War is imminent in East Asia

 Abe warned China that it would not tolerate the ‘use of force to change status quo’ in East Asia, a reference to the Diaoyutai dispute. And Japan has been acting aggressively by scrambling fighter jets to intercept Chinese aircraft in international airspace in the vicinity of the disputed islands. Such rattling of sabre has been what the Japanese were used to in the past, and the use of force to change the status quo, like invading all the countries in East and Southeast Asia were what the Japanese did during the Second World War.
 
Japan is still acting and behaving as if it is the undisputed military power of the region and China is still the Sick Man of Asia. In today’s context, China is in a better position to warn Japan and be the provocative one. Instead, Japan is still thinking that it is their right and think they could invade and run wild into China. Abe and his military hawks better have their heads check. Japan today is on its own, encircled by Russia, China and the two Koreas and Taiwan in the South. Any outbreak of hostility will see old scores being settled. Yes, Japan can count on the Americans, and there will be a big military battle at sea if the combatants can limit the scale of the war and the theatre of action.
 
Today, the cities in both China and Japan are so densely populated that bombings could be so destructive beyond the imagination of anyone. The scale of destruction and death in one day could be more than the whole of World War Two. But the Japanese would not want to think so and continuously provocating China for a showdown.
 
China has replied to Abe’s threat that any act against Chinese aircraft or ships will be an act of war. This is the first time the word ‘war’ is being used in response to Abe’s threat and warning of military action. By making such harsh statements, Abe is forcing the Chinese to take even stronger stand to face up to him.
 
War is imminent and a very violent and bloody one when it starts. There is no way the two countries can limit the scale of war and the participation of other countries, notably the Americans on the side of the Japanese, and Russia, the two Koreas and Taiwan on the side of China. Historical debt will be settled and the Ryukyu island chain will likely be reverted to Chinese rule, and the Koreans will make sure their islands will remain with Korea. Russians may be tempted to expand their grasp from 4 islands to a few more in the North Sea.