Winter was Russia's weapon in the defeat of Hitler. Winter in 2022 will yet be playing a significant role favouring Russia against the EU vis a vis NATO.
This time, winter in the EU is not going to be a season of good tidings as in the past, and will bring the EU to it's knees first. That is just the beginning. The cut in oil production orchestrated by OPEC+ will put the final nail in the coffin for the EU with EU competiveness in dire jeopardy. The EU, and particularly Germany and France, have prospered for decades with cheap Russian oil and gas. That is going to end.
Germany, sliding into de-industrialisation, will see the disintigration of the EU and NATO, as some countries in the EU, ie the PIGS, were and are still economically dependant on Germany's bailout measures. The end of the EU and with it NATO, will leave the USA without strong allies to support it's agenda and no strong backing at the UN. Right now, against Russia and China, the USA had strong EU support and if that falters or become non existent, the USA will have to go solo. Alone against Russia and China it remains a tall order for the USA. Right now, dealing with North Korea is already a hot potato to handle for the USA.
Presently, OPEC+ is moving beyond the control of the USA and the price of oil is now not up to the dictate of the USA alone. The USA is calling for capping the price of oil, and OPEC+ is making sure it does not happen as OPEC+ countries wants the price of oil to remain high and good profitability to follow. That is bad news for the USA.
If the USA were to call for sanctions against the Middle Eastern producers, particularly Saudi Arabia, that is going to push the Saudis and other OPEC+ countries faster into selling oil in Yuan or other currencies and dumping the US$. That literally is the beginning of the end of the US$ hegemony.