Trump thinks Putin, while inside his Alaska home ground, is going to collapse with fear under his big, beautiful serious 'con' sequences threat. How many times have we heard of that 'consequences' word, not just from Trump, his sidekicks and the morons running the EU, three years into the conflict in Ukraine. Sanctions were supposed to collapse Russia, but instead makes Russia greater again (shall I put it as MRGA now). Then there were the game changing weapons being sent to Ukraine to provide target practice for the Russians, achieving nothing. Now it is secondary sanctions on countries buying Russian oil. What else is new?
If my intuition is credible. nothing will be agreed upon in Alaska, not to talk about Putin capitulating. Of course, Trump will still gloat about a big, beautiful and constructive meeting that, if you read between the lines, means actually achieving nothing, just hot air, a ploy to consolidate his Nobel Peace Prize dream.
Now, what will be the serious consequences that Putin is supposed to face if he does not take the deal? More secondary sanctions targeting China and India from buying Russian oil? Now, that threat has already been put into the grave, with even India telling the USA it is going to continue to buy Russian oil, like it or not as it is an existential matter for India.
China is just going to show Trump its middle finger and keeps buying Russian oil, saying nothing as always. The silence of China over many issues is making Trump really crazy, losing sleep and not knowing what to do. My take about China is that it is quietly and seriously decoupling from the USA and does not need the USA to take the lead to do so. It is all clearly spelt out, knowing who depends on who and who is not needing who from now onwards.
Perhaps, if the talks fail in Alaska, Trump will go back to his 90 days ultimatum again for Putin, later to be reduced to 10 to 12 days and ending up again with nothing achieved. This charade is going to continue just like the 90 days extension of the tariff truce on China, the extension of the Tik Tok truce and the ultimatum on Russia with no foreseeable fixed dateline in actual fact.
Anonymous
3 comments:
China has firm intention to decouple from the USA for good. China holds all the cards to survive a decoupling. Not the USA. The USA is not prepared in all quarters to do so. It is just short term propagandizing by the USA against long term planning by China being put into practice.
China had all angles covered in a decoupling from the USA. China has covered its base over food security by buying from Brazil, Argentina and Russia. Indonesia is another source open for China. Energy is another sector that China has its base covered by buying energy from Russia, Venezuela and Iran, building nuclear power plants in large numbers, building dams that are generating power out of all proportions and harnessing renewables like solar, wind and electrification of transportation like high speed rails and EVs. China is using perceptively less oil and is not a sign that China is suffering in its manufacturing sector as hyped up by Western media. These measures have been put in place long ago by China. China thinks long term and is not basing its agenda on flimsy short term thinking and mere propagandizing.
Now, look at who is scampering and who is standing tall and unfazed? China just reported good GDP growth despite all the USA measures attempting to collapse it. China will not just collapse so easily. The West had failed to collapse it for more than twenty long years according to Gordon Chang, and he is still trying his trick year after year.
The USA had no plans in place for farmers to sell their soya beans and corn after losing the Chinese market. Did Trump think about this before starting his trade war and now the tariff war? Now attempting to smuggle their soya bean products under the name as being Brazilian or Argentinian sourced items and getting caught.
The USA had no plans to put in place the manufacturing of consumer goods before starting the tariff war. Now, USA consumers are facing the stark reality that retail outlets are either running empty of things or prices rising steeply and getting out of control. USA relies not just on Chinese consumer product manufacturers, but also on Canadian and Mexican sources for most of its consumer goods.
The USA thought that outsourcing everything to others while they just keep printing money will ensure that its American dream will last forever. The USA never thought it necessary to open up rare earth mines, or refining logistics for them, preferring to push the ecological issues to others like China in the refining of rare earth. Having said that and knowing its fragility, the USA should not be throwing stones at others while living in fragile glass houses.
Now the USA is trying to bring back those industries when making things today are already so expensive in the USA, with added tariffs on raw materials like aluminum and steel. Who is going to pay for the rising costs, while Howard Lutnick is laughing all the way to the bank with a US$30 billion having been collected in tariffs so far and gloating about a US$50 billion a month tsunami. US$600 billion a year is peanuts compared to the US$4 trillions needed to cover the tax cut hole for the super rich.
The USA is cooked for sure and the world must thank Trump for pulling off the bankruptcy of the century.
Trump is directing a blockbuster disaster movie - the collapse of the USA.
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