10/08/2024

Only extremely stupid people would want to pick a fight with the China ATM

 China just gave Russia a big boost with a 50,000-ton order for pork. This will be a big loss for the EU. Rival pork producers are eyeing the Chinese market, the biggest in the world for pork.

China is retaliating against the tariffs on EVs in many ways. And it is now being directed at where it hurts most - agriculture and farmers. You see, farmers in EU are already attempting to keep out cheaper agricultural products from Ukraine, the result of less stringent measures over environment issues during production. Remember the farmers protest that erupted in Brussels that were the result of this? Farmers in the EU are unable to compete and are desperate. EU may even become a net importer rather than an exporter of agricultural products if famers close shop and lost their livelihood to cheaper imports.

Now China is targeting farmers in the EU, and they have no way to retaliate. China found new sources of pork from Russia and Brazil to enable it to move away from the EU and the USA. This is going to hurt farmers in EU and USA. It will encourage more farmers in Russia to raise more pigs to satisfy the demand from China. 50,000 tons is just 3% of the pork consumption in China annually. Russia is targeting 10% of the Chinese market. That is bad news for the USA and EU.

The West is gearing up for a trade war and they will get it. 

Anonymous

2 comments:

  1. USA vineyard owners are facing ruin as grapes grown for wine making are left unharvested to rot in the fields. The era of hyping up the benefits of drinking red wine as beneficial to health is now wearing thin. The generation of wine drinkers over the last two decades have aged and are drinking less, while the younger generation are not picking up the habit. It spells the end of the wine drinking craze.

    The other reason for the calamity befalling the USA vineyards is the competition posed by cheaper imported wines from the EU and even Australia. This is already an issue that the USA had with EU wines with a 25% tariff slapped on the EU. The USA wine producers, like in any other sector in the USA, is unable to compete and have to rely on tariffs to be erected to keep out the competition and keep themselves in ICU to stay alive. This is not a solution and is more like breeding a 'crutch mentality' that does nothing to make them find ways and means to compete. They just stagnate or die in years to come.

    What about the China market for wine that had not been factored into the decline. China does have a wine market for the EU and also Australia. 1.4 billion Chinese is not a small market, even if not many are taking up the wine drinking habit. The forecast is that wine sales in China will grow going into the next couple of years. Of course, the USA wine makers cannot compete in China against cheaper wines from France, Spain or Australia.

    Anyway, trade wars are easy to win with the use of tariffs. Let us hope the USA voters see the light in November, LOL.

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  2. In the land of the blind, the one-eyed man is king.

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