8/07/2022

Pelosi lighted a fire and left - What did she left behind?

 After lighting a fire in US China relations, Pelosi conveniently left Taiwan leaving the Taiwanese in the lurch, now fearing for their lives. They have seen what had happened to Ukraine and the Ukrainians. Their fate would be many times worse should China decided enough is enough and move in to stop the separatist movements. They is no where to run. They can't even become refugees fleeing through land and sea as the island would be totally locked down. Those who escaped, the only place is the US. No one else would want them, at least not the neighbouring countries. Europe and the Americans would look at them as the Yellow Peril, not blue eye blonds.

Are the Taiwanese regretting now? Are they still defiance and wanting to push to break away from the motherland? This is an act of treason in any country. This is time for reflection and to ask themselves what are the alternatives available. To China, there is only one alternative and nothing else matters.

What is the message of the Pelosi visit? To the Americans, it is to destabilise cross strait relations and to raise tension in the region, possibly war. They loved wars and would be telling the Taiwanese that they would be behind them. The Americans are testing the Chinese in a chicken game, that they would take on China militarily. The show of force of two aircraft carriers have dwindled down. They know that the first thing to happen would be the sinking of the aircraft carriers by China. Both are in the dangerous firing range of China' anti aircraft carrier missiles. There is no defence as China would be raining missiles on them in exchange for 10 Americans and 200 American aircrafts. 

They are still in the area, albeit further out in the ocean, thinking that it would be safer and a chance to flee if China strikes, or assuming that war would not start and China would be restrained to strike, the same kind of thinking as WW2 against the Japanese. The Japanese struck Pearl Harbour. Sinking of the two aircraft carriers would be a disaster many times the size of Pearl Harbour.

China did not want a war that no one would gain. China let Pelosi off the hook before acting against renegade Taiwan. China must act, and China acted, to send a message to the Americans, Japanese and Taiwanese. China would resolutely defend its sovereignty and territorial integrity. By moving its forces to surround Taiwan, China is telling the Taiwanese and Americans a military reunification is on the card and has started. There is no return to the status quo. The blockade would be a permanent feature.

Going forward, China would regard Taiwan as part of China not just in words but in deeds. The presence of the PLA all over Taiwan would be the new normal and the noose will be tightened daily. The reunification of Taiwan is ON and would be expedited. The Taiwanese must know that China meant business and if they are stubborn enough to continue with their separatist movements, their fate would be the same as the Ukrainians. This is real.

The message to the Taiwanese, China is taking control of Taiwan. Would they dare to break out, fire at the PLA? Firing a shot would mean inviting the PLA to take over immediately. And the Taiwanese know very well that the overwhelming force of the PLA is undefensible. Also, which commanding general would dare to take on the PLA, or how many command officers have already had secret deals with the PLA not to act and let in the PLA without a fight? What is there to fight when there is no chance of winning except death and destruction? It is a futile effort for the Taiwanese defence force.

The military option to take over Taiwan could be over in minutes without firing a shot. Many of the Taiwanese forces would simply raise the PRC flags and Taiwan would be reunited with China and life goes on as normal.

The message to the Americans, would the Americans and Japanese dare to join the fray? The PLA will be deploying more and more of its forces in the surrounding sea of Taiwan to ward off any adventurism by the Americans. The Eastern Command have enough resources and might to deal with whatever the Americans could bring to start a war. Any silly country attempting to provoke China in the South China Sea would face robust action from the PLA. They would not be allowed to sail in and out happily to provoke China any more. 

This is the new situation, the new status quo in the South China Sea, East China Sea and the Yellow Sea and Bohai. The PLA has taken over to safeguard China's interest and territorial integrity. It is time for action, no more talks necessary. China is on war footing to take on the Americans.

Other than the new status quo, the visit has exposed the fake confidence of the Tsai govt that they could defend the island. The Chinese exercise, flying aircraft and missiles all over Taiwan and Taiwan dares not react, not a word of protest. Her credibility of defending Taiwan and toughness dissipated in the air. The Taiwanese have lost hope in her and the DPP, all hot air and no substance. They had called her bluff. Taiwan would give up without a fight when China decides to take over by military means. After all they are all Chinese with many waiting to return to the Motherland, a new and prosperous China.

The Americans have told her that they would not send soldiers to defend Taiwan. That was the message Pelosi carried to her. Otherwise she would be thumping her chest again. But no such things. She is now calling for calm and peaceful talks with China. There is no contest without the Americans.

Some analysts have suggested the whole thing was a charade. Biden and Xi had decided everything, without inching towards open conflict. There is no change in American position of a One China.

14 comments:

Anonymous said...

China warns Pacific isles of 'struggle' against coercive regimes when the Americans visited to put pressure on the islanders to choose side to become enemies of China or sanctions by the Americans. Be with us or against us.

Anonymous said...

China reveals why it thinks US sent Pelosi to Taiwan - RT

Foreign minister Wang Yi suggests Washington may have deliberately ratcheted up tensions in the region

Beijing has suggested that US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s (D-California) Taiwan visit may have been part of a ploy by Washington aimed at creating a pretext to deploy more of its military to the region.

In a statement made during his visit to Bangladesh and published on Sunday, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi said that “there are signs that the United States is trying to repeat its old tricks.” The diplomat clarified that Washington has a history of “creating a problem first, and then using it to realize its own strategic plans” elsewhere in the world.

Beijing reminded Washington that “Taiwan is not part of the United States, but China’s territory,” and that by giving the green light to Pelosi’s visit, the US had reneged on its previously professed commitment to China’s territorial integrity.

Meanwhile, panicky words of Singapore’s foreign minister Vivian Balakrishnan on the sidelines of an ASEAN meeting highlighting the alarm among smaller countries in the region is now reported widely. “This is a dangerous, dangerous moment for the whole world.” - FT

Sia suay !

Anonymous said...

The Chinese strategists read the Americans like an open book. They knew what the Americans are up to, trying to raise tension and fear, to justify their military presence like in Korea. Keep conducting provocative military exercise to simulate an invasion on N Korea. Then tell the S Koreans that they need the American bases to protect them from the North.

China refused to fall into the trap, let Pelosi in and out of Taiwan without any interference or harassment, no excuses for the Americans to con the Asean countries that China is hostile and wanting war. Everything is peaceful before she came and left.

What happened inside Greater China, including Taiwan, is China's domestic affairs.

Anonymous said...

PLA’s military drills around Taiwan island were supposed to end on Sunday at noon, but were extended as a contempt toward joint warning of the US, Japan and Australia. To the Chinese, regarding Taiwan question, these 3 countries are paper tiger, paper dog and paper cat in that order.

Anonymous said...

The USA's modus operandi is creating fabricated threats to allow them continued presence in regions of strategic interest.

They did that in Iraq, using WMD. They tried that with North Korea, claiming that North Korea's nuclear possession will destroy the world, and tried to stoke a conflict that will inevitably drag China in again. It failed to take off. The 'Cheonan' incident was a false flag to ignite a North/South Korean conflict, which will again involve China, but failed as well.

They did succeed with 911, which many believe was a false flag, to justify attacking Afghanistan and later Iraq. Now the USA is using Taiwan, hoping to ignite a military conflict, which will be their last chance of countering China.















Anonymous said...

WW3 coming . . .

North Korea has offered 100,000 “volunteer” troops to the Kremlin to help Russia win the war against Ukraine, according to Russian state media.

“There are reports that 100,000 North Korean volunteers are prepared to come and take part in the conflict,” said Russian military pundit Igor Korotchenko on Channel One Russia. Korotchenko praised the North Korean military’s “wealth of experience with counter-battery warfare.”

Anonymous said...

The USA next target is Bangladesh for a regime change, after Sri Lanka and Pakistan. Just wait and see. Their trump card is using India, the eventual beneficiary in South Asia, to hold the key to counter China.

In the meanwhile, the USA, using the CIA and NGOs, is doing the same in ASEAN, with Myanmar, Laos, Cambodia, Malaysia being targeted for regime changes.

Anonymous said...

ASEAN invited the devil into the house. Will ASEAN suffer the same fate as the EU, becoming unfriendly countries of Russia and inevitably China. Europe is in deep, deep trouble, all caused by the devil in their house.

Reading comments on the net, I came across these very telling insights.

1) If people would know how little intellect is ruling the world, they would die of fear - Ivo Andric, Nobel Prize 1961,quoted by one commentator.

2) Even death may not escape the reality in Europe soon, as some crematoriums will shut because of gas shortage.

3) The EU keeps saying they'll find alternative for Russian gas, alternative for Russian oil, and now alternative for Russian coal, but every door they knocked on for an alternative, they found it locked.

That is the reality now facing the Europeans. And they brought it all upon themselves. Will ASEAN be making the same costly mistake?

Anonymous said...

Wonderful news! PLA drills will not stop until reunification

China's People's Liberation Army (PLA) on Monday continued military exercises and training activities surrounding China's island of Taiwan, marking an extension from the previously announced schedule. Drills like these will not stop and are expected to become routine until reunification, as the Chinese mainland shows its determination to push forward the reunification process.

- Beijing

Anonymous said...

What is routine will strangle Taiwan. Now the reality will hit home. China already warned the USA about playing with fire and getting burnt. But it was Taiwan that is getting burnt. Like Europe, Taiwan is in deep shit, caused by the USA. USA is now like the plague.

Anonymous said...

If Taiwan goes the Ukraine way, how many Taiwanese are going to die?

A-Non-Yes-Mouse said...

Even if the 50% of the population of Taiwan is wiped out from this Earth, it is only about 12 million, not even 10% of the overall Chinese population.

However, the Pro-China, non treacherous people, should not be sacrificed for the sake of capturing Tsai Ing-Wen, the half-Japanese in disguise.

Anonymous said...

Why can't Beijing adopt targeted assassinations tactic? Getting rid of just the leaders can avoid war and mass loss of lives.

Anonymous said...

If Taiwan goes the Ukraine way, how many Taiwanese will die is not important for the USA. It is just collateral damage. Europe is not going to absorb Taiwanese refugees as they are themselves are in serious trouble and a sinking ship, taking care of Ukrainian refugees.

Taiwanese can run to Japan, since the Japs are so gung ho about confronting China. Hope the Japs put their actions where their mouth is. Resettle those Taiwanese refugees close to Fukushima, where land is plentiful and unoccupied. Great idea.