Despite all the sanctions imposed for decades by the West against Iran, it has not collapsed. Just taking out its nuclear ambition is not going to do it as well. Even a regime change is fruitless and delusional. You cannot change a people deep in Islamic culture - surviving, breathing and willing to die for Islamic beliefs, just like what the USA tried to do in Iraq. Iraq was an example of a regime change that changes nothing. The West had tried to change the religious landscape of China and India in the past and failed miserably.
Some are arguing that this war harping over nuclear issues is more than meets the eye, with the USA using this excuse to punish Iran over nuclear deals, while its main objective was trying to cripple China by preventing the sale of sanctioned Iranian oil flowing to China. There is a growing trade relation between Iran and China, all done outside the US$ and helping to prop up the sanctioned Iranian economy.
Suffice to say, China is making all out efforts to be less dependent on energy from fossil fuel, with its emphasis on harnessing renewables. China is building a large number of nuclear power plants, besides dams, solar power generating fields, wind turbines and moving the country into electrification of its entire transport system. China still needs massive imports of energy - oil, coal and gas. It was a blessing in disguise that China has Russia in its backyard to take away some uncertainties in its energy needs.
Anonymous
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Yes, the Americunt target is actually China, because only China can threaten it hegemony position. China can now project it power oversea with it carrier group just like the Americunt and with more advanced weapons. So by targeting Iran, it hope to cause at least some problem to China economy and also to scupper the peace between Saudi & Iran that China initiated. Don't expect Iran to hit hard at the Americunt, as it would bring more misery to it own people if the Americunt go all out to attack it. Militarily Iran is no match for the Americunt, so it had to think long term and perhap send it own people to Americunt and seek revenge maybe 10yrs later. International condemnation toward the Americunt/Israel will not have any effect as they will just do as they please. The only real effect will be if China/Russia can sink one of the Americunt aircraft carriers then perhap we will see the real TACO.
I just watched a discussion by Dr. David Oualaalou on Youtube on his site 'Geopolitics in Conflict' show, giving his take on the situation now existing in the Iran/Israel/USA conflict.
Dr Oualaalou is of the opinion that the USA had probably bombed an empty bunker shell at the Fordow nuclear facility, as most of its contents had already been moved elsewhere, to somewhere secret and deeper underground. What has the USA achieved if you discount the fake jubilation of Trump and J. D. Vance?
It is noteworthy that Israel had been claiming that Iran had been months away from having the bomb, since 1986 in fact. Why was no action taken then, only now? There was a treaty in existence which had been discarded unilaterally by Trump himself. Tulsi Gabbard is now being thrown under the bus for her evidence delivered in Congress about Iran not having the intention to build a bomb. She is now twisting her way out of a difficult situation and trying to remain relevant in Trump's administration. She is finished.
Trump had been played around by Netanyahu like a violin. Motormouth Trump has no idea what is happening and still gloating about time for peace while floating a 'regime change' mantra. If the Iranians fall for the truce, they are either deaf or blind. It is just a ploy knowing that Israel has no more defensive missiles left to deploy and desperately needs a truce. The USA cannot replenish those missiles, if you consider that it had to move 20,000 missiles from Ukraine to the Middle East before the attack on Iran. The USA is crippled by rare earth elements necessary to make new weapons due to the Chinese ban.
The assumption by the USA and Israel is that they really did destroy the Iranian nuclear facilities or at least put them out of service for a couple of years. Therefore, the nuclear issue is now being taken care of, but the forever war against Iran must continue and Trump is now shifting gear towards 'regime' changing. You can bet this will be the mantra going forward in the Administration, MSM and the mouths of allies, cronies and sycophants. Now that is nothing more than trying to keep the war and tension in the Middle East unabated.
A 'regime change' needs boots on the ground in Iran. That is probably also Netanyahu's plan to drag Trump into getting stuck in Iran to protect Israel which will probably need the next President to extricate the USA as in Vietnam. The Iranian public have eyes to see what happened with regime changes in Iraq, Libya and Syria and will not fall for it. It brings nothing but chaos, more sufferings all for the purpose of keeping the Middle East compliant and obedient, with Israel as the sheriff keeping the Arabs and Muslims under control. Right now, only Iran and the Houthis are there to provide the counter on behalf of the Arabs and Muslims.
Iran has now come out to say there was no agreement on a truce as boasted by Trump.
In the “Art of War”
there’s a chapter on supreme warfare
“winning without fighting”
Netanyahu and Trump thought they could bomb Iran and end the war in a matter of days. Their arrogance and ignorance about Iran are telling and they are going to regret for starting this war.
Iran, keep it going. China and Russia and all the Arab and Muslim states must back up the Iranians and drag this for as long as they can. Turn this into endless days and endless nights for the Israelis.
Do not let them wriggle out of this. They started it, they pay the price for it.
Iran knows it cannot depend on the Arab and Muslim lame ducks for support and knows only the Russians, Chinese, North Koreans and also the Pakistanis are reliable and able to give it the needed support to take on the USA and Israel.
In fact, the USA and Israel now realize that destroying the nuclear facilities is a fruitless attempt to keep Iran from going nuclear. Many nuclear powers are going to give Iranians the short-cut to possessing the bomb to counter Israel. Which is why the mantra is now shifting towards a 'regime change' in Iran, which is not going to happen.
Trump is caught in a trap set by Netanyahu and now unable to extricate himself. Either he goes in with boots on the ground for a regime changing war and gets tangled in a hornet's nest like in Vietnam or suffer the indignity of not being able to walk the talk trying to do a regime change in Iran.
That is the danger of not knowing the enemy or using old history to chart a new course. Another six-day war is delusional, knowing Iran's capability and how big Iran really is. Iran is not Iraq, Libya or Syria.
Trump learning a little bit of history could help. History of the Persian Empire.
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