Below is part of an article appearing in ‘TABB Forum, Where capital
markets speak’, in response to Congressman Markey’s call for an
immediate ban on HFT.
‘Congressman Markey, in a letter to the SEC on January 18, declared that
HFT “represents a clear and present danger to the stability and safety
of [US] capital markets and that it should be curtailed immediately.”
Direct and to the point.
Congressman Markey backs this assertion with evidence drawn from market
events, such as the Flash Crash and Knight Capital, as well as academic
studies on the impact of HFT on markets and, therefore, Main Street. If I
can synthesize his argument, essentially he states that:
1. The speed of HFT disadvantages other styles of trading.
2. HFT exacerbates volatility in the market.
And as a result …
3. ‘Other’ investors are scared away; and
4. Volume traded by HFT is therefore a dangerously high proportion of overall traded volume.
While I favor “working with HFT to address perceived dangers,” I have to
say I see a thread running through the Congressman’s letter that I both
agree with and, like the Congressman, find disturbing:
While most HFT is actually just normal-but-very-quick-trading, HFT
strategies typically profit from very short-term pricing anomalies
between two or more products or liquidity sources. Volatility in the
market as well as market fragmentation and the lack of adequate
consolidated price feeds in some (many?) markets generate these
anomalies and make it easier for HFT strategies to succeed. In fact you
might argue engineering volatility -- at the very least, exacerbating it
-- is in the interest of HFT strategies.
As someone who is primarily concerned about the performance of long-only
funds and future planning, this sounds unnerving; but it’s actually OK
(just about OK, that is) if the volume traded by HFT is a small
percentage of the total market. It’s a faint background noise. However,
when HFT becomes a large, or even dominant, force in the market, then
‘other’ investors genuinely do have a reason to stay away. Who wants to
play in a market where movement for movement’s sake has overtaken
fundamentals? No thanks -- I’ll let the HFTs spar in a zero-sum game or
volatility ping pong and stick my cash under the mattress....’
The position of Hildyard and some supporters of HFT is that it should
not be banned but be controlled and managed. Presumably HFT can be
controlled and managed. Below are a few comments to his article.
05 February 2013
any part of our industry that has a market share over 50 % is alarming
and wrong .Here is where the exchanges board delivers correct governance
to balance the correct order of play . Finally an automated kill switch
is very simply applied as you refuse his key entry.
wsteetpro
05 February 2013
I fully agree. It's a matter of time before the markets go into another
tailspin - HFTs produce zero economic output. Just skimming off other
market participants. Capitalism at it's best!
Anonymous
05 February 2013
if they are using other investors as a profit engine (my perception)
then there are real problems with the current market structure. Why
would anyone want to invest in something when they know that others are
embezzling their money out of the other side of the building?
John Harris
05 February 2013
Yes, by all means, let's have more government mandates. We can't have
businesses deciding for themselves how to interact with their customers.
If left to their own devices, exchanges and other market centers are
certain destroy themselves, bankrupt their shareholders, and leave U.S.
capital markets with no secondary markets at all....
crammond1964
05 February 2013
the problem being that a number of exchanges are lying in the same bed as the HFT ; therefore making a debate rather futile .
Exchanges deny their manipulation and HFT survive off the exchanges ridiculous rebate system .
shamlet76
05 February 2013
i think the market is broken. you have phony financials because of the
off-balance sheet arrangements, you have market "gaming", which is
fraud. shortselling and HFT is dominant. both shortselling and HFT is a
capital outflow from the stock market. regulators have disregarded the
investors' concerns, which is aiding and abetting shortselling and HFT.
banks have become the enemy of their customers. current rules are not
enforced. this isn't capitalism. it is a plutocracy.
if HFT was not harming the market, then they should explain where their $
is coming from? we know where it's going to - their pockets.
neither HFT nor shortsellers are investors. they are speculators,
traders. but the global economy won't be able to get on it's feet as
long as those money movements are taking place. when speculators become
dominant, the markets lose.
honestman
05 February 2013
It is unfortunate that so many people offering comments have not read
even the most fundmental text on direct digital control of processes
used in any undergraduate Chemical Engineering curriculum in any
accredited university. In something called closed loop control, a
computer calculates the difference between the desired value for a
process output and the actual value for the process output. Using that
difference the computer makes a change in what is termed a "manipulated
variable" that afffects the value of the process output. The process
output is the price of a share of the stock whose price is being
manipulated, the manipulated variable is the quantity of the stock
offered for sale in a naked short sale. The computer can monitor the
price of the stock as it is sent downward and can enter a buy at the
appropriate point to avoid triggering a stock market "time-out" on the
stock.
To increase the price of a stock, consecutive orders for a large number of shares are placed.
A computer program can monitor the effect of the sell orders and decide
what action to take. The problem is compounded when large, privileged
customers can see the order book and know what orders are out there. To
help the manipulation along, rumors and half-truths can be instituted
by "analysts".
Ignorance of basic control of chemical reactors is not an excuse for
being stupid and saying the same jibberish over and over again in a
meaningless diatribe that is full of sound and fury and signifies
nothing but stupidity.
There are pro and against HFT camps. The reasons are obvious. The small
investors will be outclassed and stand to lose their pants. It is like
putting in a few vacuum cleaners to suck clean the small investors.
In a small market like SGX, the most fear factor mentioned, ie the
dominance of HFT trades in volumes, will kill all the small investors
for sure. Can the small investors of SGX survive the overwhelming
presence of HFT and the huge volumes they created and monopolised the
trading in the market? This unfair trading practice is dangerous to the
big markets like NYSE. How can it be safe to a teeny weeny market like
the SGX? The small investor will surely be mauled and the market will go
‘bonk’ for sure.
MAS and the Govt must seriously look into the introduction of HFT in SGX
and don’t end up in a bigger mess than the Lehman bonds crisis. Knowing
the risk, the unfair advantages and dangers of HFT, and to allow it to
be introduced into our market is simply irresponsible and inexcusable.
If the MAS is adamant in wanting to have HFT in SGX, then it should be
well advised to listen to Liquidnet founder and CEO Seth Merrin.
‘Merrin proposes the SEC create "HFT-free zones" to protect retail
investors who wish to trade in a separate and slower lane while allowing
HFT to continue. Retail investors, he says, should have the option and
the opportunity to decide if they want to interact in the HFT zone.’
BBC
ReplyDelete[A dark magic: The rise of the robot traders]
"'Humans cannot compete on speed, it's as simple as that.'"
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-23095938
Ya lor, RB:
ReplyDeleteBefore you even managed to take a small sip, "HFT" already "emptied your cup liao" ......
Like that where got chance to taste the "kopi kau kau" leh ..... ?
the only thing faster than HFT probably is lightning
ReplyDeleteShould not use jargon only you and fellow brokers understand. I did not know what HFT stand for. I thought you refer to HTL company which was featured in The Straits Times. It took me quite a while to know that you are talking about High Frequency trading where big boys use powerful computers to overwhelming the small guys in stock markets. Yes it should not be allowed.
ReplyDelete@ oldhorse42 9.07 am
ReplyDeleteno understand stock brokers' jargon "HFT" meh?
how abt hedonist jargons favoured by hedonistic pple like MS & AGK like: "HFS", "HFO", "HFM" ...... ?
pple like them sure know lor .....
@ 9.07 am
ReplyDeletelau beh, the jargon should be "HFL" lah ... not HTL
My apologies oldhorse. Should have specified it from the beginning. Will take note of that.
ReplyDeleteLau beh, in case you pek chek again over new financial jargon, there is one very pertinent one going forward for pple like u who are stock market experts ......
ReplyDeleteIt is less than 2 weeks old and coined by supposedly two powerful men in Europe ......
The first chap is the newly crowned BOE governor Mark Carney I think .......
The second handsome man is none other than the other powerful dragon in this world namely ECB President Mario Draghi ......
Their new jargon which almost make me choke on my food the first time I read it is "FG" .....
Stands for FORWARD GUIDANCE if that means anything to you ......
Reuters
ReplyDelete[New US baby boomer hobby - trading options]
http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/07/09/options-boomers-idUSL2N0FB1HF20130709
The remisiers society should make a presentation to MAS to prevent HFT in the SGX. They need to do some homework on the unfairness of HFT against other investors.
ReplyDeleteAnd if MAS is allow this go on, call a press conference to talk about it, about unfair trading, about violating trading regulations and all the harm that HFT is going to cause.