MH370 – What is the truth?

Malaysia was like a child frantically wanting to know the father. Then this woman came along and pointed to a man and the child quickly and gladly accepted him as the father. The woman could point to any man and it would make no difference. In its desperation to want an answer and a closure to the MH370 incident, Malaysia was so happy to accept the explanation of Immarsat and the application of the Doppler Theory without question. How reliable is such a mathematical theory based on a few ‘pings’ to predict the location of a flying aircraft without knowing its height, speed and direction to a location 10,000 miles away? Nevermind, Malaysia just wanted an answer to close the subject quickly. Nevermind if they understood or could not understand what Immarsat was saying and the gapping holes in that methodology. Of course any thinking person would see how flimsy that conclusion was when all the debris still could not say anything positive, and could prove just the other way.

Today there is another theory from The Telegraph claiming that it was the work of a suicide mission. The big hole in this theory lies in its inference, ‘This has been a deliberate act by someone on board who had to have the detailed knowledge to do what was done...Nothing is emerging that points to motive.’ The questions, why would such a well trained, knowledgeable and rational pilot and crew, (he could not be alone), want to kill themselves when they needed not to? Why would they not shout to the world if it was a suicide mission? In a suicide mission of such a scale, it has to be political or religious in nature. They would be most happy to shout, as an example, ‘Allahu Akbar!’ to tell the world. The organisation behind them would also want to claim credit. But this is definitely not the truth. No such organisation has made any claims. And it is very unlikely to be the works of muslim terrorist groups.

But that is what they would want the world to believe, to believe in something furthest from the truth so that no one would want to inquire about the truth. They would want the truth to be buried in the southern Indian Ocean, not to be uncovered to embarrass the perpetrators. And the truth could be that none of the ‘hijackers’ die, and hopefully none of the passengers die as well.

The truth is still out there. We can only look at the theories and discount those that are outrightly illogical, contradictory, confusing and questionable, and live on those that are plausible and reasonable.

I have read two interesting ‘supposedly’ leaked theories of what could be the cause of MH370’s disappearance. The first was attributed to Russian intelligence tipping off the Chinese of suspicious cargo in the aircraft and the Chinese was planning to divert the aircraft to Hainan once it entered its airspace. But this did not happen as the aircraft was diverted. There were also comments of heavy radio jammings prior to the aircraft’s disappearance rendering all communications from the aircraft impossible. This explained why no emergency calls or mobile calls originating from MH370.

The next source was supposed to be from the Israelis. This story has more details, that the cargo was the command and control system of American drones captured by the Talibans and sold to China. There were even Chinese experts on drone technology on board. The Americans and the Israelis were on board to recover the cargo. The aircraft’s communication was jammed and control of the aircraft was taken over from the pilot by a remote controller and flew west, landed in the Maldives for refuelling before heading to Diego Garcia to unload the cargo and black boxes. In the meantime the passengers were all terminated. MH370 was flown by remote control to the southern Indian Ocean and ditched. The Australians were also implicated and probably tipped off to where they could possibly find the debris.

Both versions are doubtful as the Russians would not release such intelligence to the public. Neither would the Israelis expose the dirty works of the Americans. What was common and interesting in the two reports were the cargo, the jamming of communications and the involvement of the Americans.

On reflection, there were some slips made by the Malaysians earlier. They simply brushed aside the cargo as a non issue, declaring that there was no dangerous cargo in MH370 only to admit it later. There was the supposedly loose and innocent chatter that MH370 was carrying several tonnes of ‘mangosteens’. Thus from the beginning the Malaysians were cognizant of the cargo, probably more than the Lithium battery that was admitted as the dangerous cargo. The Malaysians’ defence of the pilot and co pilot was also an indication that they knew what was going on and that the pilot was in the thick of things.

Now the red herring of the aircraft seen in the Maldives at low level and seen by some islands could be just a decoy. There was no need for the aircraft to refuel in the Maldives when Diego Garcia was next door. And why announced its sightings in the Maldives when it could fly into Diego Garcia without being seen by people not supposed to see. The wreckage photos released by the Australians could be another decoy to divert all attention and effort to the claimed new crash site.

The Americans, Australians and the Malaysians are all implicated with China and its citizens the main victim. Isn’t it funny that the countries of all the non Chinese passengers did not seem to be panicking or expressing urgency to want to know about their citizens in the aircraft? Malaysia too is just another cool cucumber though it has the next highest number of citizens in the plane, including the aircrews.

The whole thing is looking more like a big wayang and China being made a fool by the rest of the players. Malaysia could be helping the Americans to deliver the cargo to Diego Garcia or another airfield. The big question now is whether the passengers would be spare to live to see another day. There are very good reasons to dispose them off and not to leave behind any evidence. Just wait to see if any bodies were discovered in the Indian Ocean. If the Americans were really involved, how would they put a closure to this case and walk away as innocent party and how would the aircrews in MH370 walk back to life, and the rest of the passengers as well?

The truth is still out there.

Kopi Level - Yellow