This is reported in an
article by Simon Black, an international investor,
entrepreneur, permanent traveler, free man, and founder of Sovereign Man
posted in http://www.sovereignman.com/trends/singapores-central-bank-lost-87-of-gd. MAS lost S$10.2b trying
desperately to defend the Singapore dollar’s rise against the US dollar.
The report said that ‘MAS
was buying US dollars and then intentionally selling them at a lower price in
order to create artificial demand for US dollars. This
was a completely failed strategy.
Singapore’s ultra-healthy
economy attracts investment from around the world, and the natural tendency is
for the Singapore dollar to rise….
In fact, Singapore’s economy
only grew by S$11.5 billion from 2012-2013… so MAS managed to blow through 87%
of the country’s economic growth last year fighting Ben Bernanke. Crazy.
This is something that is
clearly not sustainable. And while that term is a bit overused today, such
losses cannot continue indefinitely.’
The sum is huge definitely
and the report suggested that this is a dangerous exercise that could bankrupt
a central bank. What it did not say but meant is that the MAS was stupid to do
what it did. Is that so? I believe that MAS must have strong reasons to do
spend $10.2b and has been quite successful in preventing the S$ to rise against
the greenback. In fact the S$ is looking like one of the weakest Asian currency
vis a vis the greenback and has lost some 10 to 20% in value. And I believe
this must be the goal of MAS and there must be better returns somewhere that
could offset the S$10.2b lost in allowing the S$ to weaken.
The author of the article
did not know the full story and thought that MAS is really making a big loss of
S$10.2b without knowing that the bigger picture could be net gains of much more
than this loss. I hope MAS could come out with an explanation to prove that the
author of the article is wrong and MAS is having the last laugh. Better to show
with statistics that the $10.2b spent has been recouped with several tens of
billions of profit.