Day in and day out the MSM is propagating the narrative that Ukraine is ready for the spring counter offensive. Just like Gordon Chang's China collapse, it is updated day by day. You can be sure that tommorrow, China will collapse as some sites on social media are hallucinating. Tommorrow Ukraine will start its counter offensive is another hullucination to digest. Putin is twiddling his thumb and waiting.
Ukraine is touted to be ready for a counter offensive very soon. Have the USA delivered the Abrams tanks yet that will be another game changer? Wait another year or two, the USA assured Zelenskyy. As long as Zelenskyy believes in the 'feel good' narrative, the war can therefore continue to the last Ukrainian. Wonder how long Ukraine is going to survive? But not to worry, every Unkrainian's life lost is just collateral damage for the USA.
Just this morning I heard the fantastic news about Ukraine shooting down 21 out of 24 Russian missiles. Ordinarily, it is estimated that to shoot down one missile takes about 2 to 3 patriots from the ground. In other words, only a 25% to 50% chance of success. How many patriot batteries do the Ukrainians have? Maybe 2 to 3 shots to take down one incoming missile is rather optimistic, knowing that it needs more than one to take down a stationary weather balloon.
For a credible counter offensive, how much weapons does Ukraine need? All Ukraininan weapons are delivered after much begging and bargaining. According to sources, those game changing Leopard tanks sent by different Nato countries just became duds, even if ammunitions are available but unsuitable. The more severe problem is that different Leopard tanks from different countries, after modifications over the years to suit each country's usage, fired different calibre shells and are not uniform. In the end, they just fired 'farts'.
There is also talk for months that Zelenskyy wants fighter jets, which again will not be able to operate in the kind of terrain in Ukraine, after all the bombardment by Russia. US F16's need very well maintained runways and are unsuitable to be used on less even surfaces, as it is understood that the engine is sited too close to the ground and sucks in debris on uneven runways thus posing a danger to itself. Therefore, even with those jets, Ukraine will need runways suitable for them, which is not available and those jets will become duds as well. Or sitting ducks for Russian missiles.
With no suitable airstrips for jets to take off, other than using other Nato country's facilities, which will elicit a Russian response, Russia will continue to control the airspace over Ukraine. Counteroffensive ultimately needs airpower for cover, but without them, how is Ukraine going to do it?
Anonymous
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Assuming Ukraine can take back Crimea after their counter offensive, will the Russians just leave it at that and in peace? That is just a Zelenskyy and USA/Nato wet dream. Russia has a Black Sea fleet in that area. It will create trouble for the Ukrainians day in and day out. They can fire a shot now and then, like North Korea, and the Ukrainians will be shitting in their pants. Russia will give the Ukrainians mental torture.
Now, it looks like Poland and Hungary are banning Ukrainian grain to protect their own farmers. When the shit hits the fan, national interest is paramount. Zelenskky is definitely furious. Isn't France doing it too? Germany and Poland, meanwhile, are embroiled in mud slinging over Germany's earlier blocking of the entry of Ukraine into Nato. Norway and Sweden are discreetly bitching over a rocket that failed and fell into Norway and it is accusing Sweden of border violations. It looks like there is a lot of action inside Nato. Do not say 'No Action Talk Only' anymore.
Nato better behave because Putin just announced that 'we have not even started yet' on the real Russian onslaught coming into focus.
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