What does
this mean to Singapore? If Singapore wants to abide by the One China policy,
Singapore would henceforth have to terminate all training and official contacts
with Taiwan. This is indeed 伤脑筋。It is not easy to dismantle the
training facilities and equipment in Taiwan and to relocate them elsewhere if
Singapore is to abide by this One China Policy requirement. Singapore has
converted every bit of land into housing estates and nothing is left for the
military and to conduct their training. Singapore is now beholden to countries
that could offer us land for military training and to house our military
hardware and soldiers.
With the
land constraint, a self inflicted wound for wanting to grow the population recklessly,
would Singapore play it tough and take a diplomatic U turn by not recognizing
the One China policy to keep its training facilities in Taiwan? But by doing so
it would have to cut diplomatic relations with China which means all official
contacts and govt to govt businesses in China would be terminated except people
to people or non govt businesses.
China is
giving Singapore a choice, an ultimatum. Singapore would have to decide which
way to go. It can’t have the cake and eat it this time unless it can come up
with a legal interpretation that Singapore did not violate the One China policy
by having military training facilities in Taiwan and official relations with
the Taiwanese govt. The legal expertise
of Shanmugam would be very handy in this case. How about the one who
interpreted that inside the centre is not within 200 metres from the centre? Or
maybe can go to the Tribunal at The Hague for an interpretation that is legal
and binding. If The Hague can call an island as big as Taiping a coral reef, I
am sure they would know how to interpret the One China policy to favour
Singapore. And once again Singapore can tell China to abide by the
international ruling of the court that is UN backed and legal and binding.
Another way
out is to quote the USA. The USA also recognizes the One China policy but has a
defence agreement to defend Taiwan. This American fork tongue behavior is also
called American Exceptionalism. Could Singapore use this exception to justify
its use of training facilities in Taiwan? Can Singapore also call itself an
exceptional country like the Americans and can do anything it wants?
This new
development would need a Uniquely Singapore solution but not sure if it works
in the context of international relations and whether China would lamely accept
such an interpretation and situation.
How is
Singapore going to wrangle itself out of this conundrum? Would Vivian with the help of Shanmugam, come
up on top and dismiss the Chinese protest or representation as baseless and
life goes on as normal, with SAF training unaffected in Taiwan?
The bottom
line, Singapore must now choose between China or Taiwan. Take it or leave it, no buts.