The stock market – from a child to a Frankenstein

Not too long ago, there was this official wisdom floating in the air. Invest your money in stocks, in the long term, do not speculate, and your money will grow faster than any kind of investments. It will definitely be better than keeping it under the pillow or in the banks earning a small interest.
 

Stock market volatility is scorned upon. So were syndicates ramming the market up and down. Stock market was not meant to be traded in that way, in a frenzy. Investors are there for the long term. Syndicates were seen as robbers and criminals and were watched under the microscope for any wrong doings. In double quick time they were got rid off, or many were gotten rid off for creating too much volatility in the market.
 
And their absence left a void to be filled by hedge funds and other bigger fund managers to trade the market in greater ferocity. The market mechanism was redesigned to allow the big boys to trade in greater volumes, to scalp the market, through mini bid size, for intraday trades, for fast trades by the minutes and by the seconds. High volatility is now welcomed because the snake oil sellers and conmen said it is good for the market. High turnovers, small bids, churning big volumes are good. Scrip lending facilities were created for the big boys to trade even more madly. What happens to the old wisdom of long term investment?
 
The health of the stock market today is as sick as a dying patient in the ICU. But no one wants to acknowledge this sad state of affair. Everyone is pretending that it is very healthy. Just encourage more retail investors to come in and trade. Create more products, more derivatives, cut the commissions to make it cheaper. Where got white elephant in the room. The stock market is so healthy!
 
The volumes are definitely much higher, always in the billions. There was a time when hitting a billion shares in a day was a rare phenomenon. Now hitting 3b, 5b is no problem. Anything less than 3b shares daily is bad, too small. And funny thing, where are the investors. No need investors. Just let the computers to do the trading and generate clearing fees for the exchange.
 
The brokerage are encouraged to under cut one another with lower and lower commissions to force the competitors out of business. In the meantime, in their childlike innocence, they are wiping themselves out of the business too when the commission is so low and unable to sustain the operation and pay for the overheads. And they are still scheming to reduce the commissions to even the bare minimum. Are they nuts?
 
But computer trading is not fast enough. The volumes are too small. The next big thing is to bring in High Frequency Trading where a trade can be executed in micro seconds without anyone knowing that millions of trade were done with the blink of an eye. And this is good.
 
What happens to long term investment? Long term investment is no longer about buy and hold for ten or twenty years. Long term is now measured by the seconds. Anything more than a second could be long term.
 
So what is going to happen to the stock market? If it survives in the long term, ie, more than 6 months, with HFT, it would have serve its purpose. Can anyone expect the market to be around in 3 years, 5 years or 10 years? Yes it will still be around, but no more retail investors.