Today I try, or pretend, to be an elite and think or reason like an elite. This is an important exercise as the elite are the thinkers, agenda setters and decision makers, and will decide the type of life we will lead. And presumably the elite are smart asses and will not think silly or act silly, or short change the people.
A plate of chicken rice is now $10 in some places. And if the price is not controlled or brought down, it will keep spiraling as every seller will think that this is the new normal. All they need to do is to shout that the price is affordable and soon the people will believe so. So the asshole who started the $10 chicken rice is going to reap all the profits he desired and get away with it. Is there a problem with rising prices of chicken rice?
An elite may suggest, since the price is $10 or 3 times the normal price, it will be cheaper and reasonable to divide it up and eat it in three meals. That will make the chicken rice cheaper won’t it?
Another may suggest, reduce the quantity into half and sell it at $5. Or for small eaters, reduce the quantity to a third and sell it at $3. See, the price of chicken rice is now affordable, like before.
There could be more brilliant and cleverer suggestions from the elite thinkers. And they will keep on doing it, cracking their brilliant minds to solve the high chicken price problem.
And none will want to ask, or to know, how the chicken price got to become $10 in the first place, and whether it is justifiable. They have totally forgotten about the asshole that started it. They have accepted the new normal, that a plate of chicken rice should be $10.
Where is Khaw Boon Wan? Has he resolved the high HDB price problem?
9/30/2011
Designing a bank run!
The most feared situation in any financial system is a run on the banks. Banks are exceptionally sensitive and careful in taking in big deposits for fear of such an incident. Big money is good, everyone wants to have a bite of the cherry. But knowing banks, and the danger of big money, they will take all precautions to spread the risk. They will not put themselves in such a precarious situation to facilitate a run on the bank. No banks, however big or rock solid, can withstand a run, as they generally lend out more than they have. There is always not enough cash to feed a run.
The govt and banking authority will not allow such a situation to develop. Allowing it is criminal negligence, as it will lead to the collapse of a country’s financial system and the country itself.
The beauty of it all is that while the govt and banking authority are guarding the front door with triple layers of barb wires, they have left the back door wide open without knowing it, and thinking that all is safe.
Greed is good, but greed is also dangerous. The world is flooded with liquidity. And liquidity can flow anywhere anytime with the high speed and high tech communication and information system. Big funds, private and sovereign funds, are caretakers of big money which they can wield and move around with the flick of a few fingers.
When the funds flow in concert, it is worst than a tsunami. When the cash flows in, everyone opens his arms widely to welcome them. The danger of the cash going out at double quick time can wipe out everything along the way.
Big funds, high speed machines, deregulations, allow money to move in and out of a stock market at will. Many stock markets have experienced the destructiveness of funds moving in and out, sometimes for a few hours or a few days. The full impact of the funds clearing their holdings in concert and getting out of a stock market is as good as a run on the banks. All they need to do is a big sell down.
Not possible? The way the stockmarkets are gearing themselves for the big funds to play havoc to their stocks is extremely idiotic. They have done everything possible to allow it to happen. No need to ask me how. It is only waiting to happen. Even the temporary trading halt on limit down can only be for a moment. When the dam is broken, the trading halt cannot save the destruction. It will be too little too late.
There is no need to run on the banks. Just run on the stockmarket is equally destructive and damaging. The big funds with their big cash hoards and high speed machine are ready to do what they are capable of. It is only a matter of when. Are there enough safeguards to prevent it from happening, or allowing it to happen up to a certain level, that is just as serious in consequences?
Below is a REUTER article dated 29 Aug 2011
Beat high-frequency trading machines by not playing their game
The days of you trying to make a buck actively trading in the stock market are over.
Individuals don’t stand a chance anymore because they are largely competing against rational machines often guided by herd-like irrational forces. The robots can rule in the blink of an eye….
I knew it was over for human traders when I heard that high-frequency trading firms were hooking up their data lines directly to exchange computers to gain an extra hundredth of a second in execution time.
High-speed programs are designed to move millions of shares in a fraction of a second to take advantage of small movements in securities prices….
There’s no way to beat the machines, unless of course, you have a faster machine, better programs or the ability to predict the future. Your odds are better in Vegas, which never had great odds for a palooka pulling a one-armed bandit….
Some 60 percent of the volume of the New York Stock Exchange is attributed to high-speed trading, maybe more.
Although many market observers blamed machine traders for a flash crash last year, regulators have done little to slow down these speed demons....
That’s why will see even more flash crashes and huge price swings called “mini-flash crashes.”…
Don’t even try to time the purchase of your stocks, because Washington will do nothing to protect you against huge market swings.
Wall Street is spreading plenty of money around in lobbying efforts to make sure that their trading desks don’t get regulated in any meaningful way. Sated with financial services industry contributions, House Republicans have already spent most of the year trying to kill Dodd-Frank financial reforms, so high-speed trading isn’t even near the top of their agenda.
So my advice couldn’t be more succinct. The best way to beat the machines is pretty simple: Don’t even play them. Game over.
The govt and banking authority will not allow such a situation to develop. Allowing it is criminal negligence, as it will lead to the collapse of a country’s financial system and the country itself.
The beauty of it all is that while the govt and banking authority are guarding the front door with triple layers of barb wires, they have left the back door wide open without knowing it, and thinking that all is safe.
Greed is good, but greed is also dangerous. The world is flooded with liquidity. And liquidity can flow anywhere anytime with the high speed and high tech communication and information system. Big funds, private and sovereign funds, are caretakers of big money which they can wield and move around with the flick of a few fingers.
When the funds flow in concert, it is worst than a tsunami. When the cash flows in, everyone opens his arms widely to welcome them. The danger of the cash going out at double quick time can wipe out everything along the way.
Big funds, high speed machines, deregulations, allow money to move in and out of a stock market at will. Many stock markets have experienced the destructiveness of funds moving in and out, sometimes for a few hours or a few days. The full impact of the funds clearing their holdings in concert and getting out of a stock market is as good as a run on the banks. All they need to do is a big sell down.
Not possible? The way the stockmarkets are gearing themselves for the big funds to play havoc to their stocks is extremely idiotic. They have done everything possible to allow it to happen. No need to ask me how. It is only waiting to happen. Even the temporary trading halt on limit down can only be for a moment. When the dam is broken, the trading halt cannot save the destruction. It will be too little too late.
There is no need to run on the banks. Just run on the stockmarket is equally destructive and damaging. The big funds with their big cash hoards and high speed machine are ready to do what they are capable of. It is only a matter of when. Are there enough safeguards to prevent it from happening, or allowing it to happen up to a certain level, that is just as serious in consequences?
Below is a REUTER article dated 29 Aug 2011
Beat high-frequency trading machines by not playing their game
The days of you trying to make a buck actively trading in the stock market are over.
Individuals don’t stand a chance anymore because they are largely competing against rational machines often guided by herd-like irrational forces. The robots can rule in the blink of an eye….
I knew it was over for human traders when I heard that high-frequency trading firms were hooking up their data lines directly to exchange computers to gain an extra hundredth of a second in execution time.
High-speed programs are designed to move millions of shares in a fraction of a second to take advantage of small movements in securities prices….
There’s no way to beat the machines, unless of course, you have a faster machine, better programs or the ability to predict the future. Your odds are better in Vegas, which never had great odds for a palooka pulling a one-armed bandit….
Some 60 percent of the volume of the New York Stock Exchange is attributed to high-speed trading, maybe more.
Although many market observers blamed machine traders for a flash crash last year, regulators have done little to slow down these speed demons....
That’s why will see even more flash crashes and huge price swings called “mini-flash crashes.”…
Don’t even try to time the purchase of your stocks, because Washington will do nothing to protect you against huge market swings.
Wall Street is spreading plenty of money around in lobbying efforts to make sure that their trading desks don’t get regulated in any meaningful way. Sated with financial services industry contributions, House Republicans have already spent most of the year trying to kill Dodd-Frank financial reforms, so high-speed trading isn’t even near the top of their agenda.
So my advice couldn’t be more succinct. The best way to beat the machines is pretty simple: Don’t even play them. Game over.
9/29/2011
$500,000 a week’s pay!
Being paid $400k or $500k a week just to play football is common in the British football league or the European league. That is a cool $2m a month or $24m a year, excluding bonuses. Where else can one find such a well paying job and so dignified, with fans screaming everywhere just to see them?
Carlos Tevez is one of the fortunate super football talents to be paid this kind of salary in Manchester City. This is the sister club to Manchester United that will probably reappear anytime for a listing in our stock exchange. And Manchester United, being a better club, with betterer talents, is likely to pay their star players much more, or not worst than Carlos Tevez’s $500k a week pay.
When Manchester United finally got to be listed here, Singaporeans will have the privilege to be associated with this great football club, and also the privilege to be their paymaster, paying each of the star footballer millions every month. Singaporeans should be happy to do that, as paying huge obscene salary is a normal practice here. They are used to it. It will cost them an additional plate of char kway teow at most.
The most important thing is that they are happy paying. It is value for money, every cent of it. Now, why are the parents craving for their children to be in the best school and to get a degree when they could have fun kicking a ball and not being stressed up in our hot house schools, and getting paid several times more than our President?
Carlos Tevez is one of the fortunate super football talents to be paid this kind of salary in Manchester City. This is the sister club to Manchester United that will probably reappear anytime for a listing in our stock exchange. And Manchester United, being a better club, with betterer talents, is likely to pay their star players much more, or not worst than Carlos Tevez’s $500k a week pay.
When Manchester United finally got to be listed here, Singaporeans will have the privilege to be associated with this great football club, and also the privilege to be their paymaster, paying each of the star footballer millions every month. Singaporeans should be happy to do that, as paying huge obscene salary is a normal practice here. They are used to it. It will cost them an additional plate of char kway teow at most.
The most important thing is that they are happy paying. It is value for money, every cent of it. Now, why are the parents craving for their children to be in the best school and to get a degree when they could have fun kicking a ball and not being stressed up in our hot house schools, and getting paid several times more than our President?
The more scary and horrifying part of Halloween Horror
I am in the mood to tell a story that happened many eons ago. Singapore was a young and dynamic state, with an equally young and robust PM. It was an era when mistakes were not tolerated, not even a misplaced comma or a full stop. It could ruin the career of a civil servant for not minding his comma or full stop. Yeah, can be quite unforgiving. But that was the standard of the day.
The PM went golfing on a Sunday morning in Tanah Merah. He drove his tee shot into the centre of the fairway. The sound of a plane roared as it approached for landing. The PM looked up, trying to take a look at the spectacular sight of a Boeing 707 with wheels hanging down. Oops, no luck, view blocked by the casuarina trees. ‘The trees are a bit too high. Otherwise the view would be excellent.’ Said the PM as he went on for his second shot.
The next Sunday he was at the same hole and drove the same ball into the fairway. There was a gust of wind and the ball swerved into OB. A bit annoyed, he looked up. ‘Where are the trees?’ Apparently someone took his comment very seriously, and the trees were cut to waist height, contributing to a more gusty course.
It was an old story and no one will ascertain if it is a true story. The morale of the story is that people at high places should be careful with their words. People react irrationally, taken every word, comma and full stop very seriously too. Some may even over react, for good or bad reasons, for their rice bowl, fear, or to angkat, to please the lord.
And many people suffered as a result. Resources, time, energy and even money were spent that needed not be. How many workers were involved in cutting down the trees? How much was paid to the contractor. The saddest part, the trees suffered a tragic fate all because of an innocent statement. But who cares for the trees anyway?
In the Halloween Horror case, the victims are the poor students, full of enthusiasm, doing their best to score an A for their projects. It would go into their CVs as a shining star when the time comes for sending out job application letters. It probably came to nought. How many people were involved and supported the project and the students, guiding and encouraging them in this endeavour? The lecturers, the principal, the staff of WRS, their friends and relatives, the customers who were willing to pay for the show, never see anything wrong with the event. They were all rebuffed.
How many people’s negative comments were needed to cancel such a project?
What can be worst, not happening yet, and I hope not, will be an asshole to fail the students. The reasoning, the students should know that WRS is a family oriented organization, for wholesome family activities. Choosing something like Halloween Horror and holding it as a WRS event is simply poor understanding, planning and foresight. The students failed to think through the project carefully and thus ended with an abandoned project.
I am just speculating. But knowing the ethos of the day, scoring points, trying to read the minds of those that matters, and taking a stand to please the ‘boss’, angkat angkat a bit, and you can have hell for the students. And don’t expect the devil to protect the students as god is more powderful.
Has the Halloween Horror story seen its final chapter?
The PM went golfing on a Sunday morning in Tanah Merah. He drove his tee shot into the centre of the fairway. The sound of a plane roared as it approached for landing. The PM looked up, trying to take a look at the spectacular sight of a Boeing 707 with wheels hanging down. Oops, no luck, view blocked by the casuarina trees. ‘The trees are a bit too high. Otherwise the view would be excellent.’ Said the PM as he went on for his second shot.
The next Sunday he was at the same hole and drove the same ball into the fairway. There was a gust of wind and the ball swerved into OB. A bit annoyed, he looked up. ‘Where are the trees?’ Apparently someone took his comment very seriously, and the trees were cut to waist height, contributing to a more gusty course.
It was an old story and no one will ascertain if it is a true story. The morale of the story is that people at high places should be careful with their words. People react irrationally, taken every word, comma and full stop very seriously too. Some may even over react, for good or bad reasons, for their rice bowl, fear, or to angkat, to please the lord.
And many people suffered as a result. Resources, time, energy and even money were spent that needed not be. How many workers were involved in cutting down the trees? How much was paid to the contractor. The saddest part, the trees suffered a tragic fate all because of an innocent statement. But who cares for the trees anyway?
In the Halloween Horror case, the victims are the poor students, full of enthusiasm, doing their best to score an A for their projects. It would go into their CVs as a shining star when the time comes for sending out job application letters. It probably came to nought. How many people were involved and supported the project and the students, guiding and encouraging them in this endeavour? The lecturers, the principal, the staff of WRS, their friends and relatives, the customers who were willing to pay for the show, never see anything wrong with the event. They were all rebuffed.
How many people’s negative comments were needed to cancel such a project?
What can be worst, not happening yet, and I hope not, will be an asshole to fail the students. The reasoning, the students should know that WRS is a family oriented organization, for wholesome family activities. Choosing something like Halloween Horror and holding it as a WRS event is simply poor understanding, planning and foresight. The students failed to think through the project carefully and thus ended with an abandoned project.
I am just speculating. But knowing the ethos of the day, scoring points, trying to read the minds of those that matters, and taking a stand to please the ‘boss’, angkat angkat a bit, and you can have hell for the students. And don’t expect the devil to protect the students as god is more powderful.
Has the Halloween Horror story seen its final chapter?
More land needed for private developers
Those who think that the private developers are worried that their properties will not be sold or property prices will fall will be disappointed. Boon Wan would have to release more land for the private property developers to build more private properties for sale. While the locals are complaining about outrageous property prices, the millionaires in China, India, Indonesia and overseas are finding the properties here a bargain.
And it was reported China alone has at least one million millionaires and all wanting to invest in properties. The property developers are laying down the red carpet to invite these new rich to buy properties here. And the take up rate is very high. All the big developers like Far East and Capitaland are in China luring the investors with perks, free air tickets and seafood dinners, all to buy properties here.
If the one million Chinese millionaires were to buy one unit each, that will be one million units short. To be more realistic, if ten per cent of the millionaires were to buy, that is already a cool 100k units. Nothing left and not enough to go round. Then the Indians, Indonesians and Westerners, we need to reclaim more land and islands to build properties.
Alternatively Singaporeans can start to sell out their million dollar properties and move off to JB, Batam and Bintang. One thing for sure, property prices will keep going up. Singapore is going to experience another bigger property boom, and there will be prosperity all round. The more properties one owns, the richer one will become.
Happy days are back again! The long queues in new launches will be back. Banks will be able to offer more attractive mortgages packages. The craze will be on and property speculators will be laughing all the way to the banks.
And it was reported China alone has at least one million millionaires and all wanting to invest in properties. The property developers are laying down the red carpet to invite these new rich to buy properties here. And the take up rate is very high. All the big developers like Far East and Capitaland are in China luring the investors with perks, free air tickets and seafood dinners, all to buy properties here.
If the one million Chinese millionaires were to buy one unit each, that will be one million units short. To be more realistic, if ten per cent of the millionaires were to buy, that is already a cool 100k units. Nothing left and not enough to go round. Then the Indians, Indonesians and Westerners, we need to reclaim more land and islands to build properties.
Alternatively Singaporeans can start to sell out their million dollar properties and move off to JB, Batam and Bintang. One thing for sure, property prices will keep going up. Singapore is going to experience another bigger property boom, and there will be prosperity all round. The more properties one owns, the richer one will become.
Happy days are back again! The long queues in new launches will be back. Banks will be able to offer more attractive mortgages packages. The craze will be on and property speculators will be laughing all the way to the banks.
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