Trump just attacked the whole world and the most badly hit countries are American allies. It is not that Trump did not know the consequences of this madness, to go and kill the Iranians, especially their leaders and school girls and patients in hospitals. Empty head Trump truly believes he is the demi God King, that he can do anything as he pleases and can control the pace of the war. He wanted a quickie, 4 days and pulled out immediately and declared mission accomplished. He did not know that Iran had other plans and can dictate the pace and direction of the war. Iran had turned down his ceasefire call and is telling this man child that the war will go on and on. Iran will call the shot, not dummy Trump.
Now what? Trump only has ammo for one month and will be striped naked by then, with nothing to fight on. But that is not the issue. Trump's allies Japan, South Korea, Vietnam, India and Europe and many countries around the world that needed oil cannot do without oil from the region. They did not have much stockpile to last more than two weeks. Their power grid will have to shut down, their economy will stagger to a halt.
The major European economies, India, Japan, are all heavily dependent on Arabian oil. Singapore too needs Arab oil. How long can these countries function normally without Arab oil? The airline and shipping industries need oil. The heavy industries and semiconductor industries need a lot of power, ie oil. And the AI industry with all the power consuming computer centers...
Taiwan only has one week of oil reserves. What will happen to TSMC? Maybe Trump is offering Xi a welcoming gift for his coming trip to Beijing, by strangling Taiwan first. This war is going to be months, several months, maybe years. The Iranians know the importance of oil, the blood of modern industrial economies. Now the Strait of Hormuz is closed, choked. Not a drop of oil flowing out. China will be affected but marginally as Russian pipelines would continue to flow.
Let's wait to see which country will be the first to go down on its knees begging for oil. The pain will start in two weeks' time. Iran is not going to let Trump go so easily. The show has just started. Thanks to the unthinking clowns in Washington and top clown Trump. Maybe this has all along been his great plan, and America can make a lot of money selling overpriced oil, including those from Venezuela. The rest of the world can die, their business.
How long can Singapore operate normally without the Arabian oil?
What was China's response to the American and Israel attack on Iran? Similarly, why was China acting like a lame duck when the Americans and its Mickey Mouse were attacking and provoking China and robbing China of its properties and assets?
China, by not being dragged into a war, is winning everyday. The temporary loss of some assets and properties were a small price to pay. Everyday, without fighting a war, is a bonus to China. China keeps on growing, expanding its economy, trade, military power, weapon stockpiling, growing its national reserves, surging ahead in science and technology etc etc. China now has many well developed cities and infrastructure, providing a good life for its people, eating well, living well, growing well and growing richer and stronger by the day.
The Americans are spending their time and resources in wars and instability, digging a bigger and bigger hole to bury themselves in, wasting more than a trillion dollars annually. China will avoid a hot war if it is not an existential threat, just irritation.
According to world renowned economist, Jin Keyu, China is learning from its painful history of emotionally rushing into the Opium War, out of national pride and ignorance of the enemy capabilities, and suffered a century of humiliation. China will not make the same mistake again. China's position is also developed from an understanding of Sun Tsu's Art of War, carefully studying and applying the strategies objectively, painstakingly.
There are several principles and strategies that China are practising. Never fight a war that China cannot win. Only fight a war at a time and place at China's choosing. The Americans have been trying all ways to provoke China into a war when the advantages are with the Americans. It takes a lot of discipline, cool head and self restrained when provoked, when properties and assets are robbed in broad daylight not to hit back.
There will be a time and place for China to fight a war on its own terms, when China is in full control, with superior forces and strength. This day is coming very soon. For example in Venezuela, it was very tempting for China to jump in and very likely falling into a trap set by the Americans. China understands its strength and weaknesses versus the Americans. In the meantime, China will fight its own wars in areas that it has great advantages and likely to win, in economic war, trade war, tech war etc. As for the Pinoys and other Mickey Mouse, China can wallop them anytime at China's own choosing. No need to be bothered with them for the moment. Even Japan is no match for China. China can cook Japan into 'flied lice' anytime, a piece of cake.
In the case of the Ukraine War, and now Iran, China can do a lot without having to fight directly. Putin is in a very comfortable position to hit Ukraine without worrying about the Americans or the Europeans. China is rock solid behind him. The Americans know and have accepted the loss in Ukraine. Russia has won.
Iran is in a similar situation. China, and with Russia and friends, would be 100% with Iran. Iran can confidently take on the Americans and the Israelis with their backs covered. China/Russia are as good as telling Iran, we will support you for whatever it takes. This was the position the Americans told Zelensky but now backing out, betraying the clown Zelensky. For sure China may not be seen to be involved in the Iran fight, like in the Ukraine War. But China, Russia and friends would not betray Iran, would be fighting with Iran to the end. Caveat, the Iranians betrayed themselves.
This is a war Iran cannot lose. The Math is on Iran's side. China will be fighting a winning war without fighting. Iran will get everything it needs, for as long as it needs. Trump cannot last long in many ways. He is very sick, politically castrated, and without the manufacturing base to sustain this war. Trump is going to run out of everything.
Wait for the sinking of the aircraft carriers to pop his deranged ego and confidence. Wait for the Israeli nuclear facilities to go up like a mushroom. Iran has not released its deadliest weapons yet. Iran is throwing all its old stockpiles and outdated weapons to deplete the American and Israeli inventory. Soon they will have nothing to throw at the incoming missiles and drones from Iran. The supplies from China and Russia and friends are as good as unlimited.
Trump was counting on a 4 to 5 days war, after which he thought he could force the Iranians to agree to a ceasefire and promote his stronger position at the negotiating table. That has not happened and the Iranians have categorically rejected the ceasefire via the Italians.
