Let me start
with a little forecasting on the easier cases. I would like to touch on Holland
Bukit Timah where the PAP led by Vivian with team mates like Sim Ann, De Souza
and Liang Eng Hwa standing against the SDP team of Chee Soon Juan, Paul
Tambyah, Chong Wai Fung and Sidek Mallek.
I think this
is the first GRC that is going to fall to the opposition. Vivian is the anchor
man of this team. Standing against him will be Paul Tambyah, a practicing
academics, Tambyah is in many ways a head above Vivian other than the latter
being a minister. In another way, Vivian as an incumbent minister is also a
weakness due to the many foul ups he made while in office. He is best
remembered for his comments against Lily Neo and the overspending on the Youth
Olympics by hundreds of millions, and also ponding. There are more negatives in
Vivian than positives and the higher income voters in the GRC that would have
voted for Vivian would now have a comparable professional to vote for in Paul
Tambyah.
Tambyah is
going to take a lot of votes from Vivian. And Chee Soon Juan is going to take
all the hard core anti PAP votes. Sim Ann would be pitted against Chong Wai
Fung with a double masters and could break even between them. De Souza, Liang
and Sidek would be the so so candidates that would not do any much good or harm
to either side.
SDP is
likely to gain the upper hand with the two biggies in Chee and Tambyah to make
the difference. My view is that Holland Bukit Timah is likely to go to the SDP.