4/05/2026

Trump keeps farting, Iran keeps firing

Trump is still showboating about using force to keep the Straits of Hormuz opened, on the heels of the talk by the Europeans about getting into the act of using their own naval force to wrestle control of the Straits of Hormuz from Iran. How are they going to do that? It will be an exercise in futility.

There were also talk about investing US$200 billion to cut a channel across Oman to avoid the Straits of Hormuz. How about the other problem to be faced by ships sailing within the Persian Gulf that Iran can always target?

Iran's stranglehold control is not just the Straits of Hormuz. It is the whole Persian Gulf per se. The whole coastline of Iran faces the Persian Gulf, where underground bunkers hosting drones, missiles and speedboats are hiding. Furthermore, we have not factor in the possibility of Iran mining the Persian Gulf, not carpet mining, but with sporadic placement of mines. Taking out just one tanker is going to send jitters to shipowners and marine insurers.

Iran is refusing to hold talks in Pakistan. This is probably the fear that Pakistan is unable to provide the security for the safety of its negotiators, just like what happened with Hamas leaders holding talks in Qatar.

Suffice to say, amidst all the boasting and propaganda, the war is not going to end soon. Trump has been switching it on and off while Iran has stuck to its guns that no negotiating is ongoing. Iran has taken leaf from the Chinese by making no comments, just letting Trump fart about done deals and making a fool of himself.


Anonymous

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Just because Pakistan is attempting to mediate does not mean that Iran is begging for peace and negotiation., which Trump is trying to tell the world. Trump can fart as much as he likes, just like the farting over negotiations with the Chinese, with all the done deals that were just imaginary scenarios from a bankrupt mind.

Trump farted about ending the war withing 4 to 5 days with another fart extending to 4 to 5 weeks. As that fart evaporated and foul the air, the war is still on. It never seems to be ending soon. He farted about having destroyed the air force, naval force and taken out all the weapons of the Iranians. It still never stopped the Iranians from retaliating. How is that possible when Iran has been practically destroyed?

For all we know, Iran does not even have a credible air force and naval force to reckon with in the first place. Iran knows challenging the USA in the air and at sea is a losing proposition. Iran concentrated on producing effective weapons to fight a 21st century war, like the Chinese, where projection of power by aircraft carriers is being decimated by hypersonic drones and missiles. As the range of those hypersonic missiles increase and aircraft carriers having to move further away from shorelines, it defeats the whole concept of aircraft carriers launching fighter jets from its deck to carry out carpet bombing. Fighter jets probably do not have the range to fly missions and return to the deck of those carriers. Moreover, countries like Sri Lanka do not allow USA fighter jets to make use of its airbase to launch bombing missions against Iran as requested by the USA. Logical thinking does not need precedence.

As I said before, China learned much from Iran in its strategy fighting this war. China is using this war to test its eye in the sky, its hypersonic weapon's effectiveness, it's resilience in the face of energy blockade that has been the focus of the USA. All these are basically dry runs before the real thing being studied by China. China is building up its self-dependence in energy, going big time into renewals and cutting dependence on fossil fuel. China is tapping into nuclear, hydro, solar and wind energy to prepare for the day when blockades occur. Now, China gets its oil via pipelines from Russia, by rail from Iran and building facilities for Middle East oil via Pakistan. Each five- year plan are small steps but a big leap for China.