10/07/2008
Wall Street's Perverse Pay Structure
In Ho Kwon Ping's commentary in the Today paper, he hit out at the perverse pay structure in Wall Street. How could people's daily wages be in the millions, in US$?!!! It was lunacy for many years over. And everyone was praising the great reward system and the great talents that deserved to be paid that way. No qualms, no guilt, only envy.
The Wall Street model was actually our ideal model, the model that we modelled ourselves and wanted to be. It had caused a lot of grief among our supertalents when comparing the pittance they were getting with their peers in talents in Wall Street.
Now that the truth is out, when talents were actually cheats, maybe we should come down to earth and look at reality against lunacy. Maybe our supertalents will now find themselves happier, that what happened in Wall Streets was a great hallucination that is turning into a nightmare.
Ho Kwon Ping should shout louder, time to change the reward system and pay people their worth as human beans, and not lunatics.
Where is the stock market heading...
Oblivion! That is where our stock market is heading. And this is not due to the current financial meltdown across the world. There are just too many inherent weaknesses in the system that spells one way, doom.
We were building a financial centre, a really huge one to befit our ambition, but relying on the foreign funds to come in and prop it up. For our own market, including funds and investors, is just too small. The over reliance on foreign funds and fund managers means that they can push it sky high and let it drop like a coconut when they decide to pull out. And they are just doing that right now.
The next problem related to this wild ambition is the padding of the stock markets with as many stocks as they can grab hold of, and many were simply junk stocks. To make things worst, derivatives upon derivatives were created almost daily which means that the market is over diluted. Every dollar is spread too thin. As long as the foreign tap is open, and the funds keep flowing in, it looks sustainable.
The commission structure that favours funds and house trading is a killer to the small traders. When big boys trade without having to pay commission except for a small clearing fee, how could small investors survive when they steamroll their way over them?
Then there is the new game of short selling. Small investors normally trade one way. Investing for the long term and and normally long in the market. And the big boys just shorted them out, all the way. The more ruthless is the shorting, the greater the profit for the big boys.
Where would all this lead to? The death of small investors. Small investors are being driven to extinction. All their money gone in a game with a loaded dice.
Their money were also gone when IPOs after IPOs were listed and subsequently all melted away. The billions that were sucked out from the stock market are hundreds or thousands of times the fees that the SGX collected from the listing companies.
What we have is a stock market that is not only leaking, but with a hole as big as a big longkang. Unless the whole system is restructured, fast, it will only head one way, for sure. The big volume of daily trading is only an illusion. The quantity of stocks is also an illusion. Many of the penny stocks are waiting to fold up. Just shell companies in a way. And the big stocks are also not spared from a system that allows shorting the stocks down, with no regards to their value and business.
10/06/2008
Myth 191 - The Big Apple
The Big Apple is the greatest success story of modern history. After WW2, in a matter of 50 years, the US saw tremendous exponential growth to propel it to become the undisputable superpower in military, intellectual and economic terms. All the great success stories came from America. From rags to riches and from family fortunes to bigger fortunes. The best brains of the world are gathered in the US.
But the moral of the story is that the shine of the apple is only the exterior. You do not know how bad is the rot. Even with the best and brightest running the show, it can still go wrong. The saddest part is that it was going wrong for too long but the Americans were lulled by the good times, the complacency, to know that hell is calling.
Do not be deceived by the juicy big apple. Dig in to find the truth. Take the good news with some caution and scepticism. The financial failure and coverup were a near perfect job in deception at the highest level in corporate America and govt.
Of fine food and shit
The foreign workers problem in Serangoon Garden is like the traffic congestion problem. You squeeze at one corner, it will prop up in another corner. That is how small and how tight we are. We don't have the luxury of space. When your neighbour farts, you smell it.
What we need is a special path direct to heaven for the foreign workers. I mean have a special express like helicopter lift, from dormitory to work place and back.
You cannot have the cake and eat it as well. You want to eat all the fine food, be prepared for the smell when they are turned into shit.
Too much financial engineering
The financial crisis is partly caused by too much financial engineering and pushing sophisticated products, instruments and derivatives to the ignorants. The days of govt bonds, FDs, stocks and unit trusts were gone. It is now a jungle out there. These sophisticated instruments are meant for funds and finance trained professionals. They are the ones who traded in these instruments for hedging, arbitraging, taking advantages of market inefficiency and their timely news and network of information. Asking the Ah Peks and Ah Mahs to invest in these instruments and expecting them to understand what they are in for is asking too much from them.
In the stock exchange, there all also many derivatives and instruments that are not easy for the average punters to understand. Even the remisiers and dealers will have a hard time trying to manage them and trade these instruments to their advantage. They lack the skills, equipment, softwares and resources to compete against professional fund managers. It is an uneven playing field. The O level students pitting against the PHDs.
Training derivatives, with their high risks and leverages, should not be marketed to the average investors. The watchdogs should also spend time looking into these instruments and gauge their usefulness in a market with unsophisticated investors.
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