Iran is unlikely to retaliate against the latest Israeli
strike, and just downplaying it shows its stand. But Iran is strongly
advising Israel to consider making further provocations. That should not
be construed as Iran is afraid of Israeli retaliation or that it is
weak. That is my personal view. Iran is not interested in aggravating
the situation but will do so if its 'interest' is threatened. Which
possible means if Israel strikes its nuclear facilities, that must be
their 'Red Line' of tolerance.
The USA and the West are
literally pushing Iran into unknown territory, which it will counter
just like China did. The fact that Iran is so well advanced in military
equipment manufacturing shows it is not stagnating in those sectors.
Iran is even exporting such military equipment to Russia right now, like
drones. Instigating Iran and trying to drag the Iranians into the
Middle East conflict is going to backfire badly against Israel and the
West.
The recent conflict involving Israel and the West is making
Iran change its stance going forward. The most serious change that is
coming could be Iran's message to Israel and the West that it is
changing its stance and not refraining from trying to possess nuclear
weapons, which it had been forbidden at present due to religious
constraints. Iran is now seriously looking into changing this issue of
religious constraints, as it is a question now of 'National Security'
needs. Experts are saying that Iran is even capable of having the bomb
in months, as they have the technical expertise to do so. And with
Russian help, nothing is beyond their capabilities.
The other
important change is the message sent by Iran discreetly to Israel that
already surfaced over Iran's strategic use of drones and missiles in
waves and it now knows how to take down the 'Iron Dome' invincibility,
which as it goes further, is no longer a deterrence against other Middle
East Muslim countries like Iraq, Syria and Lebanon which Israel is also
trying to drag into the conflict with its latest strikes against them.
Israel
is going to be flattened like Gaza, if all four countries, Iran, Iraq,
Syria and Lebanon were to launch simultaneous strikes from all
directions, with Hamas now reported to be strengthening as well. How
else could Hamas be weakened, especially with those whose families have
been destroyed by the IDF? Hamas cannot be destroyed and will instead
grow stronger with those new recruits wanting revenge at all costs.
Experts argued that Hamas is an ideology and cannot be destroyed like a
terrorist group.
PS. If Israel were to hit back in force after the Iranian attack, Iran would respond with greater force leading to bigger escalation. Iran has promised to strike back immediately if attacked.
Anonymous
Good morning All
ReplyDeleteIsrael now shits scared buy still wanted to show off their manhood, lam pars hoods better had thru their Masters or now Runner Dog their intermediary the UAssA requested Iran hello can we save our water face by just have a symbolic slap on you so that to show the World that we are not afraid of you and that's that.
Can ah? So we just flew a one or three chow kars drones and be shot down by you but we shall also claimed that we have bombed you chia lat chia lat ah!
OK deal? Then we shall hooted Rafa or Raglfel chia lat chia lat as they are not so strong lah.
The Western Medias then shall beat their drums and cymbals that we hits you until peng San.
OK.deal?
The strike in retaliation by Iran against the Israeli attack on its embassy in Damascus was a warning that Iran can take down the 'Iron Dome' defense system. The Israelis have considered that scenario in its retaliation, after that Iranian strike, not to cross the line.
ReplyDeleteThe Israeli retaliation also had the same motive - to test the Iranian defense capabilities and Israeli drones were successfully shot down, with little damage being reported. From another angle it was a token move by Israel to regain some of its lost prestige over the Iranian strike, where its airfields were successfully targeted by Iran. Netanyahu had to put on a show to satisfy critics that were pushing him to retaliate.
I think Israel has lost its bearings, is condemned and more isolated, even by countries that were previously sympathetic to its cause. According to Chas Freeman, the former US defense department diplomat in an interview with Nima R. Alkhorshid on the site 'Dialogue Works', Freeman holds the view that Iran's attack on Israel has destroyed all of Israel's calculations.
Elsewhere in interviews, he was also of the view that the USA also lost the last of its influence in the Middle East, after some Muslim allies categorically refused to allow the USA to attempt to use facilities in their territories to station logistics to counter any Iranian counterstrike should Israel cross the Iranian 'Red Line. This was possibly the reason why Israel and the USA did not go on to escalate the conflict with Iran. They knew that their planes need tankers for refueling flying all the way to Iran and back.
Now Israel is back to commit its genocides in Gaza. Even if Israel could take over the Gaza strip and build Israeli settlements there, will it enjoy any peace going forward, with Hezbollah at its doorstep and the remnants of Hamas advocating revenge?
Geopolitics in the Middle East is changing and changing drastically with more violence on the cards.
The USA, Israel and the West keep repeating the argument that the war in Gaza started from the October 7th 2023 attack by Hamas, which is a blatant lie. They conveniently ignored the years of Israelis seizure of Palestinian lands to build those Israeli settlements.
ReplyDeleteI like to repeat a comment I saw somewhere. If they continue repeating a lie it becomes 'Is real'? True lies it becomes!
The silly western educated elites will believe all the American and western lies.
ReplyDelete