Covid19 - Statistically speaking, Singapore

From what was reported in the news, here are some numbers that were reported, foreign workers about 300,000, number of test taken daily between 2,000 to 2,500 and the number tested positive about 1,000 daily in the last 4 consecutive days.

Assuming 2,000 tests were administered on the foreign workers daily, to complete testing 300,000 workers would take 150 days or 5 months, or another 4 months given about one month is over.

With 1,000 positive cases out of 2,000/2,500, it means easily 40% of the tested workers were infected. Extrapolate this to the 300,000 FWs, Singapore can expect an eventual number of infected cases from this group to be around 120,000.  This number sure looks frightening and high. Be conservative, say 20% is infected, then the number we are looking forward to is 60,000 when all the FWs are tested in 4 months time.

Another big group that is not in the radar yet is the foreign maids.  So far so good, have not heard of any maids being infected. There are something like 250,000 maids here, my guesstimate.  Assuming 10% is infected, that is another 25,000 potential confirmed cases.

Put the numbers together, going forward, it is foreseeable that the final score in the next few months could be way above 60,000 conservatively speaking.

Is there a plan to test all the maids in the island? Perhaps not since not many maids are infected. If this is true, well, all is good. If significant number of maids are infected, this would be a very serious problem as they lived among us, in the homes of Singaporeans and PRs.

Statistically speaking, the picture is not pretty. The cheapest ticket to join the top 20 countries infected by Covid19 at this moment is 16,000 cases.  With 11,178 cases now and a daily increase of about 1,000 cases, Singapore will be qualified to join this esteemed group of 20 countries in the world in a week's time. Singapore will be infamous as the smallest country with the least population of less than 6m but with confirmed Covid19 cases way above its weight.

Will it or will it not happened? Can Singapore avoid joining the top 20 countries? One way to avoid this is to follow Trump, deliberately not testing or testing as few as possible. Trump did that by controlling the acquisition of test kits and not making them fast enough. As long as they don't test, the numbers will not go up. But this is lying, cheating and only Trump and Pompeo are good at this, their cheating ways.  Cheating is second nature to them.

Covid19 will not destroy the USA, but Trump's big lie would

Covid19 will not destroy the USA, not directly but indirectly as an agent to the folly of Trump and his gangsters in the White House. What would destroy the USA are lies, lies and lies of Trump and his administration.

The biggest lie of Trump and the most sinister, is to tell the American people that he is doing a fantastic job in testing, testing the most people in the world, no other country has done that. Statistically this is a big lie. In absolute terms yes, but in relation to the 330m population of America, it is miniscule. The USA has barely tested 1% of its population when at least a 10% or 20% rate would be necessary to give a good picture of how widespread Covid19 is affecting the Americans.

Trump is spreading this lie to give the Americans a false sense of security that they are hitting the peak and the infection rate is coming down. It is not. The number is now shooting to the roof because there is a deliberate attempt to test as little as they could, aided by the lack of test kits, intentional or otherwise. By not pushing to purchase or make more test kits, the number of people tested is going to be low and inadequate.

Our CNA chart of God's Ladder of Punishment yesterday showed that the infected cases of the USA was 825,000. Just read an American report that it was only 810,000 with an increase of only 25,000. The increase should be 40,000 on that day. Today the expected number as on 22 Apr could be as high as 860,000 or thereabout.

This is Trump's deception and many unthinking Americans and the hillbillies are falling for it and calling for a quick reopening of the economy. They think it is safe when it is not. If testing is done as recommended, the confirmed cases of Americans today would easily be near to the 2m mark. But this is not happening, by deceit and intent of the Trump Administration.

The other key reason why Trump did not want to test even in the early stages of the pandemic is to hide the truth, that the virus had actually infected many Americans way before the incident in Wuhan. It was obvious that Trump was playing delay tactics to avoid early testing that would exposed his sinister plot of planting the virus in Wuhan and China as where it all started. The fact was that it had already started long before Wuhan in the USA.

Trump is not that stupid to not thinking of doing something in January and February and pretended that all was well when it was not. His hands were tied. He knew what was happening and had to play along. He cannot be that dull to get to where he is to the extent of not doing anything in January and February. He just could not and must not do anything or the beans would be spilled.

Today, everything is set and nothing can change the cause of this virus spread in the USA. And for Trump and his Administration to continue to play this game, by not testing enough, they are going to kill many Americans that foolishly believed him and yearning, even protesting aggressively to open for business.

This lie by Trump and his Administration is going to bring the USA to its knee, and knowing how widespread is the virus in the US now, the death toll is going to soar into the millions. Yes, it is the big lie that allowed the virus to do maximum damage to the USA. Without the lie to conceal the truth, the virus could be arrested much earlier with maximum testing and mitigation that the Trump Administration is not doing, playing dumb and delay tactics, and the Americans are going to pay for it with their lives. The premature restarting of businesses will allow the virus to explode in many states that are seeing low numbers today.

Would America be great again after this?

PS.  Latest, CDC director DR Robert Redfield was made to retract his warnings of a worse scenario in fall when the flu season would hit the Americans together with the Covid19 at the same time.Trump only wants to lie about everything is fine, America is Number One. Anyone telling the truth would be chopped if the truth hurts. Lies and lies is the culture of this Clown President. And his right hand man is mad Pompeo, who bragged in Congress that he lied, he cheated and he stole with glee and pride.

Covid19 biowarfare - Open Letter to Trump with 40 questions to answer

This is a very important article by Larry Romanoff. He put in a lot of effort to check out all the cases that were related to this covert operation by the CIA/Americans to cripple China's economy and genocide the Chinese population. The world needs to know all the details that have been dug out to show what the Americans have done but trying to mislead the world and put the blame on China and even start a silly war like the invasion of Iraq. This is worse, and more sinister and will finish a big chunk of human civilisation.

Questions the US government needs to answer:

1. On the topic of the US using biological weapons in China and North Korea, almost everyone today knows the truth, the huge volume of accumulated evidence beyond dispute. After lying about it for 70 years, would you care to finally admit what you did? (1) (2) (3)

2. In your decades-long campaign of biological warfare against little Cuba, including the distribution of hemorrhagic fever, and the swine flu that caused Cuba to kill all 500,000 pigs in the country, the evidence of US responsibility is overwhelming. You have not only lied about this for 70 years but tried to turn the tables by accusing Cuba of being “a pariah state” with a germ warfare program. Would you care to retract your false accusations and finally admit to the world what you did? (4) (5) (6)

3. Please explain why the US has some 400 military bio-weapons labs scattered in (mostly poor and backward) countries around the world, including new ones in Georgia, Ukraine, Moldova, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Uzbekistan, and Kazakhstan. Why not build them in your own back yard? Several nations are demanding that you dismantle these labs and take them home where they belong. Do you intend to comply? (7) (8) (9)

4. In 2004, the Hong Kong Wenweipo published an article titled, “Earliest SARS outbreak suspected in the US”, quoting AP and Reuters about a 45-year-old American woman who became gravely ill with typical SARS symptoms a few months prior to the outbreak in Hong Kong and who died within a day, with the entire hospital and about 80 other individuals with whom she’d had contact all being immediately quarantined. Wenweipo, Chinese researchers, Russian virologists, and military experts speculated the SARS-US virus was necessarily man-made and almost certainly released from a US military lab, the US leak being covered up. Would you comment, please? (10)

5. Can you explain how the Western (US) media immediately and unanimously knew SARS-US was caused by civets when for months nobody on the ground knew anything factual, and later almost everyone on the ground was suspecting Fort Detrick as the source? SARS-US was released in China, in Guangdong Province, but patient zero unfortunately immediately traveled to Hong Kong, sparing China but devastating Hong Kong instead. Would you comment?

6. COVID-US, like SARS-US, appears to be Chinese-specific, 99.5% affecting only ethnic Chinese, with no infected foreigners in Wuhan or China, which naturally raises questions. Harvard University – with apparent funding from the US military – conducted a series of illegal and outrageously unethical “studies” in China (after having been specifically forbidden to do so), surreptitiously collecting hundreds of thousands of Chinese DNA samples, then illegally removing them from the country. Many questions were raised about the (military) application of those samples. Would you care to comment? (11)

7. Please can you explain why MERS-US exploded in South Korea at the JUPITER-ATD bio-weapons lab on the US Airbase at Osan, and why more than 100 South Korean soldiers were suddenly quarantined on the base? (12)

8. Please would you explain why Ebola emerged simultaneously in three different locations thousands of kilometers apart, each within a stone’s throw of a US military bio-weapons lab? (13) (14) (15)

9. Please would you explain why the US military seems to be taking such a strong lead in the COVID-US outbreak in South Korea, and why US servicemen have such frequent contact, “hanging with a Jonestown outfit” (16) like the fanatic Shincheonji religious cult who have been the source of most COVID-USA infections in South Korea? Please would you also explain the coincidence of both MERS-US and COVID-US appearing to have perhaps originated from the same JUPITR-ATD labs at the same Osan Airbase?

10. You recently commented that you could kill the entire population of Afghanistan within days. “Afghanistan would be wiped off the face of the Earth. It would be gone and this is not using nuclear. It would be over in – literally, in 10 days.” How, exactly were you proposing to do that? Biological weapons would seem the only alternative. Viral Hemorrhagic Fever and Hantavirus worked for the US in North Korea once; they should work again. Please elaborate. (17) (18) (19)

11. Please would you explain to China and the world why the CDC shut down the Fort Detrick USAMRIID bio-weapons lab? Was it really due, as your media claimed, to a simple “lack of procedure”? Barring massive contamination and/or infections, why was that huge (80,000 sq. meters) site kept sealed for six months of testing and decontamination before being permitted to only partially resume work? Also, could you explain why most English-language news websites were suddenly scrubbed of all reference to the closure of Fort Detrick when the coronavirus erupted in Wuhan? (20) (21)

12. In October of 2019, your country hosted Event 201 that appeared in retrospect to have been a live simulation of the virus outbreak that occurred in Wuhan shortly after. Also, in a 2019 Netflix documentary titled “The Next Pandemic”, your Bill Gates predicted a pandemic resulting from a coronavirus-like outbreak – starting at a Chinese market. Can you explain these apparently startling coincidences? If Event 201 was an innocent civilian exercise, why was the CIA involved as a participant? Did they conduct the simulation?

13. Odd that in the months prior to the coronavirus outbreak (and again during the epidemic), China was hit with 4 unexplained viral outbreaks in quick succession, new or unusual animal viruses that destroyed much of the nation’s livestock and poultry, causing much economic damage and necessitating the purchase of large volumes of US agricultural products. It would seem that Mother Nature decided to align herself with US foreign policy, not only joining your trade war and assisting your effort to ‘bring China down’ but her apparent unprecedented complicity in choosing the worst possible time of the year and perhaps the worst possible location. In your opinion were these mere coincidences, a run of bad luck, perhaps? Please would you comment, and would you care to predict where this will end? (22)

14. It seems the swine flu that devastated China’s livestock in 2019 was not an act of god or nature but was done by unknown persons flying small drones over the country’s pig farms and infecting thousands of locations, resulting in the culling of more than 100 million pigs. Does this seem unusual to you? Would you care to comment on the probable culprits? (See note 2. above) Please note that “Chinese gangs” and “pork speculators” have already been eliminated from suspicion. (23)

15. With regard to COVID-US, we don’t believe it was brought to China by infected soldiers at the Wuhan military games. If that had been true, all foreign soldiers would have been infected first and taken the virus to their home countries, but events did not progress in that sequence. Please would you tell us how it might have happened? Certainly, the Chinese people have a right to know.

16. It has been conclusively proven that COVID-US did not originate at the Wuhan market, nor in Wuhan at all, nor in China. Further, the virus strains in most nations are different from the one that contaminated Wuhan. Please would you comment on this, in light of your “Chinese virus” statements? (24)

17. Similarly, the people in Italy and Iran would like to know how different strains of the virus might have traveled to their countries. As well, the entire world is wondering why there were two large waves of global infection, the first infecting 25 countries at the same time around January 25, and the second with 85 countries simultaneously experiencing explosive domestic multiple outbreaks within a few days of each other around February 25 – and mostly different from the strain in China. Since only the US has all the various strains, it would seem those infections must have originated in your country. Would you care to explain how this might have happened? (25)

18. Following the above, Japan, South Korea, Italy, and Iran all reported that their domestic outbreaks of COVID-US had no confirmed cases of exposure with China but showed a connection with the United States. Similarly, Australia claims 80% of its infections came from the US, other countries also identifying infections that were Made in America. As well, the huge pent-up eruptions in Washington and New York were entirely domestic in origin, having no proven connection with China. Please will you explain this? (26) (27) (28)

19. China, Italy, and several other nations in Asia and Europe now have documented proof that COVID-US was circulating in their populations for several months before the outbreak in Wuhan. Japan and Taiwan have documented proof that several Japanese became infected in Hawaii in late September of 2019. Please would you address and explain this? (29) (30)

20. Two years ago, John Bolton fired the entire executive group responsible for pandemic response coordination, eviscerating your nation’s infectious disease defense infrastructure. In light of current events, can you explain his actions and your approval of them? You also cut funding for the CDC, eliminating 80% of their global disease prevention efforts, in other words, the department that could have helped other nations detect and control the epidemics they later suffered. More specifically, a key CDC epidemiologist was embedded in China’s disease control agency, but you eliminated her position and brought her home shortly before the virus outbreak in Wuhan. Please explain why you withdrew her at that particular time. (31) (32) (33)

21. For COVID-USA, why did the CDC forbid testing of Americans? Why did the CDC refuse to test even those already in an ICU and on a ventilator? Was it to prevent Americans from learning of the epidemic already loose in their country? Why was Dr. Helen Chu issued a threatening “cease and desist” order to stop testing nasal swabs her flu research team had taken in Washington State from October 2019 onward? Was it to prevent the knowledge emerging that the virus had already been circulating freely months earlier? This is pertinent because normally the reason we don’t ask a question privately is that we already know the answer, and the reason we don’t ask the question publicly is that we don’t want anyone else to know the answer. (34)

22. CDC Director Redfield admitted that US flu deaths were actually from the coronavirus. How many of the 35 million infections and 20,000 deaths were misdiagnosed? Was this accidental? When the cause of death was discovered in autopsies, why was the information kept secret? Why were deceased victims’ families told they died of influenza when the death certificates read “coronavirus”? (35)

23. I have many messages from Americans in Washington, New York, California, Maryland, Virginia, and other states claiming infection, mostly in the latter part of December of 2019 but several as early as late September, all describing similar symptoms consistent with COVID-US.

“I am sure you get thousands of emails but wanted you to know how much I enjoyed and believed your article. I have been trying to find this information online. I firmly believe I am one of the US citizens who had this virus in December 2019. Please continue your research.”

“I live in southwestern Pennsylvania. I became sick very quickly on December 23 at work. I figured I had caught the flu. Although it was unlike anything I have ever had before. In hindsight, I see that I had all of the exact symptoms of the Coronavirus.”

“It was September 30 2019-October 9 2019 when my husband was hospitalized.”

Please would you comment on the apparent existence of COVID-US being widespread in America from September 2019?

24. The WHO emphasized the most important thing was to “test, test, test”, but the US is the one country that steadfastly refused to test, using many excuses that appear both lame and suspicious in retrospect. Harvard Global Health Institute’s Dr. Ashish Jha said America’s “response has been abysmal. It’s hard to imagine how they could’ve done it worse. We’re still the only major country in the world that [is not doing] widespread testing for coronavirus . . . That’s insane given our technical and scientific capacity.” Please would you comment on this? (36)

25. You gave yourself a top grade in handling this crisis, saying, “I’d rate it a 10. I think we did a great job.” Would you care to explain how you arrived at that figure? Meanwhile, even the NYT disagreed with you, saying, “The failure to tap into the flu study [Dr. Helen Chu], detailed here for the first time, was just one in a series of missed chances by the federal government to ensure more widespread testing during the early days of the outbreak, when containment would have been easier.” Please would you comment? (37) (38)

26. Your White House and US media made much play of the proximity of the Wuhan University to the seafood market – where you claimed the virus outbreak originated. Please would you have one of your staff perform a map search for the following address?: Trade Tower I, No. 568, Jianshe Avenue, Jianghan District, Wuhan 430022. (39) Now, would you care to write a paragraph on the following topic: “US Consulate General suspiciously close to the seafood market in Wuhan”?

27. In early March you amazingly declared as classified all COVID-US information and meetings, with all communication to be rerouted through the White House and coordinated with NSC officials. Only specified individuals with security clearance are permitted to attend secret meetings, with no mobile phones or computers allowed. Excluded staff members claimed they were told virus information was classified “because it had to do with China”. Please will you comment on the need for such extreme secrecy (while condemning China for lack of transparency), and please would you explain how coping with a virus epidemic in your country has anything “to do” with China? (40) (41) (42)

28. Virologists are unanimous that the first act after a pathogen outbreak (whether natural or contrived) is to hunt down the source and locate the ‘patient zero’, so as to stop the infection at its origin. All major countries made great efforts in this regard – except the US who made no apparent effort of any kind. Please could you explain why this is so?

29. For several months now, Chinese, Italian, and Iranian Medical and State authorities have been calling for international collaboration to trace the precise genetic trail of the global outbreaks and identify the true origin of the virus. Since all of the humankind desperately wants the answers, is the US cooperating in this effort?

30. The US media made a great fuss about China punishing its so-called whistle-blower Li Wenliang, some inventing false claims he was forced into a confession and even imprisoned. The official narrative, of course, is that America treasures its whistle-blowers while the Chinese are mean to theirs. But today, Li Wenliang is a national hero in China. Would you care to comment and compare his position with those of Edward Snowdon, Julian Assange, and Chelsea Manning?

31. It is documented that your Radio Free Asia created and promulgated widely the falsehoods that the University at Wuhan is a bio-weapons lab and the coronavirus leaked from there. Since Radio Free Asia is an integral part of your misinformation machine and reports to Mike Pompeo, would either he or you care to comment on this apparent slander?

32. Your White House and media have tried to shame China with accusations and insinuations of a bad record of biological pathogen leaks, even though China had only two or three small leaks about 10 years ago, and nothing since. However, your own CDC verifies that between 2005 and 2012 the US had 1,059 instances of theft or leaks of dangerous pathogens that broke containment. One every three days for seven years. Please would you comment on this disparity? (43) (44) (45)

33. A virus test in China costs less than $100 and is paid by the government. In the US, the cost of the same test ranges between $1,500 and $3,000 and must be paid by the patients – who may have no health insurance. Please would you comment on the relative attractiveness of the US Health Care System, and please would you note for whom it is attractive?

34. This is the documented China timeline for the COVID-US outbreak:
Dec 26, 2019: Jixian Zhang detects four anomalous pneumonia infections in Wuhan and reports them to the provincial CDC the next day. The provincial authorities immediately inform the national CDC which prepares to implement the pandemic response protocols. Prior infections had still not been grouped or identified.

December 30, 2019: China’s national CDC notifies the WHO.
December 31, 2019: The WHO publicly reports the new virus outbreak.
January 7, 2020: Chinese virologists identify the virus and confirm a full genome sequencing five days later.

In light of the above, please would you explain your claims that Chinese medical authorities “covered up” the outbreak and “cost the world two months” of preparation time. The claimed two-month delay would mean China had to notify the world in October of a virus that would not emerge for another six weeks. Please would you elaborate on your claims?

35. If it were China with the above history and SARS, MERS, AIDS, EBOLA, bird flu, swine flu, and COVID-19 first erupted in the US, you would claim this as 100% proof that China was responsible. It cannot be a surprise that much of the world today is naturally tending to lay these outbreaks at your doorstep. Would you care to comment?

36. Mr. Pompeo instructed the global State Department staff to vigorously blame China for COVID-US, although I believe Mr. Pompeo is on record as having stated that the government “lies, cheats, and steals” in order to accomplish its objectives. If memory serves, he publicly admitted that lying is one of the most powerful American abilities, sprinkling baseless accusations like pouring dirty water into clean water, to leave a polluted slurry. Since Mr. Pompeo functions at your pleasure, would you please comment on the extent to which you share his philosophy? (46) (47)

37. Mr. Pompeo issued the global State Department staff with specific orders to paint the US “in every interview” as “The greatest humanitarian nation in the history of the world”. But you recently increased sanctions on Iran, preventing the purchase of critical medical supplies, and you ensured the World Bank would decline Venezuela’s plea for financial medical assistance. While China, Russia, and Cuba have sent medical supplies and physicians to nearly 100 nations around the world, your USA has provided assistance to nobody. These actions would seem inconsistent with your self-image of a ‘great humanitarian nation’, instead of appearing to the world as almost savagely inhuman. Please would you reconcile this apparent discrepancy?

38. Many people in Iran and Venezuela too, are dying every day now as a direct result of your policies. Please would you explain the pleasure derived from killing?

39. Recent news reports that you called the President of tiny South Korea to beg for medical supplies. That seems a bit pathetic, but perhaps you could explain. Reports that China is shipping thousands of tonnes of medical supplies to the US. Would you care to comment on the position that the world should treat the US as the US is treating Iran, and refuse to send anything?

40. The 1918 “Spanish” influenza pandemic that killed between 20 million and 50 million people were proven to have originated in the US and propagated throughout the world from secrecy and recklessness. The 2008 H1N1 pandemic also originated in the US and spread through the world from the same causes, your CDC for 6 months unable or unwilling to identify the pathogen, while maintaining the secrecy and promoting misinformation, causing between 200,000 and 500,000 premature deaths worldwide. HIV-AIDS also originated in the US, its simultaneous spread to two other continents still a matter of fierce debate. Would you care to comment on US culpability in these deadly epidemics? Do you plan to apologize to the world for your carelessness? Would you support class-action lawsuits in favor of the victims?

Epilogue
I believe the truth about COVID-US will eventually come out. There must be many people with personal knowledge of the source and method of distribution. What we need now is one more brave Edward Snowdon or Chelsea Manning to leak the information. We will then see how truly the US treasures its whistle-blowers.

Larry Romanoff is a retired management consultant and businessman. He has held senior executive positions in international consulting firms and owned an international import-export business. He has been a visiting professor at Shanghai’s Fudan University, presenting case studies in international affairs to senior EMBA classes. Mr. Romanoff lives in Shanghai and is currently writing a series of ten books generally related to China and the West. He is a Research Associate of the Centre for Research on Globalization (CRG). He can be contacted at: 2186604556@qq.com

The above is published by veteranstoday.com.  All the footnotes of this article are available at the site. https://www.veteranstoday.com/2020/04/02/facing-us-bio-warfare-an-open-letter-to-president-trump-from-the-people-of-the-world/

The Americans need to come clean, be transparent, be truthful, stop lying and answer these questions and not to mislead and confuse the world by blaming China and WHO.

Circuit Breaker: The Sound Of Silence

Circuit Breaker: The Sound Of Silence

Hello my son, my old friend
I've come to talk with you again
Because a vision softly creeping
Left its seeds while I was dying
And the vision that was planted in my brain still remains
Within the sound of silence

In restless streams I have walked alone
Narrow streets of cobble stone
Beneath the halo of London's street lamp
I turn my face to the cold and damp
When my eyes were stabbed by COVID-19's might
That split the night
And touched the sound of silence

And in horrified visions I saw
Ten-thousand people maybe more
People talking without speaking
People hearing without listening
People in dormitories that voices never share
And no one dares disturb the sound of silence
Of silence
Of silence
Of silence

"Fools, " said I, "You do not know
Silence's like a cancer grows
Hear my words that I might teach you
Take my arms that I might reach you"
But my words, like silent rain-drops fell
And echoed in the wells of silence

And the people bowed and prayed
To the dead LKY they still hoping
And the sign flashed out its warning
In the words that it was forming
And the sign said
"I will rise up from my grave!"
Written everywhere on the walls
And in all the school halls
And whispered in the sound of silence"

"I have cometh to relieve you
Of stupidity that cannot cure
By the sound of silence
Of deaths
Of sufferings
Of silence ..........

P/S: The Sound Of Silence
Original song by Simon & Garfunkel - 1964
Adapted by FOG - 21 April 2020
This adaptation is dedicated in general to all Singaporeans and Foreigners who have suffered or affected in one way or another by the COVID-19 Pandemic, and specially dedicated to all the Members of Parliaments who have diligently maintained their Golden Silence over the last three months or so, with regard to the handling of this outbreak in Singapore.

Covid19 - Singapore reports another 1,111 cases today to make 9,125 in total

Hsien Loong is going to talk to the nation again, at 5pm. Is he going to declare Dorscon Red?

Watch the news. Expect some more restrictions. The graph is going exponential.