GE2015 – Tanjong Pagar

This PAP stronghold is suddenly open for grabs in the absence of LKY. PAP is likely to live on its past glories and the LKY hangovers among the oldies and the old faithful.  How strong would this group be is untested as the GRC did not have a contest for the last 2 decades. There are many unknown forces in this GRC and many things would be left to the candidates defending the ward and the challengers.

The PAP is led by a PM potential in Chan Chun Sing. After his move to the NTUC, people are seeing this as an unfavourable move and his PM potential may be called into question. This would be made known in the hustings and voters may hear a confirmation either way. Would Hsien Loong still endorse him as a PM in waiting?  The other members of the team are Indranee Rajah,  Chia Shi Lu, Joan Pereira and Melvin Yong. This is an untested team and in a way all are newbies. The main vote puller in Lily Neo has been sent to Jalan Besar and this may prove very costly to the team. Who would be the one to pull the votes for the team? Chan Chun Sing or Indranee or one of the newer newbies?

Facing them is a completely new team from SingFirst led by Presidential candidate Tan Jee Say and supported by a recognizable face in Ang Yong Guan. The other members are Muhamad Fahmi Rais, Melwyn Chiu and Chirag Desai, all new faces. It is difficult to know the strength of the newbies in both teams at this moment.

The contest in Tanjong Pagar is likely to be between Jee Say and Ang Yong Guan against Chan Chun Sing, Indranee and legacy. Putting aside history, the oratory skills of the pair of combatants would be put to test and be the deciding factor. By the look of things, Tanjong Pagar is not very safe for the PAP as the strongest candidate is Chan Chun Sing whose oratory style was cooked in the military camps.

Who would the voters go for, a PM in waiting or an ex Presidential candidate? The chances for both parties are likely to be 50:50.

911 - Independence Day for Singaporeans

The aliens have landed, more than 2m of them, in this little island Singaporeans called home. And more will be coming according to the govt’s immigration and growth policies. Singapore has no other means to generate economic growth, productivity is at abysmally low, non existence. Its economic numbers are propped up by the influx of foreigners that are hardly enlightening as a factor for economic growth strategy.

Other than the elite, the natural aristocrats and nobles, many Singaporeans are struggling from hands to mouths and depending on govt subsidies in many things to get by, from housing, medical, hospitalization, education, bringing up children etc etc, Singaporeans are now so dependable on the subsidy crutch that removing it will shatter the lifestyle of many. No subsidies many Singaporeans will be in trouble.

Many have lost their good jobs to foreigners and many are waiting to lose theirs with the impending expansion of the terms in the CECA, TPP and Asean Economic Community. More than 50% of the population is foreigners. Many are hidden under the category called locals, ie citizens, new citizens and PRs. How many are the original Singaporeans?

The threat against the existence of the original Singaporeans is reaching breaking point and Singaporeans are voicing their anger and frustration. The govt is responding with some lip service and vague comments to assuage the people that their interest will be taken care of first as Singaporeans. But the influx of foreigners continues though at a slightly slower pace in view of the GE. How would the flow be like after the GE given that the one trick pony cannot think of anything else better than adding more heads into the island?

Singaporeans must prepare for more influx of immigrants once the GE is over and to fight for their life, their existence in the island they called home. The fear of losing their jobs, their homes and their country is more real than in the movie Independence Day.

Come 11 Sep, Singaporeans will be voting for their Independence once again, after 50 years, from being marginalized and booted from their country. It is a fight for life, for the right to be the citizens of their country, to live the way they want it. The GE is a fight to be Singaporeans, to have more rights than foreigners, to keep the foreigners out from their home country, to be proud and take back their self esteem instead of being bullied and pushed aside by foreigners.

Would Singaporeans be united to stand together to fight this last fight before they go down to the foreigners, their country overrun by foreigners? Some are still sleeping and think it is a little discomfort to be squeezing with the foreigners in the train. There is clear and present danger that they will lose their country if they continue to be apathetic and ignore the changes taking place. There is a real risk of becoming a minority to the foreigners.

The aliens are here. What are Singaporeans going to do about it? Fight or flight? Some ministers have encouraged the Singaporeans to flee, go overseas and leave their homes and jobs to the foreigners. Go and give away your homes and your country to the foreigners..

This is a fight not only for all Singaporeans but also for their children and future generations. This is a fight for independence and self determination, not to be swallowed by the hordes of foreigners. It is a fight for freedom, to breathe easier and not to be ruled and controlled by a regime that arrogantly decided everything for the people, including keeping their life savings and forcing the people to pay for a medical insurance scheme they cannot say no, and will wipe out all that is left of their life savings and…only allowed to read and see what the regime approved.

Now you hear the good news. Wait for the bad news after GE if Singaporeans failed to make Independence Day happen. Would there be cries of Merdeka again after 50 years of enslavement? Would there be any original Singaporeans left to do the fighting?

Listening to the ministers is so frightening

With the GE fever on, I watch both sessions of the live debates on Ch 5 and 8 on the GE. I heard Chan Chun Sing and Lawrence Wong and their strong beliefs on the right things that the PAP had done in the past. I have no doubt about the strength of their faith. They truly and sincerely believe in what they were believing in with all honesty and conviction. And it is so scary

Chan Chun Sing spent a big deal of time stressing on the importance of trust and claiming that the PAP had the full trust of the people and that it was this trust by the people that had brought us here today. Lawrence was saying that he was so proud of what the PAP had done to prove how good the PAP was.

I wish I was present to ask them a few questions but since that was not possible maybe I shall pose the questions here and hopefully they could read it and give me an answer.

 

1. The PAP had legislated away the people’s life savings, including mine, without the people’s consent or my consent. Does Chan Chun Sing think the people still trust the PAP? I for one would not trust the PAP with my life savings. I want my money back, every cent of it. Is there a breach of trust? And to Lawrence, is he proud of what the PAP has done about the people’s CPF savings? The PAP brought in 2m foreigners and turned many of them into citizens without seeking the consent of the people. Many people, including me, would not consent to it.  Does Chan Chun Sing think the people still trust the PAP? And to Lawrence, is this something he is proud of?
2. The PAP is forcing the people to pay for the Medishield Life Insurance, compulsory, without asking the people for their permission. And the people would have to pay for this for the rest of their life, emptying every single cent they have in their Medisave Minimum Sum accounts in a matter of time. The Medisave grants and the premiums in the future are not fixed. I can imagine that after all my Medisave Minimum Sum has been ‘gasak’, and if I live long enough, I would risk to go behind bars for not able to pay the premiums. Is this about trust or is this daylight robbery? Is Lawrence also proud of this?
3. The govt signed the CECA with India allowing unrestrained entry of millions of Indians to work here and causing many Singaporeans to lose their jobs. Is this an issue of trust? Does Chan Chun Sing think the people still trust the PAP to sign more of such agreements? Is Lawrence proud of the PAP signing such agreements?

Has the PAP breached the trust of the people and losing the trust of the people?  If yes, is Lawrence still proud of the PAP?

If no, I think both would answer no and are still very proud of what the PAP had done, in particular to the above policies, and this is the frightening part. They cannot see anything wrong in what the PAP had done and going to do if re elected for another term. They are such staunch and unquestioning believers.

The only glitch in the debate was when Lawrence tried to dig out Chee Soon Juan’s past for an airing. This is what he is capable of doing. And while on Chee Soon Juan, it reminds me of another unflattering record of the PAP in its treatment of political rivals like Chee Soon Juan, JBJ and Tang Liang Hong. All were bankrupted. Tang fled for his life and Chee was thrown into jail. What about the sagas involving Roy Ngerng and Amos Yee? Is Lawrence, and for that matter all the ministers, proud of these records?

GE2015 – Marine Parade GRC

Marine Parade would be closely watched by the voters after the close shaved in the last GE. This GRC is ripe for the picking by the opposition given the poor performance against a team of unknown minnows in 2011. In that GE, with Chok Tong and poster boy Tan Chuan Jin’s stars still shining, they could barely win 54% of the votes. This was a clear indication that the voters were not really behind them. And a young Nicole could singlehandedly pulled 46% of the votes must be quite shocking to the PAP camp.

Nicole would not be in the contest this time. But in her place there is a He Ting Ru, a Cambridge trained lawyer,  and a very hardworking and unassuming Yee Jenn Jong. Yee has grown over the years and winning the hearts of the Joo Chiat voters with his persistence to walk the ground. He is likely to be just as well received by the voters in Marine Parade that have grown tired of the PAP.

Tan Chuan Jin has lost his shine as a minister after failing to make any impact in MOM and now in a minor ministry in charge of families and social affair. His dismal effort to reverse the immigration problems and the plight of the PMETs will hang over his head in this GE. And as a PM potential, he is expected to lead the charge, but instead it is an ageing politician taking him along for the ride. This is definitely not going to look well on Chuan Jin and the PAP team.

The contest in Marine Parade would be between an old horse and a PM to be, but not to be, against a hardworking Yee Jenn Jong and a Nicole Seah double with a Cambridge law degree to beat. He Ting Ru is going to be bigger than Nicole from the way the media is avoiding coverage on her. Someone else also pointed this out, that whenever Ting Ru was caught on camera several times, speaking, the sound was muted. Watch out for this girl to rise to the occasion to take the baton from Nicole and bring it higher. This is the surprise and new star in the WP camp.

My view is that with an electorate that is shifting away from the PAP and wanting a change, and with PAP presenting the same slate, the opposition is looking that much more attractive for a change, and looking that much more sincere to serve. This is likely to be another GRC to fall.

GE2015 – Nomination Closed

The final list of the candidates for the GE is out. My disappointment is not to see Nicole Seah in Marine Parade. I thought she would be the surprise that WP was going to spring on the Chok Tong and his team. The good part is that there is He Ting Ru instead of Nicole. Ting Ru is looking like another candidate in the mold of Nicole, and could be even better. Chok Tong’s team is not going to have an easy ride this time. I will do an analysis of this latter.

Let me start with a little forecasting on the easier cases. I would like to touch on Holland Bukit Timah where the PAP led by Vivian with team mates like Sim Ann, De Souza and Liang Eng Hwa standing against the SDP team of Chee Soon Juan, Paul Tambyah, Chong Wai Fung and Sidek Mallek.

I think this is the first GRC that is going to fall to the opposition. Vivian is the anchor man of this team. Standing against him will be Paul Tambyah, a practicing academics, Tambyah is in many ways a head above Vivian other than the latter being a minister. In another way, Vivian as an incumbent minister is also a weakness due to the many foul ups he made while in office. He is best remembered for his comments against Lily Neo and the overspending on the Youth Olympics by hundreds of millions, and also ponding. There are more negatives in Vivian than positives and the higher income voters in the GRC that would have voted for Vivian would now have a comparable professional to vote for in Paul Tambyah.

Tambyah is going to take a lot of votes from Vivian. And Chee Soon Juan is going to take all the hard core anti PAP votes. Sim Ann would be pitted against Chong Wai Fung with a double masters and could break even between them. De Souza, Liang and Sidek would be the so so candidates that would not do any much good or harm to either side.

SDP is likely to gain the upper hand with the two biggies in Chee and Tambyah to make the difference. My view is that Holland Bukit Timah is likely to go to the SDP.