All
the signs are there that we are having a housing bubble, and a very big one. It
is only a matter of when it will burst. There is no such thing as a bubble will
not burst. We are not so exceptional that it will not happen. And given the
high percentage of speculators and foreigners in the market, all it needs is
for someone to decide to take profit and run. This will lead to more and more
trying to get out before the next person and a trickle will lead to a stampede.
The
point is that who will pay or suffer the most? No tears or sympathy for the
speculators and the foreigners. What is undesirable is the number of young
Singaporeans that will be hurt, the genuine buyers who have been pushed to grab
that property fearing that they will not be able to buy it if the prices keep
going up.
The
fear of not being able to buy made them plunged down a few hundred thousands
for a public flat or more than a million for private properties. How many will
end up with negative assets and a big debt to service? But as long as they are
able to service the loan, maybe in the long term things could still work out.
What is troubling is that if they are unable to service the debt and are forced
to sell their over priced properties at a big loss.
The
high cost of living and prices of big ticket items are supported by a high
income. Many of the yuppies or high living professionals are living on their
salaries and the moment the salaries go, the balloon will go poop and all the
nice things will become unaffordable. The house and the fine cars will have to
be returned as they are still under mortgage or loans. The debt, as we all
know, is just too big to stomach without a big income to service.
Things
will not be pleasant. Pray the clock keeps on ticking and will not stop.