Act now before the next meltdown

This is the heading of an article by Paul Krugman in the New York Times and reprinted in the ST today. His primary concern is the failure to look at the serious problem when all the early signs were there which led to this financial meltdown. America pulled throw several near disasters, at the brink of collapses, but instead of understanding how they got so close to failures, gave themselves all the encouraging and triumphant pats on their backs, and pronounced how clever they were to avoid the falls. The lessons to be learn is to sit back and take a quick look at our own situation and examine if we are sliding towards the edge. And I think we are. The psyche and culture of greed and instant wealth will burst our bottoms before we know it or see it coming. We are in a state of delusion and intoxicated in our past successes. We have triumphed over all obstacles and we think we can continue to bullshit our way through. The thing is that if we are hit by a version of the American financial tsunami, I don't think we can absorb the blow. We would have to sell everything, including father and mother, to get back on our feet. Where are the fault lines? The stock market is one. You cannot build a market that is dependent solely of foreign funds and support to survive. Trying to be a mountain when we are actually an anthill is not only being ambitious, but maniacal. For the moment our market still looks like it is a big market with huge volume of trades executed daily. In reality it is like a hologram. Fictitious trading, or left hand to right hand, is the reason for the high volume. Then there are the rules and mechanisms that do not provide a level playing field for all players have distorted the meaning and viability of the stock market. It is waiting to collapse. Wait till the funds pull out. We will be left with a gaping hole to fill. The high property prices, particularly in the private sector, which also affect the prices of public housing. When the citizens have to pay a life time ransom for a place to stay is perceived as good and healthy, it tells a lot about the faulty mindsets of supposedly brilliant people. The high cost of properties is unsustainable in the long run as it will require a high income to support the prices. In the case of private properties, the few local super rich have bought whatever they could and are waiting for some suckers to offload from them at a profit. But the locals from public housing would barely be able to do it, except for a very few. So open the flood gate for foreign suckers to come in. And that is good. Sell our limited land to foreigners with the dole. Keep building more and more and at ever higher prices. The music will stop one day. The corollary to this madness is the rentals of shops, houses and factories. Just keep driving them up and the landlords will laugh all the way to the bank. One Tay Boon Yong wrote to the ST this morning complaining that his landlord, the HDB, has just informed him that his rental will go up by 20% in January 09. I presume someone will say this is inevitable, imported inflation, or HDB is now a private organisation and must answer to its shareholders, or profit is good. I am so tempted to use the 4 letter word here. Quick profit, by sheer market forces of supply and demand, is the easiest way to make money. The next easiest is monopoly or by edict. In the tiny world of ours, it is so easy to corner the market and put undue pressure to create the forces that favour high prices of everything. Even public transportation will be a victim of such a mentality. Hospitals, education, and anything, can be manipulated by quoting market mechanism or forces as an excuse to raise cost and price. If we keep going down this road unchecked, a few silly buggers who think that they are smart enough and fortune will smile on them forever, will think this is the best way to go. But the majority, which will also count these silly smart asses, will not be able to cope in the long haul. Many will have to struggle all the way while the few smart asses will have their turn to cry when fortune slams the door in their faces. The ancient wisdoms of thrift, lower cost, steady and sustainable growth in small increments are not called wisdoms for nothing.

Myth 197 - No freedom of expression

Recently there seems to be a lot of complaints that Singapore is very uptight and lack of freedom of expression. People even got worried about what kind of T shirts they are wearing. Where is the sense of humour? Huh, what's humour? I think it is all a mis representation. I have all the freedom of expression that I need here, writing my forum/blog. I can even call Bush an idiot. No one has ever said that I can't write such stuff. We are very free actually, and very mature as a people.

Quibbling over taxi charges

There were two letters in the ST forum on the various charges that commuters need to pay for taking taxis. With the economic situations getting bad, many are trying to find ways to save a few cents if they could. The two letters made suggestions to the taxi operators to waive these surcharges or that fees to make it less expensive. Strange that these people who can afford to enjoy taking taxis will be bothered with these small charges. I cannot afford to take taxis so I choose to take MRTs. Much cheaper and can save dollars instead of cents. I am sure many of you will agree with me that if cannot afford, one should not take taxis. If want to take taxis, then be prepared to pay the price. If everyone can afford to take taxis, then the roads will be congested again and more ERPs will be up. Let the price mechanism determines who shall have a free ride down the expressways, who shall ride on taxis, who shall take MRT and buses, and who shall ride bicycles or walk. There is a price for everything.

I am convinced

I was not too convinced even with the regular gaffes coming from George Bush that the democratic process of electing leaders is not workable. Now we are seeing another Bush in Taro Aso, making as many gaffes as Bush in a single day. Then in Europe you have Sarkozy that is not cut out to be a President but more a socialite. The other aspects of failed democracies are the less than able leaders being elected for queer reasons all over the world. And democracy, without power and good leaders, will fail badly like what we are seeing in Thailand today. We must thank ourselves for the great political system that we have in throwing the best leaders from a land that is lack of talents. I am now convinced that we should have a one party system, and do away with elections forever. Oh, election within a one party system should still take place, not the multi party democratic election. In that way we can ensure that only the best leaders are kept in power to help run the country for as long as they can. Our model will be the model for the rest of the world to emulate and to reject at their own risk.

A prick on the conscience

Someone just sms me of a news clip saying that ex senior executives of UBS have returned US$58.2m in bonuses and wages to the bank. After posting the heading, I kind of like the punt. What a prick!