And here is the good outcome from the pronouncement by the Court. I would not call it a legal and enforceable judgment. It is not and it will not be legal but a political statement from an institution that has lost its credibility as an independent and impartial world body. The good outcome will come about when countries with vested interests start to make their stand public to reveal their private agenda.
then know who are friends and who are foes.
There will be no need to hide behind a mask anymore. China
There will be a new alignment of forces for control of the
China Sea, politically and militarily. The risk of war is real and
eminent as the main protagonist will have the countries in the region fighting
among themselves, leaving the main protagonists safe and sound from afar. The
announcement by the Court would also make ’s choices and options easier.
To borrow a phrase from George Bush Jr, it is either with me or against me.
There is no need for pretences and speaking in fork tongues. Asean countries will take their chosen places
on both sides of the divide. China
A new and dangerous chapter in the story of the
South China Sea
is about to be written. The way forward is military confrontation with the
hegemon and its allies upping the stakes in a winner take all gambit. ’s appeasement policies to
avoid war are not working. War is coming to China and the earlier China makes up
its mind the better. It is a critical moment in history when China would
have to call on all its friends and allies to act together to face the combined
forces of the hegemon and its allies. China
The only hope for avoiding a nasty confrontation is for the new President of the
break ranks and to start negotiation with Philippines , to seek for a peaceful and
mutually beneficial solution for both countries. Such a decision by the China
would be the only way to scuttle the aggressive intent of the hegemon, to give
it no reason and justification to push for a nasty and explosive solution in
open warfare in the Philippines South China Sea.
Would there be wisdom within the Asean ranks, especially those that have no conflicting claims in the
South China Sea, to call out and
walk away from the battle field drawn up by the hegemon? Or would they be
dragged by the less enlightened Asean states into a war that has nothing to do
with them and nor to their national interests?