MH370 – Why radars cannot see and where it could be?

The MH370 disappeared from radar contact about 120 nm East of Kota Baru. At this point in time there is still no trace of debris to confirm a crash or explosion and both possibilities could be ruled out. Other than the Bermuda TriangleTheory, my view is that the aircraft was likely to be hijacked. The fact that there was no radar contact means that it was deliberately flown under radar coverage to avoid detection and leaving no trails as to where it was heading. The other point to note is that none of the passengers could make a call out with their mobile phones, a sign that all their phones have been confiscated and they are under duress.  Given these assumptions, my point is that the aircraft is hijacked by a team of professionals who knew exactly what they were doing and had a meticulous plan to fly the aircraft to a destination without being tracked or seen on radar.

How could the hijackers do it? How could they fly the aircraft without appearing on the radar screens of any radar or air traffic control stations? To do that the hijackers must have knowledge of the locations of all the radars in the region. The commercial radars of air traffic control towers are in Kota Baru, Penang/Butterworth, Bangkok, Phuket and Ho Chi Minh City. There could be some military radar stations in the area which I am not familiar with. The radars in the south would be Singapore and to the east would be in Sabah, Brunei and Manila.

Given the presence of these radars and putting aside the unknown military radar stations, the hijackers must chart a course from its last known position to their planned destination without entering a radar zone.  Two possible headings, 280 to the west or 100 to the east, would keep them out of the radars in Bangkok and Ho Chi Minh City in the north and Penang/Butterworth and Kota Baru in the south.

The aircraft needed only to travel at below 10,000 ft in either direction for 30 minutes to be out of radar detection. Going west, however would not go far as the path would enter into Phuket if it tries to avoid Penang/Butterworth radars. The eastern flight path is safer, after 30 minutes heading 100, it could turn to 060 on a north easterly direction, climb to cruise level and fly for two hours while avoiding radars in Singapore and East Malaysia.  The aircraft would have to turn to a south easterly direction if it were to avoid the radar in Manila. Assuming that the hijackers are muslims, just assuming, they are likely to head towards the southern islands in the Philippines where they could find friendly forces to accommodate them or their fellow hijackers awaiting them.

The above are just speculations of what the hijackers could do given where they were and where they could fly to, and to stay away from radar detection. This is one of many possible explanations why the MH370 could not be seen on radar other than a total eclipse due to a mid air explosion or sinking into the ocean. If this theory is proven right, MH370 is likely to be in the southern islands of the Philippines.

Just a theory, an educated guess.

Japanese lie and western conspiracy

In a Reuter report yesterday titled, ‘No sign’ Japan’s plutonium stocks risk being diverted to military use, the IAEA Chief, Director General Yukiya Amano said, ‘there was no sign that nuclear material in Japan “has the risk of being diverted” to military applications.’ How assuring is this confession? How convenient for the IAEA Chief to be a Japanese overseeing the Japanese nuclear programme and guarding the weapons grade plutonium in Japan?
 
Can you believe and trust the Japanese that they needed to buy 300kg of weapons grade plutonium for research purposes when this could produce 50 nuclear bombs? Can you believe the Japanese for hunting and killing millions of whales annually for research purposes? The West believe it.
 
The Japanese have kept the 300kg of weapons grade plutonium since 1960 and finally gave in to US demand to hand over to the US. And this is done now with Japan having acquired 159 tonnes of its own plutonium from its nuclear plants as at 2012. And how many kg is 159 tonnes? It is 159,000 kg, which means Japan has enough plutonium to make 26,500 nuclear bombs! So what is the returning of 300kg back to the US?
 
And the question, what is Japan going to do with the 159,000 kg of plutonium in her possession? Amano declared, ‘All the plutonium…in Japan is under IAEA safeguards.’ So, Japan has never touch the plutonium and has not done anything to it and, ‘There is no reason for concern that plutonium held by Japan could be diverted to nuclear arms purposes,’ said the United Nations watchdog in Vienna.
 
How many of you trust and believe the Japanese have no nuclear bomb and have not done anything with the plutonium, including those acquired in 1960 for research. Maybe they were trying to convert plutonium to green tea.
 
Can anyone see this gigantic conspiracy between the West and Japan? What is the truth? The Americans believed that Japan was not going to declare war in WW2 and lived to regret their naivety and stupidity. Now they believe the Japanese have no nuclear weapons and would not strike America a second time.
 
How Japan is behaving towards China and towards its war crimes are testimonies to the character to the Japanese people and what they would do if they are allowed a free hand to do as they please, and with military might.

Mercedes sales getting a boost

The golden Mercedes Benz crashing through the cat claw barrier at Woodlands Check Point is something to watch and envy. The security officers must be stunned and in awe to see that machine smashed through the security barrier meant exactly to bring cars up to 6 tonnes to a stop. And here was a less than 3 tonnes Mercedes Benz running through the barrier like walking on tahu and drove off unscathed. Can you believe it? And no puncture on the tyres! And the car disappeared into the horizon like magic.
 
What kind of car and how was it made to withstand the special steel spikes designed to cripple any cars and even bigger ones like a 6 tonner? At least the tyres would be in shreds. Kudos to the tyre makers. Steel tyre tubes or what? The Benz was better built than James Bond’s Aston Martin I think, or that BMW.
 
Mercedes Benz has earned itself the right to call its Benzes indestructible or at least unstoppable. Good German engineering. Sales must have taken a boost with this life test, not a controlled experiment in the lab.

Roy Ngerng is taking you for a ride – Randall

There is this article by a Randall posted in the TRE with the above title. The author assured everyone that contrary to what Roy Ngerng had written, the money transferred from the Town Council to the Sinking Fund is safe and sound. No need to worry or be frightened, the money will not run away, and will always be there. This is what Randall said,
 
‘The accumulated surpluses are transferred into the Sinking Fund after every GE to safeguard the money from willful spending by the next MPs who come in, no matter which party they are from. It is to ensure that the Town Council is able to continue doing its duties to the people, even after a change in party.
 
So where does the Sinking Fund go? If Mr Roy is to be believed, then the PAP makes regular trips to the Town Council counter after every GE to cart away boxes of hard-earned resident’s cash. It cleans out the vaults, leaving Singaporeans and the Town Council bereft every 4 years. Never mind, we’ll just get the peasants to pay. Pay up you swine! You got millions to replace!
 
The answer (and try not to be too shocked): Nowhere – the Sinking Fund stays with the respective Town Councils itself.’
 
I must say I feel very assured that the Town Council is safe, very safe if they did not try to invest in any bonds again, just like my CPF savings. They are just transferred to the minimum sums accounts and would be there, would not go away. Oh, just a little refinement, Town Council Sinking Fund does not have Medishielf Life to deduct from your Medisave Minimum Sum Account. Other than this, the minimum sums for Retirement and Medisave Accounts are very safe. Don’t worry, they will be there even after you die as no one can touch them.
 
Smile, your money in the minimum sums and the money in the Sinking Funds are in good hands.

Kopi Level - Green

MH370 – No news is good news

To all those who are suffering from having loved ones in the flight MH370, the waiting for news on what really happened to the aircraft and the fate of the passengers is like a living nightmare. Every moment, every second is pain and agony. In despair and desperation, let there be hope. As long as there is no confirmation that the aircraft had crashed or exploded in mid air, as long as there is no evidence of any debris in the sea or on land, there is a possibility that the aircraft is safe somewhere with all its passengers and crew.

The possibility of the aircraft being hijacked and flown to an unknown destination cannot be ruled out, until such a time when the wreckage is found and confirmed. Let me hazard to try to create a possible scenario of what could have happened given the sparse information available. This is just a theory and could be proven totally wrong when the truth is out. Assuming that this is a hijack, it is a very professional job done with meticulous planning and expertise in aviation knowledge.

At the moment many have in mind that this is likely to be the works of the Uighurs or the same group of people that struck at Kunming Railway Station. I would like to differ from this view given the complexities of this operation that is showing all the signs of familiarity in the operations of air traffic, flight path, aircraft and radar performances. The people involved in this operation cannot be unsophisticated Uighurs, or if indeed committed by them, they must have received professional training and technical support from experts in insurgency. And there are a handful of western expert organisations that could conduct this operation the way it was done.

The first point to note is the location where the aircraft went missing. It was at the edges of both Malaysian and Vietnamese air traffic control zones and also at the limits of their radar coverage. It was like a no man’s land or space. The second point is that the aircraft could fly east or west in airspace that are not under radar surveillance. The western route would be the Gulf of Thailand and at the fringes of Malaysia and Bangkok air traffic control zones. Towards the east into the South China Sea is wide open space, away from Malaysia, Vietnam and the Philippines air traffic control zones. The aircraft could fly at normal cruise level undetected. The third point is the lost of RT and radar contact in almost an instance, indicating that it was likely a deliberate act to get out of radar surveillance, to shake loose it trails, and this could only be done by diving down and flying low level. This is a reflection of the intimate knowledge of radar performance and how to avoid radar surveillance. Once out of radar range, the aircraft could then return to its cruising flight level and on its way unknown to anyone. Fourth, the fact that it broke away just an hour from take off meant that it would have another 5 to 6 hours of fuel left and can fly off to a chosen destination quite a distance away, a lot of room to play with. The islands in southern Philippines look very attractive.

What could happen inside the MH 370 prior to the hijacking could be the most unsuspecting to the crew members. The hijackers could put the crew at ease with things familiar and lower their guards before crashing into the cockpit and immediately restrained the pilot and co pilot. They could even be invited and shown around the cockpit if they could win the confidence of the crew members. Taken by surprise, the pilot and co pilot had no chance to send out any distress signal and became captives of the hijackers.

At this point there were two possibilities. The hijackers could have been trained to fly the aircraft and simply took control from the pilot. Alternatively, the pilot could be under duress to do as the hijackers wished, and flew the aircraft as commanded. And the aircraft disappeared from the radars of Malaysia and Vietnam, destination unknown, but safe.

The intent of this hijacking is still unclear but could be narrowed down to a few possibilities. One obvious objective is to make demands from China by the separatist group in Xinjiang. This is top in the list of speculations. It is less likely to be targeting Malaysia as the dominant active terrorist groups are not hostile to Malaysia at this moment. It could also be groups that are supported by state agencies that are hostile to China and intent to give China some severe headache to deal with.

Hopefully this is the scenario and the passengers and crew are still safe and sound and waiting for the next chapter of this drama to unfold. And this could be the most optimistic picture for those hoping that their loved ones are still alive. Would there be any announcement from a terrorist group to confirm that this is indeed what the whole mystery is all about? Any other scenario would likely be a confirmation of an unfolding tragedy.

Let there be hope that things could still turn out not as bad as it is now. The fact that the black boxes of MH370 are not beeping is a good sign that all is well. This is just an imagination of what could have happened but could be furthest from the truth.

Pray all is well.