Some of us may recall the Slipper man in past GEs. He was an unassuming man, wearing T shirt and slippers and putting himself up as a candidate in the GE. Could not figure out what was his motivation, but the law permits every citizen the right to nominate himself as a candidate as long as he is not of bad character, not unsound mind, or a criminal or some lesser conditions. There was also another guy, something like a 'parrot' man, with a parrot on his shoulder, also in the fray.
Many took them lightly, probably jokers or mentally challenged, or perhaps they thought they were good enough and stood a chance, with some luck, to be successful in the election. Some thought they were naive or just messing with a serious democratic process. Or could they be in just for just cheap publicity or attention?
The strict criteria for the EP, actually not just strict, but prohibitive criteria that angels would not even qualify, unless the angel is rich and powerful, have one positive effect, to rule up charlatans and jokers from nominating themselves as EP candidates. But the elitist terms have ruled out many good men and women that could easily do the job of the EP without any difficulties, and would also allow more good men and women to make themselves available, to give the people a better choice, to give every citizen an equal chance, equal right, to be the EP.
Putting the bizarre terms aside, the number of eligible candidates is now limited to a very exclusive few individuals deemed to be good enough to be the EP by the ruling party, and ordinary citizens with lesser means were not. The picture becomes very simple and clear when less than a handful of candidates are on the nominated list and comparison of who is the better candidate can be quite obvious. This is in another way like the saying, in the land of the blind, the one eyed Jack shines.
With a very good candidate like Tharman being thrown in by the government, the alternative candidate would have to be someone as good as him in many areas to stand a chance to beat him. When George Goh offered himself, there is still some semblance of a chance that he could win, on a one versus one basis. George's credential may not be as illuminating as Tharman's, but 50:50, anything can happen. Then Ng Kok Song appeared. This quickly reduces the odds for George and both would be seen to be contesting against the government's candidate Tharman. The votes against the government candidate would be diluted and Tharman's chance would increase.
Any candidate coming in after George and Kok Song would only ensure that Tharman would win, unless this candidate is so outstanding that he would overshadow George and Kok Song. Anyone that is at best the equals of George and Kok Song would further wither down the votes and their own chances as well. It is like coming in to spoil the party. Any reasonable man would know this.
What is the purpose of someone that is obviously not an outstanding candidate and still wanting to come into the fray as the fourth, fifth, sixth or seventh candidate? Is there any good reason to do so other than being deluded, or a personal quest, ego, fantasy, or some publicity to boot as a presidential candidate after the event? For whatever personal reasons, candidates adding to the pool would not only affect the chances of serious and better candidates. It also deprives the people from getting the better candidate of their choice.
Hypothetically, no matter how good Tharman is, if the people wants a non PAP candidate, there is a chance for a non PAP candidate to be elected if it is 1:1 or at worst 1:2 fight. Anything more would destroy whatever slim chances for an upset. In a 1 versus 3 fight, we have seen what happened before. The people were angry at the missed opportunity to put Cheng Bock in the Istana. And we are going to see the fiasco repeating again this time.
We can understand that everyone eligible should have his right to nominate himself as a candidate. We also understand that everyone thinks very highly of himself or herself. We also understand that there is an element of luck or accident to happen. But the probabilities are real and difficult to change.
With all due respect to Tharman, if another candidate is to beat him, the chances for that to happen would be a 1:1 contest. Anything more would be in Tharman's favour. Let's hope that on nomination day, only one candidate other than Tharman, would be left to contest the election. We have at least two to date. Let's hope commonsense and the public good would convince the other hopeful candidates to make a wise decision to withdraw from the fight and make the election a serious election for the best candidate to be the EP, not for someone to enjoy the limelight for the sake of being under the limelight, without any hope of winning, but to undermine the chances of another good candidate having an even chance of winning against Tharman, and a non PAP or less politically tainted man becoming the next EP.
We do not want to see a 4 corner fight again. It is irresponsible for this to happen for people to put their self interest ahead of national interest, to turn the Presidential Election into a personal roadshow at the expense of the common good of the people and country.