Despite the USA taking BRICS de-dollarisation move as a
minor irritant on the surface, under the surface they are really
paranoid, nervous and devoid of any other plans to counter the move
except containment, which in essence means containing China, which is at
the forefront and the epitome of the de-dollarisation move.
The
success of de-dollarisation, slow and steady it may be, will mean the
end of the US$ hegemony and thus its privilege of printing unlimited
fiat money to support its military bases, warships, personnel and bribes
for military leaders of other countries, like those in Africa. This is
an existential issue for the USA, and it will fight tooth and nail to
prevent the success of de-dollarisation. That is what is to be expected.
The
Chips War and sanctions, to contain China, have gone nowhere, with
China now having attained the expertise to do the 7nm high-end chips
production capability, and most analyst are now commenting that the 5 nm
threshold in chip development is close at hand for Huawei and SMIC.
The
gap is still there, but the USA and Chips Alliance now do not
realistically know how fast it is closing and are worried. The 7 nm
threshold was actually expected to be only achievable by China taking at
least another five years, but China achieved that in just three years.
So,
everything regarding China always work at warp speed. No shit, knowing
that China took just a litte more than three decades to reach where it
is today, in areas like eradicating poverty, becoming the 'Factory of
the World, built a space station, landed on the moon and sent a probe to
Mars, most of those achievements have taken at least five decades to
achieve for others.
The mastery of the 7 nm chips should provide
the resources to help in upgrading its military sector, which was the
motive of the USA in sanctioning high end chip sales to China. On the
other hand, the shortage of rare earth is dealing an obvious damage, not
just to Western chip manufacturers but more importantly to Western
weapons manufacturers. The only recourse left for the USA is therefore
starting a war with China over Taiwan, under the illusion that the USA
still has a little advantage in terms of logistics and support, which
they are frantically doing so by expanding their military footprints in
more countries around China.
However, the coming together of
China, Russia, Iran and now North Korea is putting the USA in a dilemma.
This is a war that the USA is uncertain of victory, as China is
dicreetly expanding its arsenal of hypersonic missiles and other
weapons, beyond the knowledge of the USA and the West. Cutting off
Western made communication equipment and spying apps like Windows,
Google and others is a wise move.
North Korea is going to supply
weapons to Russia, to take care of NATO if a direct war ensues against
Russia in Europe. Any move against China in East Asia will see Russia
taking up against Nato, and China therefore need not have to worry much
about Nato helping the USA over Taiwan, with North Korea playing the
gatekeeper over South Korea and Japan should they make a move against
China as well.
Kim in Moscow and Putin going to Pyongyang and
later to Beijing are clearly telling moves, to discuss their secret
plans. That is really 'worrying' for the USA, Nato, Japan, South Korea,
Taiwan and the Philippines.
Oh yes, North Korea supplying weapons
to Russia is against UN Security Council resolutions. What does the UN
Security Council have to say about other UN member countries supplying
weapons to Ukraine? Looks like the UN is just following the USA 'Rules
Based Order'? Must be.
Anonymous
Geopolitical watchers are saying that the USA is distinctly winding down its support for the war in Ukraine, knowing it is a lost cause, and is giving full concentrated efforts to ignite a confrontation with China in the East. That tiny military advantage that the USA still holds theoretically, without knowing the reality, is almost on its last hurrah.
ReplyDeleteThe USA knows it, and that by giving just a year or two for China to upgrade its military further, that advantage it still holds will be even less instrumental going forward, and taking down China militarily is a wet dream. Forget about what those 800 military bases, as China has enough hypersonic missiles to take care of them. Moreover, China can still leverage on Russian and North Korean support if their talks later this year touched on that co-operation, which the USA is nervous, paranoid and fearful. Putin's coming visit to North Korea, and to China in October is not to sample moon cakes with Xi, complete with Chinese tea under the moon, or to play with lanterns. You can bet on it.
That reality is compounded by the fact that de-dollarisation is no longer an irritating mosquito bite, but an oncoming tsunami that will wash aside the US$ hegemony. That fall in usage of the US$ may have declined in small incremental steps so far, but it will be a tsunami moment when it comes at full speed. They can still continue to comfort themselves that it will take a long time for de-dollarisation to come to a successful conclusion. Never bet against what the Chinese can do, and at what warp speed they can achieve whatever they put their heart and soul into confronting the odds.
The main objective of Joe Biden's high end chips war and Chip Alliance was declared to cripple China's ability to procure high end chips needed to produce more hypersonic weapons, fighter planes, drones, submarines and warships. The realisation now is that with the Chinese rapid progress in high end chip development, the stranglehold is no longer effective. Therefore there is a certain degree of urgency and anxiety in wanting to start the war over Taiwan.
What Putin, Xi and Kim are planning is putting the USA in a dilemma, not knowing what these three are up to, and are just barking up the wrong tree, not knowing what is it up there. All they are doing is spouting the same old hubris of creating fabricated threats. Can't Putin, Xi and Kim even have the freedom of talking to each other as old friends? What about the USA leaders going around the world spreading poison and frightening those daft enough to believe in what they are doing?