9/16/2023

A military alliance against the Americans and Nato taking shape

 Despite the USA taking BRICS de-dollarisation move as a minor irritant on the surface, under the surface they are really paranoid, nervous and devoid of any other plans to counter the move except containment, which in essence means containing China, which is at the forefront and the epitome of the de-dollarisation move.

The success of de-dollarisation, slow and steady it may be, will mean the end of the US$ hegemony and thus its privilege of printing unlimited fiat money to support its military bases, warships, personnel and bribes for military leaders of other countries, like those in Africa. This is an existential issue for the USA, and it will fight tooth and nail to prevent the success of de-dollarisation. That is what is to be expected.

The Chips War and sanctions, to contain China, have gone nowhere, with China now having attained the expertise to do the 7nm high-end chips production capability, and most analyst are now commenting that the 5 nm threshold in chip development is close at hand for Huawei and SMIC.

The gap is still there, but the USA and Chips Alliance now do not realistically know how fast it is closing and are worried. The 7 nm threshold was actually expected to be only achievable by China taking at least another five years, but China achieved that in just three years.

So, everything regarding China always work at warp speed. No shit, knowing that China took just a litte more than three decades to reach where it is today, in areas like eradicating poverty, becoming the 'Factory of the World, built a space station, landed on the moon and sent a probe to Mars, most of those achievements have taken at least five decades to achieve for others.

The mastery of the 7 nm chips should provide the resources to help in upgrading its military sector, which was the motive of the USA in sanctioning high end chip sales to China. On the other hand, the shortage of rare earth is dealing an obvious damage, not just to Western chip manufacturers but more importantly to Western weapons manufacturers. The only recourse left for the USA is therefore starting a war with China over Taiwan, under the illusion that the USA still has a little advantage in terms of logistics and support, which they are frantically doing so by expanding their military footprints in more countries around China.

However, the coming together of China, Russia, Iran and now North Korea is putting the USA in a dilemma. This is a war that the USA is uncertain of victory, as China is dicreetly expanding its arsenal of hypersonic missiles and other weapons, beyond the knowledge of the USA and the West. Cutting off Western made communication equipment and spying apps like Windows, Google and others is a wise move.

North Korea is going to supply weapons to Russia, to take care of NATO if a direct war ensues against Russia in Europe. Any move against China in East Asia will see Russia taking up against Nato, and China therefore need not have to worry much about Nato helping the USA over Taiwan, with North Korea playing the gatekeeper over South Korea and Japan should they make a move against China as well.

Kim in Moscow and Putin going to Pyongyang and later to Beijing are clearly telling moves, to discuss their secret plans. That is really 'worrying' for the USA, Nato, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan and the Philippines.

Oh yes, North Korea supplying weapons to Russia is against UN Security Council resolutions. What does the UN Security Council have to say about other UN member countries supplying weapons to Ukraine? Looks like the UN is just following the USA 'Rules Based Order'? Must be.

Anonymous

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Geopolitical watchers are saying that the USA is distinctly winding down its support for the war in Ukraine, knowing it is a lost cause, and is giving full concentrated efforts to ignite a confrontation with China in the East. That tiny military advantage that the USA still holds theoretically, without knowing the reality, is almost on its last hurrah.

The USA knows it, and that by giving just a year or two for China to upgrade its military further, that advantage it still holds will be even less instrumental going forward, and taking down China militarily is a wet dream. Forget about what those 800 military bases, as China has enough hypersonic missiles to take care of them. Moreover, China can still leverage on Russian and North Korean support if their talks later this year touched on that co-operation, which the USA is nervous, paranoid and fearful. Putin's coming visit to North Korea, and to China in October is not to sample moon cakes with Xi, complete with Chinese tea under the moon, or to play with lanterns. You can bet on it.

That reality is compounded by the fact that de-dollarisation is no longer an irritating mosquito bite, but an oncoming tsunami that will wash aside the US$ hegemony. That fall in usage of the US$ may have declined in small incremental steps so far, but it will be a tsunami moment when it comes at full speed. They can still continue to comfort themselves that it will take a long time for de-dollarisation to come to a successful conclusion. Never bet against what the Chinese can do, and at what warp speed they can achieve whatever they put their heart and soul into confronting the odds.

The main objective of Joe Biden's high end chips war and Chip Alliance was declared to cripple China's ability to procure high end chips needed to produce more hypersonic weapons, fighter planes, drones, submarines and warships. The realisation now is that with the Chinese rapid progress in high end chip development, the stranglehold is no longer effective. Therefore there is a certain degree of urgency and anxiety in wanting to start the war over Taiwan.

What Putin, Xi and Kim are planning is putting the USA in a dilemma, not knowing what these three are up to, and are just barking up the wrong tree, not knowing what is it up there. All they are doing is spouting the same old hubris of creating fabricated threats. Can't Putin, Xi and Kim even have the freedom of talking to each other as old friends? What about the USA leaders going around the world spreading poison and frightening those daft enough to believe in what they are doing?