The revenge attack by Iran on Israel is a game changer, an eye
opener. It even shocked the Iranians to a great extent. They could not believe it was so easy to penetrate the Israeli so called iron clad defense systems. For decades, the
Americans and the Israelis were spinning about how great their weapon
systems were and how invincible the Israelis were to the point that the
whole Arab and Muslim world were cowering in fear of offending the
Israelis. None of the major Arab and Muslim states would dare to
irritate or provoke the Israelis for fear of being invaded and
flattened, like what is happening in Gaza. Gaza is a piece of cake to
the Americans and Israelis, no big weapons, air power, big artillery to
fight back, except relying on guerilla warfare to fight a war of
attrition.
The resilience of the Hezbollahs and Hamas, and their
successes were still not sufficient to give much confidence to the Arab
and Muslim world. Hamas did a great job in controlling the Red Sea and
causing huge disruption to the shipping supply chain, and inflicting
great economic costs to the Americans and the West. But it is still an
asymmetrical war against big powers with overwhelming superiority in
firepower. They could still be easily wiped out if the Americans or
Israelis have a free hand to do so.
There is nothing compared to
what the Iranians just did in attacking 3 Israeli bases in Israel, all the
way from Iran. The 3 waves of attacks, by drones and missiles were
meticulously planned and executed, with ingenious strategy and precision, took the Israelis and the Americans by surprised. Several
Iranian missiles hit their military targets in Israel, reputed to be
heavily armed and defended, with many layers of anti aircraft and
missile weapons, Iron Domes, Patriots etc etc. The Israelis gave the
impression that Israel is as good as impenetrable, and no Arab and
Muslim state is good enough to cause a dent in the Israeli defence.
The attacks were made known to the Americans several days in advanced to give
them ample time to respond. The British, French
and Jordanians were also roped in to strengthen the defensive ring. With
a 4/5 hour flight, the Americans and the Israelis have all the time to
track the drones and set up their combat air patrols to wait for the
drones. The drones might be slower but still many times faster than hot
air balloons. If the Americans needed 2/3 missiles to take down a hot
air balloon, how many expensive missiles would be needed to take down
these 200/300 cheap drones. Iran won in this wave even if all the drones
were shot down, which wasn't the case. Many still got through. But the
cost of taking down the drones was very high, many expensive missiles
and aircraft were involved.
After exhausting the defense system
and expending their expensive weapons, Iran followed with another two
waves of missiles, the main attack force, against Israeli defense
systems and air bases, all arriving at the same time as the drones. The
success rate for the Iranians was very high, eg 5 out of 7 missiles hit
one air base. The bullshitting by the Americans and Israelis about 99%
killed rate was completely destroyed, becoming an open joke.
The
Iranians have tested and proven the accuracy and effectiveness of their
missiles against the most heavily defended Israeli military targets,
touted as world best, invincible. This successful attack would have
given the Iranians and other Arab and Muslim states a new found
confidence to take on the Israelis. The Israelis have been proven to be
less than able to defend themselves, unable to defend themselves. The
Israelis are vulnerable. All the threats of attacking Iran, to wipe out
Iran, and Iran afraid to hit back or provoke an attack by the Israelis
are now passe. Iran would say, bring them on.
Iran can wipe
out Israel. This is the outcome of this bold attack by the Iranians.
It is a breakthrough! Other Arab and Muslim states, eg Egypt, Turkey, Syria etc etc now know
that the Israeli defense system is full of holes. Iran alone can wipe
out the whole of Israel with all the missiles it possessed, and with
many to spare.
What can be the result or fate of Israel if a
concerted combined attack by all the Arab and Muslim states, properly
executed! Even if the Americans were to get involved, all their aircraft
carriers and naval ships using the same defense system would also be
sunk. If Israel is no longer able to ward off a small wave of Iranian
attacks, the consequences of a major attack in full force would be very
very grave.
From now onwards, the Americans and the Israelis would
have to think very hard about attacking Iran. The Iranians on the other
hand would be more assured, and confident that they could deliver a
deadly blow to the Israelis and the Americans. The Iranian missiles are
now battle proven to be able to beat the American and Israeli defense
systems.
There is now a new sense of well being among the Arab and
Muslim world. There is no need to be in fear of the Israelis and the
Americans like before. The fear is gone. Israel can and would be wiped
out if the Arab and Muslim states were to launch a coordinated attack
together. Israel is unable to defend itself.