Who should be running out of missiles? Who is bleeding more?

 At the start of this conflict, what were the stockpiles of missiles available to the three combatants, ie America, Israel and Iran? For the Americans, only those available in the Middle East were to be counted. Though no official numbers were available, very likely Iran will have much more than the Americans and Israelis as they have been preparing for this moment for years. On the other hand, the American and Israeli terrorists have been fighting non stop wars and expending their weapons and missiles and could not have more missiles than the Iranians.

Conservatively, lets assumed, just assuming for ease of comparison, that Iran has the same number of missiles as the Americans and Israelis combined at the start of this conflict. The general understanding is that for every missile heading to Israel and American assets, the defenders need to fire two to three missiles to ensure a successful hit. This means an equation of 1:2 or 1:3 consumption rate. For every missile Iran threw at the Americans and Israelis, they need to throw up 2 to 3 missiles to intercept the incoming missiles. Who is expending more missiles is obvious.

Added to this problem, the Iranian production rate is reported to be much higher than the Americans and Israelis. Another factor favouring Iran, China, Russia and North Korea are also sending new supplies of missiles to Iran. Who is going to be depleted of their missile supplies needs no guessing.

The other equation is the cost of the missiles. Everyone is shaking his head at the cost of American and Israeli missiles used to hit the Iranian missiles and also drones. It is an insane joke. Just like the UK pilot celebrating his success in bringing down two drones with two AIM missiles. He was very happy and proud of this mission without knowing the math. He did not know that it was throwing money at each other, and who is throwing away more.

Trump and Netanyahu are panicking with their missiles running out. Trump even signalling that he has to call off this war, but warned of using nukes to replace the low missile stocks. In simple financial terms, Iran is bleeding the Americans and Israelis dry. The cost of manufacturing on both sides is beyond comparison, a military joke. Throwing a few millions against a few thousand dollar drones or slightly more expensive missiles is the pride of the Americans and Israelis.

The Americans and Israelis cannot afford this kind of warfare.

Asean states should just send warships to the Strait of Hormuz to please the Americans

KUALA LUMPUR: More Asian countries dependent on energy imports could enter talks with Iran on allowing their ships safe passage in the crucial Strait of Hormuz if the Middle East conflict drags on, analysts say.

But these countries would also have to weigh securing their energy supplies against the optics of accepting Tehran's politicisation of the strait, possibly paying a toll fee and angering the United States, the analysts told CNA.

Iran said it has allowed several countries' ships to cross the Strait of Hormuz since its forces effectively slowed traffic through the narrow sea lane to a trickle during the war, which began in late February.

The list comprises largely Asian states and includes China, India, Pakistan, Japan, Thailand and Malaysia.

The above is quoted from an article by Aqil Haziq Mahmud in the CNA. The tone or intent of the article suggests that Asean countries are not happy with Iran's terms and also afraid of angering the United States. If this is true, then it is likely that some Asean states are considering sending warships to the Strait of Hormuz to protect their tankers, to keep the Strait of Hormuz open. Given Asean's powerful military strength, there is nothing to fear about offending the Iranians. It is safer than offending the American terrorists.

Now, which Asean state would be the first to send warships to the Strait of Hormuz voluntarily, to protect its own interests, or be coerced by the American terrorists to do so?  Given the AngloSaxon mentality of Asean leaders, all wanting to kiss the ass of Trump, do not be surprised that Asean will just do it to please the Americans.

What do you think? Can rule out Thailand and Malaysia since they are already given free passage through the Strait.

Trump keeps farting, Iran keeps firing

Trump is still showboating about using force to keep the Straits of Hormuz opened, on the heels of the talk by the Europeans about getting into the act of using their own naval force to wrestle control of the Straits of Hormuz from Iran. How are they going to do that? It will be an exercise in futility.

There were also talk about investing US$200 billion to cut a channel across Oman to avoid the Straits of Hormuz. How about the other problem to be faced by ships sailing within the Persian Gulf that Iran can always target?

Iran's stranglehold control is not just the Straits of Hormuz. It is the whole Persian Gulf per se. The whole coastline of Iran faces the Persian Gulf, where underground bunkers hosting drones, missiles and speedboats are hiding. Furthermore, we have not factor in the possibility of Iran mining the Persian Gulf, not carpet mining, but with sporadic placement of mines. Taking out just one tanker is going to send jitters to shipowners and marine insurers.

Iran is refusing to hold talks in Pakistan. This is probably the fear that Pakistan is unable to provide the security for the safety of its negotiators, just like what happened with Hamas leaders holding talks in Qatar.

Suffice to say, amidst all the boasting and propaganda, the war is not going to end soon. Trump has been switching it on and off while Iran has stuck to its guns that no negotiating is ongoing. Iran has taken leaf from the Chinese by making no comments, just letting Trump fart about done deals and making a fool of himself.


Anonymous

Mission accomplished. Trump - Middle East destabilised. Iran - American bases destroyed

Trump is, as sure as the sun rises from the East, going to proclaim that the USA has achieved its mission in attacking Iran. We knew this was to be the expected mantra he will be chanting, even with a bloodied nose and a massively bruised ego.

What has the USA achieved after more than a month of bombing? Only killing the Iranian Supreme Leader and stoking the Iranian people into a more patriotic stance. Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is now a martyr, whose death has sparked and rallied massive support for the country to fight the invaders. Was a regime change in the works? More likely a regime change going to happen in the USA and Israel.

The USA has lost more than its reputation fighting this war. All the highly expensive radar installations, some costing billions, have been destroyed. These are the systems providing the eyes for the Patriot and THAAD interceptors with early warning of Iran's incoming drones and missiles. Their destruction crippled the ability of the interceptors to provide cover, with incoming hypersonic drones and missiles denying ample time for those interceptors to respond within minutes or even seconds available. Which is why Iran has been able to target vital infrastructures with ease after those radars were taken out.

USA did a Pearl Harbor surprise on Iran, and Iran returned the favor and gave the USA a Pearl Harbor surprise by taking out its radar systems in the Middle East at the start of the war, something not in script. In fact, Trump was reported to have complained that 'it was not fair' that Iran is responding so aggressively against the USA's surprise attack.

That radar attack at the start of the war practically destroyed the reputation of the USA's ability to provide protection of the Gulf states, despite all the military bases present in the region. Now the Gulf countries knew that depending on the USA's protection umbrella is just a myth already exposed. This has raised the realization that further attempts to antagonize Iran will not bring peace to the Persian Gulf and the oil trade disruption, which probably prevented the Gulf states from retaliating against Iran, despite all the damage.

Apart from the ability of Iran to gain relatively major advantage over such a short time, the war also dispelled the 20th century WW2 mindset of the USA that aircraft carriers still dictate the direction of the war. Early movement of its two aircraft carriers to the Middle East was supposed to force Iran to cower in fear without a fight and gave its enriched Uranium to the USA on a platter.

But such movements of USA aircraft carriers had in fact given Iran the signal to be ready. That USA has more or less still been harboring an obsolete believe in fighting a war of the 21st century using power projection of aircraft carriers, but which turned out to be a delusional mindset, rendered impotent when faced with hypersonic drones and missiles that has truly dictate the direction of the war. In time to come, aircraft carriers can no longer be counted upon to project military power for launching carpet bombing. In any case, carpet bombing has been proven to garner just initial advantages before boots on the ground. The real dictate of victory or defeat comes after that when strategy and ingenuity really matter more. This has already been proven in Vietnam conclusively. And is being proven in Iran as well.

So, Trump can gloat all he wants about his 'mission accomplished' moment to fool the 'dull of mind' hillbillies. The reality cannot be erased by espousing propaganda alone.


Anonymous

Operation Kill Iranians - 36 days and still killing or being killed?

 This Operation to kill Iranians, Arabs and Muslims and to turn the Middle East into a region of chaos and instability is now on its 36 days.  Lunatic Trump is still bragging about how successful it has been, killing Iranians leaders, destroyed Iranian Air Force, Navy, Iranian military infrastructure, destroyed Iranian missile production and launchers. In other words, Iran has been destroyed. The Americans have air superiority, flying all over Iran. Iranians are now hapless and waiting to be slaughtered by the American terrorists.

The Iranians did not brag so much, just telling the American terrorists to come in, launch their boots on the ground, the Iranians are waiting for them. In the broader front, the American Navy, aircraft carriers, destroyers and F18s have been forced out of action, staying far far away for safety. 

The Americans could continue with their attacks using Tomahawk missiles and MQ9 unmanned bombers. But most of these MQ9s had been shot down. The Americans have very few left, or none left. The desperate Americans are now forced to used fighter aircraft and bombers. And the Iranians are shooting them down one by one, F15s, F16s, F18s, F35s, F22s. A10s, E3, KC135s, whatever the Americans flew into Iran they will be taken down. Now Iran is waiting to take down B52s, B2s and B21s. Be very sure that these bombers would be coming down very soon.

On the ground, the Iranians have wiped out practically every American base in the Middle East and their radar stations. Iran now has no American military target to hit, other than hunting down the positions of American troops in the area. Iran is now diverting its attention to American civilian targets like AI and high tech companies and American civilian assets.

While lunatic Trump is claiming that Iran had been destroyed and unable to fight back, Iran is bombing Israel everyday, at least 3 waves a day, hitting military and civilian targets. So, Iranian missile forces destroyed as claimed by the king liar?

While all the American allies have turned down Trump's request to join the fight, only the treacherous Brits have sneakily took up the offer. The Americans have been spreading lies and conducting false flag incidents against the Arab and Muslim states to dupe them into attacking Iran. Again, not a single Arab and Muslim state has taken the bait. They are all quietly supporting Iran to kick out the Americans and the Israelis.

On the other hand, the Arab and Muslim states and organisations are starting to join Iran in the fight. The Houthis, Hezbollah and Hamas are increasing their attacks on the Israelis. Iraq is attacking the American bases in their land. Chechen fighters are ready to join the fight. Turkey have decimated Kurd forces heading to attack Iran. The more powerful Arab and Muslim states like Egypt, Turkey, Saudi Arabia and those in North Africa are all ready for the kill. They are all armed to the teeth and waiting for the right moment to finish off the Israelis. 

The Americans and Israelis are running out of ammo, morale is very low. American soldiers are showing signs of refusing to fight. So are the Israelis when more and more of them are being killed by the Hezbollah. The Israeli population has had enough, unable to continue with life under constant attack, running in and out of bomb shelters and seeing their cities and homes falling to pieces.

While the supply chains of the American and Israeli terrorists are being stretched to the limits, the supply chains for Iran are smooth flowing, with North Korea just delivered 500 ICBMs. With each day passing, the Iranians get stronger while the Americans and Israelis getting weaker. The American and Israeli populations are going to turn against their warmongering regimes. Protests against the war in America and Israel are getting stronger. However, the support for Iran by the Iranians and the Arab and Muslim states and the world are getting stronger.

The insanity of the regimes in Washington and Tel Aviv have been isolated. World opinions have turned against these reckless terrorists. The economies of many countries, especially American allies that needed Arabian oil are being hit very badly. Many are running out of oil and gas. The more lunatic Trump and Netanyahu open their mouths, the more the world will turn against them. No sane people will tolerate the killing of innocent people for whatever flimsy and silly reasons. This is the 21st Century, not the centuries of European savages, colonialists and Imperialists.