 1 toward allowing marriage between gay. HDB would be in demand. Many gays would be pleased to come to sg to start families. Singapore would be rename SinGaypore.

Anonymous said...

Does repelling 377A means gay men orgy parties will be allowed like those illegal ones reported in Malaysia ?

Anonymous said...

Singapore will be a paradise and more tourists will be here. The population can also grow when they migrate to this new and wonderful paradise for men entertainment. Thailand would no longer be the preferred choice.

Speedwing said...

Hi Uncle Redbean, speed here, imho China will never attack Taiwan. Why invade your own country? Taiwan is part of China. Killing Taiwanese is equivalent to killing your own people. Right?

Anonymous said...

The US knowing that they will be surpassed by China within the next 15 to 20 years, by hook or by crook they have to think of all sorts of underhand tactics to undermine China in every avenue they can. At the last resort they will start a war, most probably using Taiwan as sacrificial lamb. Just like Ukraine they will supply the weapon to counter China. However China will be very reluctant to engage Taiwan in a major war. It will be Chinese killing Chinese because Taiwan is part of China. Why would China destroy her own land and kill her own people?

Anonymous said...

U.S. President Joe Biden had vowed he won't let China surpass U.S. as global leader on his watch.

“China has an overall goal ... to become the leading country in the world, the wealthiest country in the world, and the most powerful country in the world,” he told reporters at the White House. “That’s not going to happen on my watch because the United States is going to continue to grow.”

Chua Chin Leng aka redbean said...

China knows that taking Taiwan by force and with heavy casualties of lives would cause a lot of anger, hatred and unforgiveness from the victims and unacceptable. They would want to avoid this. The latest exercise and the inaction of the Taiwan military is a sign that they were communicating and would not fight and kill each other.

Many Taiwanese have now come to their senses, that it is futile to fight a war with China. And reunification is a good thing and would ensure security, peace and prosperity. They also know that they cannot rely on the Americans, now wanting to snatch TSMC to the USA, and Japan, really a spent force.

Both sides would soon be talking, if not already talking, on how best to reunify with the motherland. The Taiwan Chinese are not that stupid as the Americans and Japanese would make them to be, to want to die fighting Chinese from the motherland. Only the Japanese and half Japanese would still be pushing for this agenda.

The Americans and Japanese may be able to find a few traitors to support independence, like finding a Zelensky, China would be able to find many more patriotic Chinese in Taiwan that want to reunite with the motherland. China has already won the reunification cause by being rich and powerful, not the poor and weak China of the past.

Reunification with the motherland is not being invaded and conquered by a foreign power and life can only be better. They could negotiate for better terms to make everyone happy. Reunification also means the Taiwan Chinese could contribute to the rejunevation of a modern and powerful China for all Chinese.

Anonymous said...

China has all the time in the world to take Taiwan. They already waited 70 years and can afford to wait another 70 years. When that witch Tsai loses the next or subsequent election, and the Kuomintang takes power, it will be a whole new game plan. The only fear is that Tsai may let the devil set up base in Taiwan, slowly bit by bit, and that is the problem facing China.

The best case scenario would be the emergence of a whole New Bipolar World, the global de-dollarisation move is successful, with a new global currency, plus a new settlement system, and no perpetual war is necessary. When all these changes take place, China has all the time in the world, while the USA will continue to lose the ability to be a significant unipolar global terrorist No. 1 and trouble maker without the US$ hegemony.

Biden can make all the claims he wants about not allowing China to overtake USA during his watch. How many prediction blunders has he made so far? All the sanctions against Russia to make Russia collapse and turn the Ruble into rubble did not materialise. All his efforts to source for more oil from the Middle East kingdoms have failed. He even tried his luck with Iran and Venezuela, with one comedic video depicting Nicholas Maduro telling Biden to 'piss off'. All his big talk about 'Build Back Better' never even see the light of day. We shall wait and see how his other big bluff of raising US$600 billion among the G7 members to fund development to counter the BRI will work out.

A-Non-Yes-Mouse said...

The Evil Japanese Are Onto It Again - Visiting The Yasukuni Shrine

"This is an issue of the Japanese people, so Japanese people need to decide themselves," said Yukie Takahashi, a 60-year-old office worker.

"It's a day to worship, to look back on the past, reflect on it and pray."

Among those visiting the shrine were a vocal group of right-wing activists, some dressed in military uniforms and bearing flags ostensibly to show off to the World that they still harbour the intention to invade other countries, and there is nothing wrong with that.

There are others who released doves and birds as s symbol of asking for peace and tranquility.

The Japanese NHK news showed the shrine being visited early on Monday by several existing Cabinet Ministers, including Economic Security Minister Sanae Takaichi, along with Koichi Hagiuda, the head of the LDP's policy research council and a few of Abe's closed Axis of Evils.

"It is natural for any country to pay respect to those who gave their lives for their country," Chief Cabinet Secretary Hirokazu Matsuno reiterated this message earlier on.

Japan will continue to pay lip service to pretend to show the strengthening of its relations with its close neighbours - China and South Korea.

In 2013, Abe was the last Prime Miinister in recent memory to visit Yasukuni while in office, a visit that was vehemently outraged by both China and South Korea and even drew a rebuke from its close friend, the Evil US Empire.

Though the Evil USA and the Evil Japanese Empire have become somewhat uneasy fellow-bed-fellows, outwardly showing a staunch Axis of Evils together, but for the past 7.5 decades since the World War, their legacy of the conflict haunts the whole of Asia.

To the Koreans, they marked this day as the date as National Liberation Day. They will always remember this day and hate and resent the Japanese for its ruthles invasion, rapes and forced occupation of Korea from 1910 to 1945.

China has bitter memories of Imperial Japanese troops ruthless invasion, massacres, rapes and forced occupation, and various atrocities of unimaginable proportions within various parts of the country from 1931-1945. The Evil Japs went on a full-scale rampage of the whole country, treating and massacring millions of innocent, defendless and hapless Chinese folks without closing an eyelid. To most Chinese, this day can never be forgotten and washed away by blood!



A-non-y-mouse.

Anonymous said...


The Japanese can go and worship the Yasukuni Shrine 24/7,
it is not going to
change the Fate of Japan for the Better. On the Contrary, it is going to make others more wary.

Anyway,
Japan today is no more the Japan of yesteryear.
Its'
destiny may have to be decided by others.





Anonymous said...

The Japanese honour the butchers in the Yasukuni Shrine as their war heroes, knowing how barbaric they were and how many millions have suffered and died in their hands.

People that worshipped the devils, savages and barbarism are no better than the devils and savages.

Anonymous said...

The two hours talk between Biden and Xi was not so much about Pelosi but about how to nail Trump. Biden has struck a deal with Xi to nail Trump for good. This is a thaw when the Democrats are cooperating with the CCP, a bipartisan deal to end Trump's presidential bid.

Anonymous said...

FICA (Foreign Interference (Countermeasures) Act 2021 is a law to empower the authorities to deal with covert attempts by hostile foreign entities to interfere in domestic politics and disrupt social cohesion.

August 01 - during her visit to Singapore, US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi called for the American Business Community in Singapore to support the LGBT community. Following her Singapore visit, she released a statement stating that her congressional delegation had met leaders of the business community and “asked for their support for the LGBTQ (lesbian, gay, bisexual, transgender and queer) community in Singapore.” a

August 21 - Singapore announces repeal of Section 377A of the Penal Code which criminalises sex between men.

US pressure works ! FICA not applicable for Americans, it seems! Maybe US not considered hostile, only China is . .

Anonymous said...

More good things will come