12/06/2022

Rationale for managing national reserves and pension funds


NEW YORK: It’s been a lousy month for the reputation of professional investing.

The collapse of FTX revealed that everyone from racy hedge funds to staid pension and sovereign wealth funds had been throwing money at a cryptocurrency exchange with weaker financial controls than Enron.

Above is quoted from CNA.

The explosion of FTX did not come as a surprise. The only surprise is the embarrassment caused to many so called professional investors, paid in the millions, to gamble in something they did not know much, and as quoted above, did not do due diligence or inadequate due diligence. The loss is confounding though many brushed it off as small change as they have big coffers, especially other people's money, OPM, not their own money. Caveat, doing due diligence is not the cure all and is no guarantee that the investment is safe.

The failure of FTX is only the beginning and not the only one. How many of the professional investors still have a lot of money sunk into other cryptocurrencies and hoping for the best, praying that all is well? How many have money sunk in derivatives? This is the mother of all financial crashes waiting to happen. It would be like a nuclear bomb exploding when everything standing would be flattened. And, believe me, no one cares a hoot. Everyone praying, hoping and wishing that it would not happen. This is the stupidity of it all. Murphy's Law would not fail. Whatever can happen would happen. All it needs is a tiny slip and the house of cards would come crashing down. There would be no where to hide or to run.

How irresponsible can people in authority in the financial industry allow this to happen, to be built to such an enormous sum that would be the end of the world, figuratively, should it crash? This is the biggest Ponzi scheme awaiting to explode. FTX is chicken feat compares to the collapse of the derivative scam.

Professional investors hired to invest are just gamblers in suits. Big funds, funds with excessive other people's money, are desperate to invest with all the money they have. It is not a matter of finding good opportunities to invest. They are compelled to invest for not investing is a losing proposition. Die die they must invest. The professional investors love this kind of animals, devoid of rational thinking, totally lack of wisdom in the handling wealth and other people's money. It is a senseless occupation or preoccupation to want to dump the money in their hands into someone's hands, and hoping to make money.

There is this wise saying, when you have enough of money, there is no need to risk losing it. It takes a lot of effort, time and good fortune to acquire wealth. When wealth is acquired, it is time to protect the wealth, not taking high risk to lose the wealth, especially when it is acquired by the blood, sweat and tears of a generation, other's people wealth. Most fund managers are not wise enough to know this. Or perhaps they know but it is not their mission, as not investing means not performing, and not performing means no big bonuses. 

The concept of fund management is to 'invest' or gamble with other people's hard earned money, hoping to make more money and never mind losing all, after all it is OPM. They send the best man or woman, with glib tongues to tell the owners of the wealth that they are the best to make more money for them. Once they are in, it is casino time. Just invest and invest, even when there is nothing good to invest. Gamblers are gamblers. They take high risk. If they don't risk, don't take high risk, there is no hope of high returns.

In short, the wisdom of managing big funds, other people's money, is to protect the funds. When you have it, don't lose it. Dump the professional investors instead of dumping the money in the funds. Save the money from paying exorbitant fees to professional gamblers. Rethink about the role of managing national wealth, national reserves. If money is so easy to be made, it is likely to be a scam. The so called professional fund managers have different mindset and objectives. They are hired employees paid to perform. This is in conflict with the management of national wealth and reserves that cannot afford to be wiped out by mistakes or reckless gambling...or should not be wiped out by taking unnecessary risk.

Managing national wealth and reserves is about protecting the wealth, slow but secure growth is better than high growth that comes with high risk.  It is a crime to lose national wealth and reserves by unscrupulous gambling, called investing recklessly but disguised as after due diligence.

What do you think?

PS. Can you imagine hiring a very careful and diligent fund manager, paid him in the millions and he did not invest a single cent for a year or more, because he could not find something worthy to invest in? On the other hand, a professional fund manager, by hook or crook, must find something to invest in to justify his hiring and pay.

16 comments:

Anonymous said...

Who're the individuals responsible for making the reckless decision (based on faith in the FTX boss) to invest hundreds of $millions of Singapore's sovereign wealth fund money in FTX? What are their nationalities?

Anonymous said...

Our holy jinx love to be conned..anyway it not her money but opm

Anonymous said...

Virgo many of our members also suffered losses but luckily we only allocated 1% of our wealth in it. So we preserve our wealth and can continue our routine riding activities.

John Wong
Investment
Singapore Kuda Club

Anonymous said...

Battle of The Institutional Players for India-based Zomato, Who Will Win?

Alibaba dumps, Temasek supports

Singapore state-owned investment company Temasek through its wholly-owned subsidiary Camas Investments Pte has picked-up stake in Zomato on Wednesday, November 30, 2022. On the same day, Alipay Singapore, an arm of Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba sold stake in online food delivery aggregator for ₹1,631 crore through an open market transaction.

Camas Investments Pte, a wholly-owned subsidiary of Singaporean sovereign wealth fund Temasek acquired 9.80 crore shares (constituting about 1.14% stake) of the company at an average price of ₹62, taking the transaction value to over ₹607 crore, as per the National Stock Exchange's (NSE) bulk deals data. Post the deal, the sovereign wealth fund's stake will increase to 4% in the company.

On the other hand, Alipay Singapore Holding Pte offloaded a total of 26,28,73,507 shares, amounting to 3.07% stake in the company. The shares were offloaded at an average price of ₹62.06 apiece, taking the transaction value to ₹1,631 crore. As of quarter ended September, Alibaba through its affiliates, Antfin Singapore Holding and Alipay Singapore Holding, owned nearly 13% stake in the company, data with the bourse showed.

The development comes months after Uber Technologies sold its 7.8% stake in Zomato for $392 million via a block trade in August this year, as per a report by Reuters.

Shares of Zomato, an Indian-based online restaurant aggregator and food delivery company, made market debut in July last year, are down a whopping 47% since listing. Currently, the company is still losing money. Zomato reported a net loss of Rs250.8 crore (US$30.8 million) for the quarter that ended September 2022. The stock, which hit a high of ₹169 in November 2021, is currently hovering around ₹65 apiece.

Anonymous said...

Catching a falling knife. Where angels fear to tread, the brave or foolish will charge in.

Anonymous said...

Compare India and China as opportunities for investment.

In the case of China, the Americans having been smearing and demonising and coercing American companies to leave, high risk, dictatorship, communism, lack of transparency etc etc. In reality, more and more Aemrican and European companies, including Japanese and South Korean companies are rushing in to invest in China.

For India, the western hype, the biggest democracy, transparency, good opportunity for investment, but practically every American and European country is running away from India. Only the fools gambling with OPM are pouring their hard earned money into India, like a game of poker, willing to take high risk and hoping for high rewards. Lose everything never mind.

Anonymous said...

The FTX crypto investment failure is the Universal Law of Cause and Effect at work or Karma. In this cause is GREED without any pity to people's monies. If this continues mindlessly the entire nation monies might be gone, it's not as a cause of writing off and let it be gone, it will juz come again and again , till D day come then show hands will be too late liao lah.

Anonymous said...

In playing poker, a bad hand of cards can still win if the player has a lot of money and able to bluff his way through and win by pouring more money to deceive the opponent that he has a winning card.

In investment, a bad hand of cards is a bad hand of cards. Cannot bluff by pouring good money into bad money or bad investment. A bad company, a bad investment would just turn bad in a matter of time. No bad company can turn out good unless there is a miracle.

Anonymous said...

My ah-soh hawker aunty says she only invests her hard-earned money in stocks that shows profits every quarter AND got give dividends. Zomato will not qualify . .

Anonymous said...

They say it was no surprise that FTX collapse, so they obviously knew all along, but was it a surprise that big soverign funds did not know, with all the expertise of investing and everyday talking about charts, were also among those that were caught?

What pulled them in was the money they could make, lots of money by timing. It was a gamble that many took because of the potential returns. And with bonuses tied to returns for fund managers, what is there to lose when it is other people's money to gamble with? Now they got burnt badly, but well, it is not their own personal money after all and I doubt the one or those involved will be punished.

Looking at the roller coaster ride of Bitcoin, the faint hearted would not have dared to venture. With no control by any authority, it was all outright manipulation, using well known personalities to help them puff up the balloon. And they are still at it, talking about Bitcoin going up to the stratosphere, valued in millions in time to come, and telling investors to buy in.

But the FTX lesson will never be learnt, because greed is human nature. That is why Governments know how to control the grassroots, knowing that humans fall for two things - greed and fear. Satisfy their greed and threaten them constantly, and they become obedient like pets.

Anonymous said...

Zomato is only for gamblers with OPM to play. It would end like another FTX.

Anonymous said...

Bitcoin really provided investors and onlookers with 'shock and awe'. Those that invested at it's height could be in 'shock' while those looking on will wonder in 'awe'.

Chua Chin Leng蔡镇龍 aka redbean said...

You only get 7 or 8% in rupees FD in India. In Singapore, the best is 4.15% on offer now by CIMB. UOB 7.8% is a complicated account involving credit card spending, monthly savings and a few other things combined. Not a straight forward FD savings.

4.15% is better than treasury bonds or Singapore bonds at about 3.5%.

Anonymous said...

Smart investments by govts must be in strategic assets that are only accessible to those with big capitals. Using big funds to buy kachang puteh companies, boarding houses, kindergartens, taxi companies, delivery companies, restaurants, gambing dens or whorehouses are a miss used of good money.

Anonymous said...

Right RB. Where in Singapore can you get 7 or 8% for FD or is it the 7.8% that UOB is offering? UOB's 7.8% is like a jigsaw puzzle, best left to those who relish complication, and is meant for younger people. I find it puzzling too and not for oldies like me anyway.

Anonymous said...

UOB's 7.8% also need salary crediting among the requirements. Not convenient.