The
strategy of second strike requires more nuclear weapons than necessary.
The enemy's first strike would have taken out many of China's nucler
weapons and nuclear sites. Whatever nuclear weapons that are still
intact, after the enemy's first strike, can then be used. How many that
will be left no one can predict.
The second strike capability is
based on the presumption that there will be sufficient nuclear weapons
left, after the enemy has launched a surprise nuclear attack, for China
to retaliate. This is like a small boy playing hero.
If I were
the Commander of the US Strategic Nuclear Command, I would make sure I
throw everything I have at China to destroy China's capability to launch
her second strike.
Moreover, the second strike strategy means
that there will be millions of innocent Chinese people killed
unnecessarily before China could even respond. This is stupidity.
You
only go for second strike if you are much stronger than the opponent.
You must be able to take the first punch. Like in any street fight, if
you are weaker than your opponent, and you allow the stronger and bigger
opponent to strike you first, his first blow would most probably kill
you.
China must not hesitate to deliver the first strike.
Most
successful wars had the element of surprise. The first who strike has
the surprise. The one who strike second has been caught by surprise.
It the first strike KO the opponent, the opponent won't even have the chance to make that second strike.
Therefore,
in a deadly nuclear war, there should be no hesitation. Hesitation is a
strategic weakness that will pay dearly. There is no room for such
weakness. To deliberately cater for such a weakness to exist in a
nuclear war is to lose the war without fighting. This is not strategy.
This is sheer stupidity. No general worth his salt can be so stupid.
Queen of Hearts.
APEC 2024 Peru. Biden shafted to a corner in the back row. Xi in front row next to Peru's President
Anyone want to strike first must have balls and tua ki otherwise wont work. Being a bit siow also helps because it make you unpredictable like Kim Fatty III. Everybody chuak him and his sister.
ReplyDeleteIn a nuclear war, the one who strikes first, wins. However, ultimately even the winner loses. Everyone will be dead, either instantly toasted or delayed and lingering, painful death.
ReplyDeleteThe President who pressed the nuclear activation button will also die, miserably due to the fallout of the nuclear dusts, poisoned air and water, shortage or food, or assassinated by his own bodyguards, whose loved ones have been killed by the nuclear explosion.
If first strike can ensure the winner continue to live, I think the USA would have gone ahead and nuked China already, after thinking so many times of doing so.
ReplyDeleteStrike first or being left to retaliate last, nobody lives to tell the story thereafter. Only during the next cycle of human existence, which will likely be millions of years away, and if humans once again populate the world, they will dig into the ground where they will find evidence of what happened to human civilisation before them, like we finding evidence of the extinction of dinasaurs.
Before a first strike, we need to ask what the retaliation is likely to be and whether humans can survive after that. Contaminated air, contaminated water, contaminated food, contaminated environment - I rather not be alive to see that.
The logic of a second strike capability is based on the assumption that everyone making the decision is a reasonable man. There are other considerations that are beyond the reasonable man to start a nuclear war.
ReplyDelete1. Unreasonable man.
2. Mad man or psycho path.
3. Human error or accident.
4. Mischief, fake orders.
5. Power of the stupid.
6. Power of fake God ordering the mad believers to push the button.
7. Terrorist attack for commercial or political gains.
8. Many more things can happen.
The last happened in the 60s, I think, forgotten the date, when a nuclear garrison in Okinawa was given an order to launch a nuclear strike at China. In the dying minutes, someone was responsible enough to keep checking and finally confirmed it was a fake order and the launch was cancelled.
Only a couple of years back, the unscrupulous lying and cheating Japanese almost caused the Americans in Hawaii to launch a nuclear attack on North Korea before it was called off as a false alarm. The people in Hawaii were in the bunkers crying that it would be the end.
Hahaha
ReplyDelete1) The USA is already ruled by unreasonable people, from one administration to another.
2) Mad man or psychopath fits Trump like a glove.
3) Using an old map to bomb the Chinese Embassy in Belgrade was no accident. It was probably intentional, human made but no error, and later used as a lame excuse.
6) George Bush claimed he talked directly to God before the Iraq War and it was his God who told him to go ahead.
7) Terrorist attacks can be fabricated to push blame onto the enemy. Families of the 911 attack victims did not want Biden to attend any of their memorial functions because Biden refused to disclose information implicating the Saudi's involvement in the attack, even though he promised to do so during his campaign.
Now, what is to prevent dementia afflicted Biden from pushing the wrong button to start the nuclear holocaust in a moment of forgetfulness. The world is really living on tenterhooks not just with mad, but senile old man at the helm. From Trump to Biden it is like from the frying pan into the fire.
RB - the order to launch nuclear strike was at the USSR not China.
ReplyDeleteThe false alarm in Hawaii had nothing to do with Japanese. It was their own Emergency Management Agency cock-up.
Have you tried fish oil?
The person in charge of the emergency activation was a Japanese.
ReplyDeleteThe person that triggered the state of alarm was a Japanese.
The person who highlighted the missile threat was a Japanese.
The person that was the Commander of the Pacific Command that could order a nuclear strike was a Japanese.
The imaginary missile was supposed to be coming from North Korea. How did Russia and China got involved?
How can an imaginary missile, none existence, appeared on a radar screen?
Nothing to do with the Japanese?
Have you taken your medication?
Redbean Those are Americans lah. If you say they are Japanese, then you can say they are Chinese because the Japanese originally come from China. Then you can also extend and say they are African because all the Chinese also come from your grandmother Lucy in Ethiopia. Go on and on, when will it end?
ReplyDeleteHave you taken your medication?
Not yet. Did you know that Medisave don't allow us to claim? Can you help with this?
China will substantially increase its nuclear weapons capacity
ReplyDeleteOn Friday, US Secretary of State Blinken expressed "deep concern" about "rapid growth" of China's nuclear arsenal with Southeast Asian ministers, accusing Beijing of "sharply deviating from its decades-old nuclear strategy based on minimum deterrence." Various US think tanks over past few months claimed China is building a great number of "new missile silos" in Northwest China.
Note that China has never abandoned its minimum deterrence nuclear strategy. However, due to the comprehensive strategic threat that US keeps posing to China, the nuclear capabilities Beijing needs to achieve "minimum deterrence" are now different from the past. As US nuclear coercion risk against China is clearly increasing, China must have sufficient nuclear forces to contain such a risk.
Even many ordinary Chinese people feel the urgency of strengthening China's nuclear deterrent. If those structures shown in the satellite photos in NW China are really silos, Chinese public opinion will definitely support the construction of them unconditionally.
Washington is in no moral position to accuse China of this. China has only a fraction of the number of nuclear warheads that US has. China is also the only nuclear power that has pledged not to be first to use nuclear weapons. US has never indicated that it would consider making same commitment.
Even if China is strengthening its nuclear buildup in face of a realistic threat from Washington, it would have nothing to do with SEA countries, or even with Japan and Australia, because China's nuclear policy also includes another firm commitment of not using nuclear weapons against any non-nuclear-weapon state.
Once China substantially strengthens its nuclear forces, its only purpose will be to deter US. There's already no mutual trust between China and US, and Chinese society is fully convinced that the American bastards' ultimate goal is to bring China down. China must be prepared for the possibility that war could eventually occur in Taiwan Straits or South China Sea. One of China's major strategic missions today is to make the most complete layout for that day.
China is already capable of destroying various US conventional military forces that enter China's coastal waters in wartime and striking US military bases in the Asia-Pacific region. Even though US' naval and air forces are powerful, it has become increasingly difficult for them to gain an advantage in China's coastal waters. China is gradually achieving dominance in conventional warfare in Taiwan Straits and South China Sea.
China's next step is to ensure that US does not dare impose a nuclear deterrent on China if it loses its conventional military intervention capability. Chinese nuclear forces must become so powerful that Washington elites will tremble in fear at mere thought of imposing a nuclear deterrent on China.
China's DF-41 Intercontinental Ballistic Missile, and sea- & air-based nuclear forces have greatly increased Chinese ability to survive and created a credible Chinese nuclear retaliation capability. As US policy toward China over the past few years has demonstrated a certain derangement, China need to not only increase its second-strike capability, but also make Washington keep in mind all the time that China can retaliate. This is to ensure that whenever the US has the extreme impulse to suppress China, it will immediately remember not to take things to the level of military showdown between the 2 countries, and thus, calmness and balance will be maintained
SEA countries need to believe that once China strengthens its nuclear forces, it is solely to maintain peace and suppress US' warmongering ideas. The stronger China's nuclear forces are, the more it is guaranteed that US will not do something silly. This is the ultimate advice to the US in a way that it can best understand so that it will not provoke wars in Taiwan Straits and South China Sea.
Why is it so surprising to Blinken and the South East Asian Ministers that China is rapidly increasing it's nuclear arsenal?
ReplyDeleteThey knew very well that China had previously been undertaking minimum deterrence measures. Why is China changing it's stance? For answers, they have to ask the USA why China needed to increase it's deterrence factor multifold.
Blinken is just trying to act ignorant and play the blur card, but even common onlookers can tell you it is the result of the USA's unmitigated intentional provocations and threats, coupled with the consistent poisoning of the minds of allies and tail waggers about the fabricated Chinese threat, and that provokes China to recalibrate it's priority.
Should not China be allowed to make sure it can protect itself or at least be capable of retaliating should those threats by the USA be put into reality? Why must China remain weak and be bullied. China had already been bullied enough during the century of humiliation by the Whites. Did the rest of the world condemned those countries who participated in those acts of humiliation against China?
Even if the world not think so, China has every right to make sure it can defend itself. So, what is so wrong with China increasing it's nuclear capabilities. Did those who opposed China's military spending increase, ask themselves whether they have also asked why the USA spends so much on it's military, and why they needed a thousand military bases all around the world. Those countries should examine their own conscience before they start accusing China.
With the US Naval base in Singapore first strike from this new Naval base would be possible. Kamala will seal the deal.
ReplyDeleteAgree, the silly cronies would not mind being part of the evil Empire, to be a tool to attack China.
ReplyDeleteIf there is a USA first strike to take out everything on the Chinese mainland, what about Chinese nuclear submarines lurking around the USA. Their purpose is retaliation and their being able to sneak around is just to be able to avoid being detected and also taken out with a first strike by the USA.
ReplyDeleteNow, what about Russia if the USA just throws everything to flatten China. They are not going to stand idly by and let their enemy establish another front on the Russian Eastern Border. And Russia certainly would not want radioactive clouds and air drifting into their country just standing by and enjoy the beautiful sight like Nancy Pelosi. The USA has to calculate the odds of Russia being forced into flattening the USA itself.
A two party war is straight forward. But a third unknown is too much to take the risk. Will the USA risk it knowing this is not WW2, where battles are fought outside the USA.
If China launches the first strike, Singapore would surely be one of China's first strike targets, as part of US military bases that are detrimental to China's defense and well-being.
ReplyDeleteSingaporeans, now more and more new citizens from India, will simply become collateral damage.
@LIPS if you want to launch first strike you must have balls
ReplyDelete@ 3:03 pm,
ReplyDeleteDon't get personal. If you have the brain, speak out what you think of the topi. Not attack the person. Attacking the person means you are:
1. Brainless,
2. Hooligan,
3. Radicalised extremist, or
4. Need to be sodomised until jialat jialat.
Or all of the above!