5/13/2026

China does not need to fight fire with fire

The anti-China bots are saying that Chinese aircraft carriers are ineffective to project power beyond the South China Sea and are therefore junks. Why would China want to project power beyond the South China Sea, knowing that the days of aircraft carriers are basically now surviving on hype and posturing as a result of the war against Iran.

China was never in the game of competing with the USA in the number of aircraft carriers or projection of power. China, over the last few decades, has studied the vulnerabilities of air-craft carriers and formulated counter measures against USA power projection using aircraft carriers and is not pouring resources into it. Of course, as a major power, China only needs a few aircrafts carriers for defensive purposes, same as even smaller countries.

China has found its way to deal with aircraft carrier's power projection threat by using its hypersonic drones and missiles. Those drones and missiles cost just a tiny fraction of the cost of building an air-craft carrier, highly effective and the math show the reason why China did not embark on fighting fire with fire. And Iran has proven the effective usage of such anti-aircraft carrier drones and missile capabilities.

Moreover, maintaining an aircraft carrier fleet needs all the support ships moving all around the world needs huge logistical support - fuel, food, crewing and port calls, which China does not have such support anyway. And countries now giving support to the USA in terms of logistic like refueling are now wary of retaliations by enemies of the USA. The USA is facing such a problem in the Middle East now, having been denied such support in its war against Iran.


Anonymous

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

The USA is now desperately trying to go into weapons production, trying to entice private companies to jump on the bandwagon. Now it is building toilets, like the Indians, when the urge to pee and poo is acute, after exhausting most of its weapons over the duration of the Iran War. In India, they could do that business at street corners and riverside.

Companies like Ford that had been targeted to enter weapons production will face retaliation by China over rare earth supplies, deemed a dual-use commodity, that China will sanction Ford if it enters the weapons production sector instead of concentrating on motor vehicles alone. This is the conundrun

Anonymous said...

More in connection with the above comment: Cut off by mistakenly pressing the wrong button, sorry - Anon 9.56

The question facing the USA is how successful this exercise will be when rare earth and tungsten, essential raw materials for weapons are all controlled by China. China is not going to allow companies buying its rare earth and tungsten to be used for making weapons that are primarily intended to be used against China. Only a fool will allow that to happen. The moment companies using rare earth and tungsten enters the weapons production sector, China will add them to the list of companies to be denied its rare earth and tungsten supplies. That means the end of their normal business model. The USA Government is not one that will not change its stance, not even with legally binding agreements with sovereign countries.

Of course, the USA can overcome this by building its own rare earth and tungsten refining facilities, but the timeline is not years but decades. By that time, China will not be the same China as today. The USA clowns under Trump can overcome this by using Lego Bricks, lol.

So, try rattling China all they want, but China will be waiting for that to happen and cut off those private companies thinking of jumping on the weapon production wagon. The cost to them could be massive.