So many things have been said about this White Paper and so
many pieces of thoughts or rubbish have been uttered to justify its relevance
and execution. Let me just highlight the loose pieces here and try to piece
them together to see if they make any sense and what is the complete picture.
Life time crisis, worst case scenario, a planning paper, political suicide,
TFR, senior citizen dependency, GDP growth, good quality living, more
foreigners, Singaporean core, and 6.9 population target just for fun.
Let me deal with the most important statement of the White
Paper, it is a life time crisis that we are facing. Is this crying wolf or for
real? The crisis mentioned so far is about a fast ageing population and a low
fertility rate. So our population will shrink. Is that a crisis or a life time
crisis? Many matured economies are facing the same problem. Are they facing a
life time crisis? There is an international call to reduce or at least stop the
world population from growing. The human race is consuming too much of the
limited resources in the world and over consuming to the risk of destroying
Mother Earth. A slowing down or dwindling population is not a crisis and not a
crisis of a life time. The solution is how to cope with slower growth without
lowering the quality of life. The perverse solution of pumping more heads to
sustain growth is pure nuts. It is like having a higher dosage of drugs to keep
the high.
The population decline is over a period of decades, a slow
ageing process and there is time to consider all the options and solutions to
manage this process without rushing into an equally difficult position that
will get the country and people into an even more in extractable situation in
the future. Is there a need to force the country into taking a path that
amounts to political suicide? Is the ageing problem that mounting and there is
no better way out except to increase the population by bringing in more
foreigners? Is this the best the Govt can think of?
And it was also said that this was just a projection by the
planners to plan ahead. And the 6.9m is only a worst case scenario. They want
to plan ahead, build ahead and provide for the future. What happens to the life
time crisis? Is there a crisis or just a planning crisis? Why are the
politicians so jittery about this proposal like it is a do or die solution?
Or is it about GDP growth and in order to have growth, it
would need to increase the population. No population growth, no economic
growth. So must increase the population by another 1.6 million. And because of
the increase, more housing needs to be built, more land reclamation, and more
economic activities and more growth?
Now, which comes first, 1.7m people or economic growth or more housing
and land reclamation? If there is no need for 1.7m more people, all the
infrastructure for them need not be built and no need to incur the cost,
monetary and environment and social and also political. Can economic growth be
achieved through other means? Is economic growth and numbers the reason for all
the cravings and desire for more people?
Or is the White Paper about better quality living and not
about any life time crisis? The future towns will be better, more well designed
with greeneries everywhere. It will be just like Sentosa and the Avatar
Garden, very green and very costly,
all man made, to replace the natural greeneries that were nature’s gift for
free.
Or is the White Paper about strengthening the Singaporean
core? There is a compelling reason to bring in more foreigners in order to
strengthen the Singaporean core, in quality and not in quantity. I don’t buy
that. Do you? For if such a logic is true and taken to its final conclusion,
the lesser the number of true blue Singaporeans is left, the stronger will be
the Singaporean core, and finally we will be left with the strongest of the
strongest Sinkie core of 77 or 80 Sinkies.
The senior citizen composition in the population is a
natural and transient problem and will go to pass. And the problem is not as
big as it is blown up to be. The baby boomers, many are very well off, if not,
they will have their CPF savings or a HDB flat to live through their last days
with enough to eat. One caveat, if they are not robbed off of every savings by
the hospitals and the medical professionals in their dying days. And many are
working, through the years, 65, 70 and more. Many have families to take care of
them. The dependency ratio is outdated in our context when personal and
national savings are one of the highest in the world, and many are asset rich
and can be traded off for retirement.
Where is the problem, where is the life time crisis? What is
it that is real in the White Paper? Why the urgency and political suicide to
pass through a paper in such a rush? A major crisis will need more time and
serious considerations to ponder over what is best to be done. Looks like this
crisis can wait for no time. It must be done immediately, saved by this White
Paper and nothing else will work.
I have tried to put the puzzle pieces together, but they don’t
seem to fit and many gaps are still waiting to be filled. How transparent is
this White Paper and what is the real crisis proportion problem that the people
are led to believe? Anyone any wiser?