6/26/2025

Changing military balance and strategy in the Middle East

 The recent military response by Iran against the Israeli and American attacks has shaken the assumptions of the military strategists in Israel and the US. Decades of military supremacy and military strategy and deployment of forces would need a rethinking. The invincibility and dominance of the Americans and Israelis over the Arabs and Muslims are no longer a given.

The Americans' strategy of deploying military bases in the Arab and Muslim states to control them is becoming a liability. The dependence on Israel as the attack dog is also in question. The table has turned. It was once a case of the Americans and the Israelis being able to hit any of the Arab and Muslim country at will, a one sided affair. They can carry a big stick to whack the Arab and Muslim states and walk away unscathed as the victim country were so weak, so fearful, hapless and unable to hit back.

The deployment of American military fixed assets, logistics, army, air and naval bases are now sitting ducks to be taken out easily, not just by Iran, but by any Arab and Muslim states that have the foresight and strategy to build up their military capabilities and resources for such an eventuality. The limited resources of the Americans bases cannot be adequate to defend against the resources of a full nation state with sophisticated missile technology. Before the bombing of Iran, the Americans pulled out every warship they had in Qatar, home of the American 5th Fleet that used to control the Middle East. Now they have become a convenient Pearl Harbour within easy reach of Iranian missiles, drones and artillery. Iran today has the military resources to flatten all the American bases in the region, including Diego Garci and American warships and aircraft carriers.

The Americans have to think of withdrawing their bases from the region, like withdrawing their warships and aircraft carriers from the western Pacific Ocean. Iran also can count on its friends like China and Russia to resist a full American attack. There is a red line that the Americans cannot cross. The Russians, Medvedev, has spoken. Russia may be forced to supply Iran with nuclear weapons if the Americans or Israelis dare to nuke Iran.

All the docile and meek Arab and Muslim states must not be sleeping and use the time they have to acquire all the weapons they needed to wipe out all the American bases in the region, including the rogue state of Israel. A day will come, that Israel will have to be destroyed for the good of their country and future generations. Israel is a deadly cancer in the heart of Arab lands. If Israel can have this as their strategy for national survival, to decimate the Arabs like the Americans decimating the native Americans, the Arab and Muslim countries also can have the same strategy. Their hands and legs are no longer tied by the Americans. They have the money and resources to get all the best weapons for their own defence.

Stop sleeping and do what is necessary and real, instead of talking nonsense and begging for the useless UN and other countries to help them. The Arab and Muslim states need to help themselves. And help is now available for those who want to help themselves. Iran, Turkey, Pakistan and Yemen are excellent examples of real independence and with the ability to defend themselves.

The Arab and Muslim states can only be free, independent and safe if they remove all the American bases and Israel from the Middle East. Period. They know but still afraid to act, still believing in the invincibility of Israel and the evil American Empire. Still believing that they are inferior to the Israelis. Still believing in the Iron Dome. 

Iran and the Houthis have shattered all the American and Israeli myths about how good they are, how good are their weapons. The Arabs and Muslim states can only grow stronger and stronger with their wealth and population. What it needs now is the political will to do the necessary. Israel is an existential threat to the Arabs and Muslims. So is the evil American Empire.

8 comments:

Anonymous said...

The key is Chinese weapons, as demonstrated by Pakistan . . . .

Anonymous said...

Agree. If there is no China and Russia, Iran would have been invaded and destroyed like Iraq.

Anonymous said...

The EU countries are falling into another trap set by the USA to increase their military spending to 5% of their GDP. On the other hand, Trump is also reported to have said that the USA need not have to follow that 5% percent spending like all the other NATO countries. Japan refused to fall into the trap and walked away from talks with the USA, also over increased spending on its military. The stupid Europeans have already been played out by the USA by cutting off cheap energy from Russia and is falling into another trap. Stupidity has no cure, or should I say stupid people refused to be cured and preferring to remain stupid. They just love being stupid.

Trump is boasting about making and sending more Patriot Missiles to Ukraine. If Trump could do that earlier, why need to send 20,000 interceptor missiles to Israel from Ukraine, just before the Iranian strike by Israel? Why did not the USA just made them and send them to Israel rather than taking them from Ukraine? The answer is more obvious than reported. The USA cannot make enough of it due to the sanctions on rare earth by China, clear and simple.

The military balance in the Middle East has already changed. Israel is no longer the uncontested power in the Middle East. The 'Iron Dome' myth has been shattered. Israel can be destroyed just like Gaza. That truce touted by Trump is to save Israel from further destruction, nothing more.

Having said that, Iran must be very careful about another pre-emptive strike by Israel once the latter has regrouped and replenished its weapons by the USA. I would not call it a trap being set for Iran, but I am not an optimist believing that the war is over. Far from it.

JayF said...

Iran so strong their leadership bar Khanamei got wiped out lol

Anonymous said...

True or not. I understand one Iranian leader just touted to be dead just turned up alive and running. Just believe in the propaganda and you will never see the truth.

Anonymous said...

For years they have been touting about assassinating this and that leader in Iran, Lebanon, Hezbollah, Houthis and Hamas, and yet cannot put them out of operation.

Anonymous said...

Oh yes, Iran leaders have all been wiped out with only Khamani left, so why even need a truce. Just walk in and take the country? How come not doing so?

Anonymous said...

I do not need AI to tell me this is not over. It will only be over without the USA supporting Israel. Will they? Surprisingly, most people think the USA is completely under the control of Israel, just by controlling the USA Congress.