What is even more certain that an attack on Iran will come is the failure of Trump to blackmail Iran over the just concluded nuclear deal negotiation. Among the deal, I believe, was the demand that Iran surrender all the enriched uranium it still holds in its hands. This is not ever going to happen, and Iran is going to fight to the last over it.
As I said earlier even if the USA and Israel raze Iran to the ground, the result will still change the landscape of the Middle East beyond imagination. The Arab oil producers will suffer all the collateral damage of not being able to export their oil with the Straits of Hormuz and Bab Al-Mandab rendered impassable to traffic for ships. Boots on the ground in Iran to stop the Iranians totally is out of the question. The Iranians (aka Persians) are hardcore fighters, both in the past and today and the USA dread a guerilla war after Vietnam and Afghanistan. There is the Houthis to take care of as well.
So, let us just say Trump and Netanyahu are now between a rock and a hard place. Moreover, a full-scale war with Iran needs the approval of Congress and if Trump goes ahead without Congressional approval, he faces impeachment, clear and simple.
Anonymous
2 comments:
Middle East oil producers must be praying that the war against Iran does not happen. Otherwise, they are the ones paying the price. Not praying when times are good and just praying when the shit hits the fan is not a pious act.
A sneak attack is the biggest possibility as always. The USA and Israel will create a false sense of security for the Iranians, pretending to back off, and when the Iranian guards are done, an attack will follow.
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