Israel blackmailing terrorist America into a catastrophic war

Trump is now wedged between a rock and a hard place over Iran. All that threat and gloating is coming back to haunt him. If he pulls back, it will be another TACO moment to savior, which is unlikely with Israel putting pressure on him. If he attacks, which he is pressured to do, he risks pitting the USA military against the unknown defense and offensive weapons given to Iran by Russia and China. There are no such things as known knowns, unknown knowns, known unknowns and all that nonsense as in Iraq. Iran is no Iraq, by a long shot.

Even if Iran faces overwhelming forces, the result is still going to be catastrophic for Israel, which will be the main target of Iran together with USA military bases in the Middle East. USA has already moved troops out of Syria in fear.

Iran has already signaled its intent regarding the Straits of Hormuz should the USA carry out its attack, having held a military exercise and closing the Straits for several hours. This is not unrelated to tension with the USA, but a clear signal of what is to come if the USA attacks Iran. This will be catastrophic for Middle East oil producers and will send oil prices shooting to the moon. And the USA has not figured out what the Houthis are going to do when war breaks.

The resulting skyrocketing oil prices will be bad for the USA and the EU's energy needs and inflation numbers. The USA is already lacking in energy production logistics to fuel its foray into AI and data centers, now competing with domestic users for energy. Europe will be deprived of Middle East oil, while the USA would be hard pressed to deal with its own predicament not to talk about helping Europe. The signs are not good.

Japan and South Korea, both highly dependent on imported energy will face serious issues and will go down on their knees and begging for mercy. What is going to happen is anybody's guess.

China had already been stockpiling its oil years earlier, in massive underground bunkers in anticipation of the consequences, and with Russia's continued cheap energy imports, together with its heavy reliance on nuclear, hydropower, wind and solar buildup, will be affected, but not to the extent of others. China had been building up its renewable energy infrastructures like nuclear power stations, dams, wind farms and solar fields. China's migration of its national transportation mode to electric high-speed trains and vehicles will shield its transportation system from oil shocks.


Anonymous