Three things the Iranians have learnt from the recent 12-day war against Israel. Iran has decentralized location of leaders in the event of assassination attempts and has been doing that after the 12-day war against Israel, though leaks are still happening. Iran has done a good job of getting rid of Mossad and CIA operatives and spies, which is ongoing and a must to prevent leaks. The third most important move has been the Iranian military cutting off dependence on the USA GPS system and now using China's BeiDou Satellite system for locating enemy assets and movements.
Which is why Iran has been so successful in targeting important Israeli targets so far. Iran has been reported to have just destroyed an Israeli desalination plant in Sorek. This is a critical infrastructure for Israel, on top of nuclear power station sites. A nuclear bomb strike by Iran is not necessary when that bomb is already in existence in Israel when the shit hits the fan and if Israel resorts to the extreme use of nukes.
There are attempts to portray that Iran started the current war, just because of the claim that Iran had held meetings discussing the possibility, which led Israel to order a pre-emptive strike. Now, there is no way out for the USA and Israel to dig themselves out of a big hole they dug themselves.
Trump has admitted that the war may last a month. This is just what he says and is not what the reality dictates. Trump's grasp of reality is always missing by a mile.
The biggest losers will be the Gulf states and their energy movements with the blockade of the Straits of Hormuz by Iran and likewise the Bab Al-Mandab passage into the Suez Canal via the Red Sea by the Houthis. The Yemenis have no love lost for the USA and Israel to spare a thought for the naval embargo of the Bab Al-Mandab passage. They are waiting for this moment.
Anonymous
4 comments:
When Iran refused to call a ceasefire, that indicates it is not on the verge of collapse.
Despite all the gloating about Iran going to collapse, I think the propaganda machine handlers will be disappointed.
We have a precedent to fall back on. China was proclaimed, loud clear, of being on the verge of collapse for more than 20 years. Yet despite trade wars, technology wars and tariff wars, China is growing stronger and standing up taller. So much trade surplus that the West is madly jealous.
So mad that they 'buay tahan' demanded that China stop exporting, buys USA treasuries and sell more rare earth magnets to the USA. Remember that the Chinese are still peasants and cannot help such a rich country like USA.
China is going to treat those demands as irritation - in the right ear and out the left.
China's silence in the face of demands is making the USA leaders like Scott Bessent on the verge of running amok.
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