We
are going to get this kind of growth rate for a while given the maturity of our
economy. Many mature economies are going at the same rate unlike the emerging
countries that are talking of 5 to 10% growth rate. We had a miracle of 15% in
2011 which could be the last flash in the pan.
What
is not so comfortable is that the GDP growth is attained through high
population growth, inflated housing prices, high rentals and high car prices,
or at least these items contributed to a large extent to provide the growth
numbers.
What
would happen without the influx of more migrants, if property balloon gets
deflated, if a more efficient COE system is implemented to replace this highly
inefficient and loaded system? Where is the growth going to come from without
high inflation?
Are
our industries growing and chalking up decent numbers to give the GDP a
positive number? Or are we running out of steam, running out of ideas and by
hook or by crook we will need to inflate the economy, bring in more head
counts, retain the COE to keep car prices high, keep housing prices high, keep
medical cost high and higher? And yes, introduce Medishield Life to boost the
GDP and whatever that needs to be boosted.
Without
these highly inflated industries what would become of the economy? Is there a
growth sector that can uplift the economy to show growth?