Yesterday, Saigon, Today Kabul, Tomorrow, Taipei
The
pathetic scenes at the Kabul international airport of thousands of
people fleeing after the Taliban took full control of Afghanistan have
shocked countless people and grabed global attention. Many leaders are
calling the evacuation of US diplomats another "Saigon Moment".
There
are numerous discussions emerging online over "Who's next" amid the US
disgraceful failure in its commitment to a staunch ally.
For
decades, the US has been using its foreign policy as a geopolitical
game. The situation in Afghanistan has began to worry the pro-US
secessionists in Taiwan. This is not the first time the US has abandoned
its allies, which are being used as mere chess pieces in its
geopolitical game.
The Taliban took over Kabul, the capital of
Afghanistan without resistance, on Sunday morning, as the country's
US-puppet President Ashraf Ghani fled to Tajikistan for onwards transfer
to a third country.
Many were shocked at the speed with which
the Taliban took control as the US-puppet government collapsed and
disintegrated without a fight. The Afghan government military forces
simply succumbed and surrendered.
Political experts and world
leaders compared the scenes in Kabul of US diplomats hastily being taken
to safety by helicopters to the chaotic US withdrawal from Vietnam in
1975, when US Marines burned sensitive documents on the roof of the US
embassy in Saigon, while people were trying to scramble into the
military helicopter at the same time.
The Taliban's stunningly
swift advances across Afghanistan have sparked global alarm, reviving
doubts about the credibility of US promises and drawing harsh criticism
even from some of its closest allies.
"Yesterday's Saigon,
today's Kabul, and tomorrow's Taipei?" read some online posts by
internet users on in Taiwan, implying that the so-called alliance that
Taiwan has forged with the US is nothing but an empty promise that will
eventually "leave the Taiwanese people high and dry, suffering alone."
Local
Taiwanese news sites said that the swift and humiliating end in
Afghanistan has "shocked" US allies and partners, who are now wary of
putting the safety of Taiwan in the hands of the unreliable US, which
may pull the same tricks played in Kabul.
The US's hasty and
messy withdrawal from Afghanistan has far-reaching ramifications and
consequences in the world. Its global image, reputation and credibility
have already begun to be impacted.
The US's capacity and
capability to maintain the global balance is now being questioned. Its
obssessive confrontation with China in the Indo-Pacific and South China
Sea is becoming a child's nightmare.
They should say, "The day before yesterday, Vietnam, yesterday, Taiwan, today, Afghanistan, and tomorrow Taiwan again."
Taiwan had been abandoned by the US, once before, in 1979.
LIPS.
APEC 2024 Peru. Biden shafted to a corner in the back row. Xi in front row next to Peru's President
RB G'morning,
ReplyDeleteOT came across "Global Times launched an online petition demanding Meng Wanzhou immediate release". Similar to "25 mln netizens sign online petition for Fort Detrick probe" just click no email require...
https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202108/1231899.shtml
Thanks KindesT Regards JC
Thanks JC. Put up as a main article above.
ReplyDeleteRB Sorrie posted OT. Deeply appreciate. Huawei's Meng Wanzhou so important to me and every Chinese. Last year I bought Huawei’s Honor phone before it was spun off. The extradition trial just ended today in Vancouver B.C..... Look like Canada is determined to nail Huawei’s CFO... I hope China nails both Michaels and hanged a drug trafficker Robert Lloyd Schellenberg even if they release Meng Wanzhou. Thanks again Kindest Regards JC
ReplyDeleteWill the US abandon Taiwan?
ReplyDelete1. There is no official document in the US that requires it to send troops to defend Taiwan. Once it does, the US president and his administration will break the legal framework and engage in a strategic gamble of having a war with another major power. It would be an unprecedented war mobilization in the US since the end of World War II.
2. China is a nuclear power with full preparedness for an offshore military struggle. This makes the US completely unsure of a victory in a cross-Straits war. In fact, the US military and academic communities are pessimistic about the result of a cross-Straits war. The US failed in all its main post-WWII wars in Asia. If it were to go to war with modern China, it would face a strong enemy it had never experienced before that would consume all its national strength.
3. The DPP authorities are weaker and less motivated than the former Kuomintang authorities, not to mention the political split in the island. That is to say, the Taiwan authorities are lame ducks who are highly dependent on US protection. Tsai said that Taiwan will not just rely on others to protect it, but that is not heartfelt. The DPP authorities are gambling their fate solely on the condition that the US would not give up Taiwan for the sake of its grand strategy. They had never thought about, nor could they mobilize the whole island to fight and get defeated.
4. What capital does the island of Taiwan have to make it different from Afghanistan? As long as the costs of supporting the Taiwan authorities far outweigh the benefits, the US will abandon the island immediately.
In 1949, the US abandoned the Kuomintang as it saw the latter was not worth supporting.
Then (again) the US diplomatically abandoned the island of Taiwan in 1979 because having diplomatic ties with the mainland better met its interests during the Cold War against the Soviet Union. When it comes to defending Taiwan in a costly and unwinnable war, the US will choose the lesser of two evils and the American people will not allow their young generations to die in large numbers for Taiwan secession.
5. US abandonment of Taiwan will be a move that acknowledges the change in power between China and the US. But it won't mean more losses for the US. Such a change cannot be concealed. To maintain the illusion that the US will continue backing the island will finally exhaust Washington as time goes on. Therefore, the US will eventually have to accept the reunification of the mainland and the island of Taiwan, even though it might be seen as a bitter fruit by Washington.
6. When the situation is complex, realism will play a decisive role as dramatic changes take place in the Taiwan Straits. Once the mainland decides to unify by force, it will be unstoppable and destroy the capability and will of the island military to resist in a few hours. There will be a time gap for the US to react. With such a lag, a new cross-Straits situation will be quickly shaped and known to the world. If the US wants to change that new status quo through a war, it will have to bet its national fate. Washington has no reason to do so.
In a word, the Chinese mainland's determination to contain Taiwan secession and promote reunification won't budge. If the Taiwan authorities really view the so-called sovereign independence as the island's lifeline, then they should start now to mobilize people for war and multiply the military expenditure to increase combat capabilities. Given Taiwan society's obsession of "small but sure happiness" and fanatical about political infighting, the island's authorities are clearly thinking that they can achieve the goal of secession by enjoying the comfort under US protection.
It's time to wake up!
PS: The above is an extract from Global Times EDITORIAL published on 18 August 2021.
How do we know that the Taliban victory is likely good for China and Pakistan ? - the India ambassador had fled from Kabul like a dog before the Taliban entered the Afghan capital !
ReplyDelete- the India ambassador had fled from Kabul like a dog before the Taliban entered the Afghan capital !
ReplyDeleteHahaha. What kind of dog? Bulldog (no cannot, bull is sacred to them), maybe Pekinese (makes a lot of noise but no bite).
China should take this time of chaos and serious loss of confidence for the Evil US Empire to take back Taiwan.
ReplyDeleteWithin 5 days, China should finish the job, before the United Nations could even call for a Security Council Meeting.
@LIPS - Don't talk rot lah. Cannot win in 5 days. 1 Japanese soldier can carry on fighting in the Pinoy jungles for 40 years. Our ex-starlight soldiers will be fighting in the Taiwan jungles for 400 years or at least until they ROD which is definitely more than 5 days.
ReplyDeleteDo you know the real reason the US invaded and occupied Afghanistan for 20 years.
ReplyDeleteAnd the real reason for invading Iraq?
And also the real reason planning to invade North Korea?
If wont dare attack why China also stupid waste their fuel to shadown them? Let them go round and round until their engine kaput. Then have to come to sinkieland for service.
ReplyDeleteIt is win win win - Ang Mo win - can show tua ki, China win - save fule , we also win - get contract to fix engine.
Today when foreign warships sailed into South China Sea like the British aircraft carrier, they would be surrounded by Chinese warships and escorted all the way. No mischief or be sunk.
ReplyDeleteThe British aircraft carrier went in and left in a whimper, surrounded by surface warships, under sea submarines, fighter aircraft flying overhead and D21 locking on and ready to fire and sink that piece of museum artefact.
The British sailors must be wetting their pants wondering when they would be buried under the South China Sea.
How China Can Easily Destroy An Enemy Aircraft Carrier Fleet
ReplyDeleteAny aircraft carrier fleet that goes near China, within the range of China's ground missiles' deployments, is asking for big trouble. China has five lines of defence or options:
1. Surface destroyer ships will be surrounding the fleet from a distance to serve as first line of defence.
2. Multiple missiles with multiple tactical nuclear-warheads will be locked unto the aircraft carrier and be fired simultaneously to ensure a direct hit, to bury the whole fleet at the bottom of the sea/ocean, as the second line of defence.
3. Heat-seeking anti-aircraft missiles will be ready to shoot down any aircraft taking off from the aircraft carrier as the third line of defence.
4. Mini nuclear submarines will be tailing the fleet to provide accurate position of the enemy carrier fleet and to hit them with torpedoes with tactical nuclear warheads, if and when necessary, as the fourth line of defence.
5. Stealth fighter-bombers will be overhead, on surveillance, ready to totally destroy the enemy fleet, as the fifth or last line of defence.
6. The sharks in the South China Sea and the Pacific Ocean will be ready to feast on the dead bodies of the sailors, pilots and naval commanders.
Quite Easily Done.
LIPS.
Afghanistan says:
ReplyDelete1. A bungling President that is half a sleep and not fit for the job.
2. The intelligence services were all morons. They did not know what was going on in the American trained 300,000 Afghan soldiers, thinking that they had done a good job in training a modern army but actually nothing of that sort. They thought this army would hold for at least a few months but did not have a clue that they would surrender within days.
3. The foreign services and top army planners were clueless in how to execute an evacuation of Americans and American supporters safely out of Afghanistan. Basically a bunch of incompetents.
4. Biden got fixed up by his predecessor, pullout if not done properly like what happened, he is screwed. Don't pull out as negotiated by Trump and Pompeo, he would also be screwed, One American President fixing up another, or Americans screwing Americans.
All in all, these are signs of an Empire in its dying days with clowns and fools in charge and all exhibiting how incompetent and clueless in what they are doing. And the whole world has a circle seat watching this debacle happening in front of them in their living rooms.
American incompetence at its best.
USA will retreat every to look after its own
ReplyDeleteCountry 1st becos of covid.
Perhaps world now is facing a run away
ReplyDeleteBio weapon.