As analysts have noted, the United States has limited munitions, raising the possibility that it would be required to cede the South China Sea in the early stages of a conflict with China. And a successful invasion would increase China’s power projection capabilities and weaken the ability of the United States to support its ally through an air and naval presence in the region.
While the United States could have little hope that other Southeast Asian countries (except perhaps for Singapore) would give practical assistance in the event of a conflict, the Philippines will be in the spotlight.A dearth of other viable regional options makes Luzon, the Philippines’ largest island, separated from Taiwan by the Luzon Strait, highly desirable real estate. Notably, some recent war games by US think tanks focused on how a conflict between the United States and China over Taiwan might unfold have assumed that US forces would have military access to bases in the Philippines. CNA
The above is quoted from an article by a Susannah Patton in CNA. It is quite obvious that the Americans are looking at the Philippines as their attack base against China in their pursuit of world hegemony and control of the western Pacific region. The Philippines have been an American colony and military bases for several decades and the Americans have always treated the Philippines as a convenient colonial legacy to extend their military influence in the region. And there are many Filipino generals that are very closed to the Americans and would favour the return of the Americans to reoccupy the former Clark and Subic bases.
Would the Philippines be willing to play the role of a Ukraine in a war between the United States and China? The article insinuate that China is an aggressive and expansionist power and after reuniting with Taiwan, the Americans mischievously called in invasion of Taiwan, Philippines would be next to be targeted by China. It refused to acknowledge the fact that Taiwan was a part of China and a domestic issue. The real threat to the region is American hegemony and interference and expansion to control the region. It ignores the fact that the Americans have been sending warships and warplanes to provoke and agitate for war and instability in the region.
It also ignores the fact that China has good relations with the countries of Asean, not at war with any of them and does not have hegemonic ambition to be an Empire like the Americans and the West. The Americans are still vigorously cultivating Asean to be their poodle in their fight with China. At the moment it seems that Asean has wisen up to stay out of big power contest and choosing to be neutral. Would this last?
The fact that Asean is increasingly behaving like the Americans, in interfering with the domestic affairs of Myanmar, acting like the righteous God and feeling very good about such actions, is a sign that the basic instincts of arrogance and pompousness are there to be exploited. Small minds always want to think big and act big, like punching above one's weight or poking one's fingers into other people's affairs and telling others to do what it wants them to do. Power in the wrong hands is dangerous.
If Asean forgets its key principles of neutrality, peaceful co existence and non interference in other country's affairs, its member country's affairs, it would slowly become a small arrogant USA like Australia, thinking too highly of itself and willing to use power to act big and tough. The Americans love Asean to behave like a rogue, like gangsters, like the Americans, so that they can pull the strings from behind to divide Asean and to destabilise the region.
Asean still harbours the mentality of third world countries, always thinking too highly of themselves and acting high and mighty, like the way they are acting against Myanmar. Who is the leader in Asean that is advocating such intrusive behaviour against a fellow member and thinking that this is the role of Asean, to interfere and meddle with fellow Asean members and dictating to Myanmar what is right and what is acceptable to Asean?
Do not be surprised that Asean would turn out to be another little stooge led by the nose by the Americans to be the troublemaker in the region, and bring disasters to themselves for being a nasty brat. There is peace and stability in the region for the moment. With the number one troublemaker agitating and encouraging Asean to be like them, the peace and tranquility in the region may soon be a thing of the past.
Pray Asean has wise leadership and be spared from becoming another spoilt brat of the American Empire and turning SE Asia into another trouble spot. Asean must keep its fingers off the domestic affairs of other countries, including Asean members.