8/21/2023

Presidential Election - A two horse race

 A dark horse in Kin Lian hoping to turn the apple cart against a PAP candidate in Tharman, and Tharman trying to whitewash himself as an independent. A 4 horse race turning into a 3 horse race and eventually becoming a 2 horse race would be the biggest strategic mistake in not qualifying George Goh. It would be like the GE in Hougang/Aljunied, telling the people that they would suffer another 5 years if they voted WP. Now Kin Lian really stands a chance to beat the odds. Without Kin Lian, it would be very convenient to disqualify George Goh to pave the way for Tharman. But with Kin Lian throwing in his hat, it was unwise not to let all horses run to favour Tharman.

Many did not see it positively for Kin Lian to join the race when there were already 3 candidates offering themselves. Kin Lian was seen as a spoiler. Many would not be convinced by his reason that he was in just in case George Goh was disqualified and he could become the standby candidate.  Kin Lian's offer to step down should both he and George were to qualify were not taken seriously.

What is happening now has vindicated Kin Lian's position and those wanting a non PAP backed president would have Kin Lian to thank for. Can you imagine if there is no Kin Lian in the ring, it would be Kok Song versus Tharman now. The fight is now more interesting and the people has a real choice of a non PAP backed candidate as the next president.

The lack of rallies may turn out to favour Kin Lian if he can harness the support of the opposition parties to walk the grounds to persuade the voters to vote for him. This is something that would not be available to Kok Song. When all the opposition parties turn out carrying Kin Lian's photos and cheering for him, it would become a movement to challenge the PAP's dominance and a challenge to Tharman as the next PAP backed president. The voters can also see how the opposition parties would act in a time like this, whether they are real or fake, for the people or for the PAP.

If all the opposition parties, including their leaders like Tan Cheng Bock and Pritam Singh would to say they are behind Kin Lian and rally their parties behind him, it would make a real difference.  Would Hsien Yang also chip in to support Kin Lian? Or would personal selfish interest in the opposition camp still be the stumbling block in the way to prevent a united front to challenge PAP's single party dominance and rule?  A united opposition for Kin Lian will force the issue on the PAP to go all out to support Tharman, like the kind of support for George Yeo in Hougang/Aljunied. The result can be exhilarating.

All three candidates are over qualified many times for the job. You don't need a rocket scientist to boil a kettle of water. Their qualifications and experience are overkilled for the job. The crucial and deciding factor is what the voters want, who they want to be their EP.

Can you imagine if all the unpopular big wigs in PAP were to speak up for Tharman? Would it be a plus or a negative point?

Let me make a guess on the numbers. 30% hard core anti PAP  would vote against Tharman. 20% of every ethnic group would vote base on race. This is not racism but human nature affinity. There will be 10% of voters that for one reason or another, dislike a candidate. There will be 30% hardcore PAP supporters for Tharman, and a remaining 10% swing voters. If Kok Song cannot make his presence felt, and become irrelevant in the race, Tharman may have a real problem.


20 comments:

  1. My take is botak get 60%, ah lian 30% & the kok 10%. Knowing daft sinkies, they love to be screw by papies. Even wp only want to be co-driver to enjoy part-time job pay. Maybe only psp & sdp might spport ah lian.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It's non political so wp wonttt get involved. Tkl now kena pretty girl issue. Though normal but voice outon pretty girl make him look like DOM

      Delete
  2. Would the stone that the people rejected become the pillar of strength for the good of Singapore?

    ReplyDelete
  3. Kok Song - he who eat govt rice (jinghu bee), belong to govt

    TKL did not eat govt rice . .

    ReplyDelete
  4. Hello Anon 9.43

    Do not call that person as 'the stone that the people rejected' because some of his supporters would not like it. They claim this is putting a mental block on people's mind, and will call you as part of the IB paid by the other side. Cannot criticise, must praise.

    ReplyDelete
  5. Hi All

    Dont be surprised like Matland, when the Bumis felt that the tide of the minority races are against them by voting more Opposition Parties that they instantly granted many Citzenships even illegal immigrants who claimed to be their own Race as Bumis and Religion and be eligible to vote.

    So Sinkieland may also do thus.

    Wow, CECA many awaiting to hold the Pink ICs and Red Passports.

    Only dafts and blind still in stupor and sleeping that the Papies are in their Agenda to upset the Ethnic POP of Sinkieland to be IndieLand.

    So vote wisely for once lost you are wandering souls in the Seventh Month like the Mats Chinkees.

    ReplyDelete
  6. Hi Anon 10:33am.

    This stone analogy is from the Bible. Jesus is 'the stone you builders rejected, which has become the cornerstone.

    ReplyDelete
  7. 'Rejected' is making some people very unhappy. Cannot keep harping on it. It is water under the old bridge. Do not talk about the past. This time is different.

    Different means confidence very high for Ah Lian, and Botak probably will lose. I hope they like my predictions.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Right Anon 11.42

      TKL will win this time round.

      My vote and my family's votes to him.

      Cheers

      Delete
  8. You don't understand the meaning of the 'rejected stone'.

    Go ask the Christians what this mean.

    ReplyDelete
  9. Naive to believe the “mistake” bc of lack of focus
    Qualifying TKL opens the door for TS to walk when there’s no QG is ineligible and would give some validity to TS
    So ignore TKL
    Yes StrUgr fight NKS v TS … whatever the result it will shock or dent the PAP armoury
    For goodness sake get serious

    ReplyDelete
  10. Anon 1:00PM. You are just expressing your own opinion and you are so cock sure that you are right. Are you God or a genius?

    ReplyDelete
  11. Tan Kin Lian is the most independent candidate of all. We already have too many party presidents including the last 2 successive ones that make no difference in Sin having a president or not.
    We have seen TKL in Speakers' Corner and read his social media postings passionately speaking up on issues affecting everyone.

    ReplyDelete
  12. Let's not forget - Sinkies r mostly a selfish lot, mostly r disunited in terms of political issues otherwise the ruling ones wud b eliminated long time ago and the late old man knew too well on the minds of all these so called daft Sinkies. Therefore TS will likely win this PE victoriously, TKL & NKS wudnt stand any chance at all, so that's to say there is only one horse racing black horse wudnt stand a chance.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Now they are all out to kick TKL Out with all their doggies slandering him on just a FacePok post of girls.

      All these hypocrites with masks that they are honourable and clean.

      Ex partner once told his hypocritical bro who commented that women undergarments are dirty.

      He told him you enjoyed and have so many children and in ecastcy and you said dirty?

      Think they are objected and have him disqualified as now the Committee said they did not realised this post.

      Those kena slandered and kick out stood the best chance and they are just afraid of him been elected.

      Delete
  13. The wisdom of the late LKY:
    https://youtu.be/nM1f6xNfwZw

    ReplyDelete
  14. In the video, LKY talked about profits. Increasing GST, raising HDB prices, compulsory insurance, fee hikes, fare hikes, are not profits in the true sense. They are taxes on the people.
    Profits are made from investments and production, best from abroad.

    Instead of profits, we are losing tens of billions.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hey u got that point there kudos.. profits they keep loses they taxes from the people, Sinkies r all dafts whom can be sucked from cradle to grave, that's why they keep winning every erections, coming PE most probably TS might win as well.

      Delete
  15. Now Channel News America kept screening and signing praises on Tarman.

    Their propgranda mouth pieces.

    Wifey Itochi or Itoti?

    Wah remember the Japanese Occupation Sinkies!

    Vote wisely!

    TKL!!!

    ReplyDelete
  16. Thats Whats Pros or Prof Eugene kept harping aimed at TKL of saying he's wrong to bring up issues regarding Spore.

    This Doggie always hits my nerves in every election talks.

    Always bad on Opposition.

    He said previous Presidents are not involved in the issues of the Government and policies.

    Brought up Yusof and others.

    Hello these are just ceremonial Presidents of the Past

    Now the President had their Presidential Powers

    How you get your Professorships?

    Carry balls ah?

    Luckiky today dont have that Gillian or Vivivian.

    Another sama sama.

    Maybe went to Seventh Month liao.

    Or be on Sept 1st.

    Another Papies doggie.

    ReplyDelete