While China is making plans to deny the access of American warships
patrolling its coastal seas, the Americans are countering this plan by a
war plan called ‘JOAC’ for Joint Operational Access Concept. Obviously
the Americans do not meant it to be a joke. The Chinese area access
denial plan is a defensive strategy to keep the enemies away from its
shores and for doing this, they are being accused to being provocative,
if not, aggressive.
The Americans have been strutting their military hardware along the
Yellow Sea, East China Seas, right at the door step of China and telling
China, what can you do about it. And when China declared its first ADIZ
in East China Sea, another defensive act, the Americans aggressively
flew 2 B 52 nuclear bombers heading straight into China. Such a hostile
act could easily trigger a nuclear war as the nuclear capability of the
bombers cannot be ignored. China could have shot them down if they came a
bit closer to the firing range of their nuclear weapons.
The arrogance and hostility of the Americans and their intent for war
have been taken for granted by the West who spoke about it as if it is
their right to attack anyone they like. And China’s acts to defend
itself with ADIZ and area access denial missiles are read as aggressive
and war mongering.
So the Americans are serious about this joke, oops, I mean JOAC. What is
this plan all about? According to Geoff Dyer in an article published
yesterday in the ST on his book, The Contest Of The Century: The New Era
Of Competition With China, this plan is being devised to counter
China’s area access denial plan to keep American warships away from
Chinese soil to prevent them from launching strikes at China mainland.
How it works? The plan calls for a massive strike against all the
missile targets in China to disarm Chinese missiles from hitting
American warships. And they made a few assumptions, 1, the Chinese would
not doing anything and allow the Americans to launch the strikes
without hitting back, like the cruise missile strike against China’s
embassy in Belgrade. 2, it assume that the strike can be a limited war
and China would not dare to launch its nuclear arsenal against the US
mainland.
The probability of a massive counter attack by China and an all out
nuclear war cannot be ruled out. Which country would allow another
country to strike at its heartland and resist from retaliation if it can
do so and has the weapons to do so? The war crazy Americans cannot be
so mad to think that a massive strike against China could be done
without the Chinese hitting back with all they got. They could not be
more right to call their plan a joke.
While they are planning to counter the Chinese defensive strategy with a
hostile and aggressive war plan, do they believe that the Chinese would
stop at their defensive plan and would not be planning to counter
strike should the Americans carry out their joke? This is very similar
to some countries that think they would have a big advantage to have a
first strike strategy without thinking that the enemy too could have the
same first strike strategy against them.
Just pray the Americans are joking and continue to have more jokes up
their sleeves. The idiots still think war is an option between nuclear
capable super powers and are risking for war. And they are claiming that
the Chinese may flirt with adventurism when they are most guilty of
this act. The Americans could be adventurous against smaller and
military weaker countries. They should plan to have peace with other
nuclear powers if they are sane in their heads.
Kopi Level - Yellow
3/03/2014
3/02/2014
Four Horsemen – The Age of Decadence
A blogger in TRE recommended the Four Horsemen as a good
documentary to watch. The producer Ross Ashcroft gave an analysis on the rise
of civilisation and the falls of empires. It is the last stage in the decline
of empires, the Age of Decadence, particularly in the USA
that is most relevant to what is happening here. Why not when we are just a
small replica of the American system, borrowing and copying everything American
to the T? And if America
is failing, the symptoms appearing there will also be here in a graduated
scale.
The rise of an empire coincidentally dealt with a familiar
subject called pioneers. It all began with the pioneers digging the road and
paving the way for a brighter future for those that came after them. It then
went through the ages of conquest, commerce, affluence, intellectual pursuit
and, just before it came to an end, the age of decadence described as bread and
circus.
The prominent features of the onset of decadence are as
follows:
- An undisciplined over size military that is over extending itself. This is self explanatory in what we are doing today and how cocky we have become.
- Conspicuous display of wealth. We have seen many Ferraris and Lamborghinis and French mansions around us like the Antons and the Michaels.
- Disparity in wealth or a big income gap. No need to elaborate when the wealth of the nation concentrates in the hands of a few families and the high incomes of top people in number of times over the low level workers are there for all to see. The people benefiting from it will tell the daft workers it is the hard truth, can’t be helped.
- A bloated govt or over size govt. No need to explain on this, big in numbers and big in salary.
- An obsession with sex. Funny that we have so many court cases about sex recently.
- Debasement of currency. We used to be able to buy a semi D for $40k but now it needs $3m to $4m to get one. We could get a 5 rm HDB flat for less than $30k but we need $500k or more to get one today. The value of our money has gone bananas.
There are many other features of a decadent state like
apathy, amoralism, no one cares a damn. Think
Hong Lim Park
when several very important issues were raised but hardly anyone bothered to
attend. And housing prices kept spiralling and people said it is good. Ashcroft
described it as the squandering of a generation of its inheritance. I wonder
what he meant and how relevant it is in the City of Sin.
One interesting comment by Ashcroft that I feel very strange and astonishing,
is the glorifications of chefs in the society. Are we also glorifying our chefs
too?
The Americans got rid of the Glass Steagall Act to allow the
banks to do as they liked, creating money and gambling in a way that put the
casinos to shame. And this is facilitated by the call for deregulations and
they did, leading to the financial disaster of 2008 and the massive bailout of
the banks that were too big to fall to the tune of U$8.5 trillion. This was
several times the amount used to reconstruct Europe
after WW2.
The decadence continues unabated after the bailout and the
banking and finance bandits dug in even deeper and waiting for the big bang to
come. The banks continue to gamble and cheat their clients while the stock
exchange was designed for the computer traders to cheat the innocent and
hapless investors. Crimes of such nature that are blatantly flouted like in a
state of lawlessness by the bankers and the crooks in the financial system
without anyone thinking that they were wrong, crimes sanctioned by the states
and with the regulators assisting the criminals to become more efficient and
bold in the plundering. They don’t even know that these acts were criminal,
they did not want to know.
Ashcroft said, ‘When plunder becomes a way of life for a
group of men living together in society, they create for themselves in the
course of time a legal system that authorises it and a moral code that
glorifies it’.
How far or how deep are we in this state of decadence? All
the features of a state of decadence described by Ashcroft are apparent and
here with us.
What is next after the state of decadence?
Here is the link to the Four Horsemen - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5fbvquHSPJU&feature=youtu.be. A good 90 minute documentary.
Kopi Level - Green
3/01/2014
How much an average Sinkie needs to live in Sin?
This
is just a broad brush estimate on how much it would cost an average Sinkie to
live here from birth to death, or the sum of money he needs to earn and to pay
for the privilege of living in Sin City. It will only consider a few basic
factors without going into nitty gritties of living.
For
the first 25 years, it could range from $500k to a million to grow a child to
an adult. The same amount would be needed from 65 to 80 or more during the
golden years. These two phases of life will cost between $1m to $2m for each
person.
For
the duration of 25 years to 65, the working life, it will need something like
$2.5m to $4.5m. At $1k pm for personal expenses, this will work out to about
$500k for 40 years. Add in two children will be an additional $1m to $2m. The
flat will cost between $500k to $1.5m. A car, at $100k per car for 10 years, it
will cost $400k for 40 years.
Just
using these simplified numbers, an average Sinkie will need $3.5m to $6.5m to
survive in Sin for a period of 85 years. And assuming that the cost for the
first 25 years is paid by the parents, it is still between $3m to $6m to get
by. And where is the money coming from?
A
Sinkie must make this sum in his 40 years of economically active life. This
works out to be about $5k to $10k pm, using the minimum and maximum estimates.
Any Sinkie earning less than $5k pm is likely to struggle all the way to
survive, ceteris paribus.
Can
you afford to live in Sin?
Kopi Level - Green
The revelations of the Little India riot
We have heard of brave policemen and of policemen running away from the
mob. We have heard of praises and medals for bravery and brickbats for
not holding the ground, and worse, policemen fleeing for safety. And the
dominant view, the policemen are the law enforcers and must make a
stand, face the mobsters and deal with them with force and authority.
The alternative view is that the police on the ground were outnumbered
and there was no need to risk life and injuries, no need to attack the
mob to escalate the tension and create a nasty situation.
At the moment all the comments are academic as the commentators are detached from a reality, from the tense situation where personal security were at risk. And from the comfort of sitting behind a computer and punching the keyboard I thought it would be easy for Arnold Schwarzeneggar or Robocop to deal with the mob single handed. It would be a piece of cake even if the mob were illiterate villagers that were used to violence, to pelting policemen with stones and anything they could lay their hands on, to overturning and burning police cars. One thing for sure, they were not the nice school children that could be shouted down by a school teacher. It was a violent and incensed mob.
What would happen if the orders were not given to pull back but instead for the handful of policemen to charge at the mob before the arrival of the SOC officers is moot. There could be a few serious casualties among the men and women in blue. Did anyone suggest to the police women to charge at the mob? This sounds like the soldiers in Kota Tinggi during Confrontation who thought it was a picnic and they could take a break bathing in the river unguarded.
It is quite fun really to make all kinds of postulations and even gungho ideas in the comfort of an aircon room with tea and cakes to munch. The riot could throw up a few heroes like Arnold or a few policemen in black plastic bags. Who is wiser?
What do you think? Of course it looked quite ridiculous and malu for policemen and women running away from a mob. It would be nice if they would strut out from the ambushed ambulance with guns blazing in both hands, taking down the mobsters in their way. This would be great stuff for Hollywood or even Mediacorp. Really great for adrenalin pumping and story telling and a great opportunity missed.
I am still having a lot of wild imaginations on what it could have been. If only I had a machine gun crew. But these kinds of wet dreams are best for the early hours in bed. One can only 'how lian' after the event and not being there.
At the moment all the comments are academic as the commentators are detached from a reality, from the tense situation where personal security were at risk. And from the comfort of sitting behind a computer and punching the keyboard I thought it would be easy for Arnold Schwarzeneggar or Robocop to deal with the mob single handed. It would be a piece of cake even if the mob were illiterate villagers that were used to violence, to pelting policemen with stones and anything they could lay their hands on, to overturning and burning police cars. One thing for sure, they were not the nice school children that could be shouted down by a school teacher. It was a violent and incensed mob.
What would happen if the orders were not given to pull back but instead for the handful of policemen to charge at the mob before the arrival of the SOC officers is moot. There could be a few serious casualties among the men and women in blue. Did anyone suggest to the police women to charge at the mob? This sounds like the soldiers in Kota Tinggi during Confrontation who thought it was a picnic and they could take a break bathing in the river unguarded.
It is quite fun really to make all kinds of postulations and even gungho ideas in the comfort of an aircon room with tea and cakes to munch. The riot could throw up a few heroes like Arnold or a few policemen in black plastic bags. Who is wiser?
What do you think? Of course it looked quite ridiculous and malu for policemen and women running away from a mob. It would be nice if they would strut out from the ambushed ambulance with guns blazing in both hands, taking down the mobsters in their way. This would be great stuff for Hollywood or even Mediacorp. Really great for adrenalin pumping and story telling and a great opportunity missed.
I am still having a lot of wild imaginations on what it could have been. If only I had a machine gun crew. But these kinds of wet dreams are best for the early hours in bed. One can only 'how lian' after the event and not being there.
2/28/2014
No need sympathy, no need charity
This is an old story of a beggar in Chinatown. His hands were chopped
off so he became a handicap and had to beg for a living. Jobless,
unemployable, he sat at the foot of a pedestrian bridge waiting for
someone to throw him some crumbs or handouts.
This guy was a bit different. He hung a placard on his chest and it read, ‘I don’t want your charity. I don’t need your sympathy’.
Many were puzzled by his poster. One day the MP came by and was caught by the eye catching phrase. He could not resist asking him what he wants. His reply, ‘I want to be independent to do my own things. But I am handicap, got no hands to do things myself. My balls are itchy. Please scratch for me.’
So?
PS: Didn't know I used She unintentionally. Has changed to He to avoid any embarrassment : )
This guy was a bit different. He hung a placard on his chest and it read, ‘I don’t want your charity. I don’t need your sympathy’.
Many were puzzled by his poster. One day the MP came by and was caught by the eye catching phrase. He could not resist asking him what he wants. His reply, ‘I want to be independent to do my own things. But I am handicap, got no hands to do things myself. My balls are itchy. Please scratch for me.’
So?
PS: Didn't know I used She unintentionally. Has changed to He to avoid any embarrassment : )
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